Jablonec vs Karviná: match statistics
Jablonec displays solid home form with a 45% win rate and an impressive 55% clean sheets at their own stadium, making them a tough opponent for visitors. Karviná is in poor form, losing three of their last five matches and averaging just 0.8 points per game during this period. The hosts have a positive home goal difference (+5), while Karviná has a negative away goal difference (-2) and records a high average of goals conceded (1.91 per match). Although the visitors show decent away efficiency (55% wins this season), their current form and defensive issues suggest difficulties in this encounter. The xG statistics are similar for both teams, but the home advantage and Jablonec's better form tip the scales in their favor, although a tight draw or an away surprise cannot be ruled out.
Jablonec vs Karviná: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Jablonec played Karviná in First League (Czechia). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Jablonec: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Karviná: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Jablonec scores 1.36 and concedes 0.91 goals per match. Karviná scores 1.59 and concedes 1.68. League average: 2.60 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Jablonec 36%, Karviná 68%. Over 2.5: Jablonec 23%, Karviná 73%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Karviná has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.31. Jablonec: 10.9 shots per match, Karviná: 14.9.
Match halves
Jablonec: half-time lead 55%, second-half goals 0.55. Karviná: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.95.
Goals by minute
Jablonec: 16-30 (8 goals). Karviná: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First League: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Jablonec displays solid home form with a 45% win rate and an impressive 55% clean sheets at their own stadium, making them a tough opponent for visitors. Karviná is in poor form, losing three of their last five matches and averaging just 0.8 points per game during this period. The hosts have a positive home goal difference (+5), while Karviná has a negative away goal difference (-2) and records a high average of goals conceded (1.91 per match). Although the visitors show decent away efficiency (55% wins this season), their current form and defensive issues suggest difficulties in this encounter. The xG statistics are similar for both teams, but the home advantage and Jablonec's better form tip the scales in their favor, although a tight draw or an away surprise cannot be ruled out.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Jablonec | Karviná | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Jablonec is 150% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Jablonec · 0.8 pts / match - Karviná
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Karviná is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
1.36 goals / match - Jablonec · 1.59 goals / match - Karviná
Jablonec is 85% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.91 goals / match - Jablonec · 1.68 goals / match - Karviná
Jablonec scores in 82% of matches (18 of 22 matches), while Karviná keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 22 matches).
Karviná scores in 77% of matches (17 of 22 matches), while Jablonec keeps a clean sheet in 55% (12 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Jablonec
Over / Under - Karviná
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Jablonec is 54% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.95 pts / match - Jablonec · 1.27 pts / match - Karviná
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Jablonec - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 55% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Karviná - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Jablonec
Karviná
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Jablonec | Liga | Karviná | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.27 | 2.60 | ▲ 3.27 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 36% | 51% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 23% | 46% | ▲ 73% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 55% | 29% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 72% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 64% | 73% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Jablonec 1 - 0 - 0 Karviná. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Jablonec vs Karviná?
The First League match finished Jablonec 0:0 Karviná. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Jablonec vs Karviná?
Jablonec score 1.36 goals per game on average and Karviná 1.59. The First League average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Jablonec's matches and 68% of Karviná's.
What form are Jablonec and Karviná in?
Over the last 5 games Jablonec have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Karviná 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Jablonec vs Karviná?
The statistical background for Jablonec vs Karviná — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


