Ittihad Tanger vs UTS Rabat: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a balanced competition with a prevalence of the draw scenario. Ittihad Tanger presents weak form at their own stadium with barely 14% home wins and a high percentage of draws (57%). UTS Rabat has not won any away match this season, but as many as 50% of meetings ended in a split of points. Both teams have effectiveness problems – the hosts score an average of only 0.71 goals per home match, and the visitors 0.5 away. The form of both teams in the last five matches is poor (Ittihad 0.8 PPG, UTS 0.6 PPG), which further speaks for a draw. Considering the close xG values and the tendency of both teams to draw, the most probable result is a split of points.
Ittihad Tanger vs UTS Rabat: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ittihad Tanger played UTS Rabat in Botola Pro (Morocco). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Ittihad Tanger: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. UTS Rabat: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ittihad Tanger scores 0.77 and concedes 1.31 goals per match. UTS Rabat scores 0.77 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.05 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ittihad Tanger 54%, UTS Rabat 69%. Over 2.5: Ittihad Tanger 31%, UTS Rabat 23%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Ittihad Tanger has higher xG: 1.21 vs 1.09. Ittihad Tanger: 9.5 shots per match, UTS Rabat: 7.6.
Match halves
Ittihad Tanger: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.54. UTS Rabat: half-time lead 8%, second-half goals 0.46.
Goals by minute
Ittihad Tanger: 76-90+ (3 goals). UTS Rabat: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Botola Pro: 2.05 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to a balanced competition with a prevalence of the draw scenario. Ittihad Tanger presents weak form at their own stadium with barely 14% home wins and a high percentage of draws (57%). UTS Rabat has not won any away match this season, but as many as 50% of meetings ended in a split of points. Both teams have effectiveness problems – the hosts score an average of only 0.71 goals per home match, and the visitors 0.5 away. The form of both teams in the last five matches is poor (Ittihad 0.8 PPG, UTS 0.6 PPG), which further speaks for a draw. Considering the close xG values and the tendency of both teams to draw, the most probable result is a split of points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ittihad Tanger | UTS Rabat | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ittihad Tanger is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Ittihad Tanger · 0.6 pts / match - UTS Rabat
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ittihad Tanger is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.31 goals / match - Ittihad Tanger · 1.38 goals / match - UTS Rabat
Ittihad Tanger scores in 62% of matches (8 of 13 matches), while UTS Rabat keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 13 matches).
UTS Rabat scores in 69% of matches (9 of 13 matches), while Ittihad Tanger keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ittihad Tanger
Over / Under - UTS Rabat
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ittihad Tanger is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.92 pts / match - Ittihad Tanger · 0.85 pts / match - UTS Rabat
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ittihad Tanger - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 15%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
UTS Rabat - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 8% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ittihad Tanger
UTS Rabat
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Botola Pro).
Teams vs league
| Ittihad Tanger | Liga | UTS Rabat | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.08 | 2.05 | ▲ 2.15 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 54% | 43% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 31% | 34% | ▼ 23% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 35% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 62% | 57% | ▼ 54% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 72% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Ittihad Tanger vs UTS Rabat?
The Botola Pro match finished Ittihad Tanger 1:1 UTS Rabat. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ittihad Tanger vs UTS Rabat?
Ittihad Tanger score 0.77 goals per game on average and UTS Rabat 0.77. The Botola Pro average is 2.05 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Ittihad Tanger's matches and 69% of UTS Rabat's.
What form are Ittihad Tanger and UTS Rabat in?
Over the last 5 games Ittihad Tanger have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and UTS Rabat 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ittihad Tanger vs UTS Rabat?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.