Jagiellonia Białystok vs Górnik Zabrze: match statistics
Jagiellonia Białystok vs Górnik Zabrze: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Jagiellonia Białystok play Górnik Zabrze in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The match date is 24 April 2026 at 20:30. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Jagiellonia Białystok: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Górnik Zabrze: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Jagiellonia Białystok scores 1.65 and concedes 1.21 goals per match. Górnik Zabrze scores 1.47 and concedes 1.12. League average: 2.74 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Jagiellonia Białystok 65%, Górnik Zabrze 50%. Over 2.5: Jagiellonia Białystok 65%, Górnik Zabrze 47%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Górnik Zabrze has higher xG: 1.82 vs 1.80. Jagiellonia Białystok: 15.2 shots per match, Górnik Zabrze: 16.1.
Match halves
Jagiellonia Białystok: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.85. Górnik Zabrze: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.82.
Goals by minute
Jagiellonia Białystok: 76-90+ (15 goals). Górnik Zabrze: 31-45+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ekstraklasa: 2.74 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I predict a home win (1) because Jagiellonia average 2.07 goals per home game, 5.93 shots on target and 12% conversion, whereas Górnik away record is only 0.93 goals, 3.14 shots on target and 7% conversion. Hosts generate on average xG 1.97 at home versus xG 1.52 for the visitors away, and the goal difference in Jagiellonia’s home matches is +9 compared to Górnik’s -7 on the road, which confirms the superiority of the chances created by the hosts. The visitors, however, are in good form (3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches, averaging 2.2 points per game) and have conceded only 1 goal in that run, with a clean sheet percentage away of 36% versus 21% for the hosts, giving them a realistic chance of solid defensive performance. Additionally, Jagiellonia lead in possession (60% vs 51%), have more average shots (16.93 vs 13.21) and a much lower percentage of matches without scoring (14% vs 29%), which suggests the hosts create and convert chances more often. Considering these figures, I assess the probabilities at approximately 60% for the home win, 25% for a draw and 15% for an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Jagiellonia Białystok | Górnik Zabrze | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Jagiellonia Białystok is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
1.65 goals / match - Jagiellonia Białystok · 1.47 goals / match - Górnik Zabrze
Górnik Zabrze is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.21 goals / match - Jagiellonia Białystok · 1.12 goals / match - Górnik Zabrze
Jagiellonia Białystok scores in 82% of matches (28 of 34 matches), while Górnik Zabrze keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 matches).
Górnik Zabrze scores in 71% of matches (24 of 34 matches), while Jagiellonia Białystok keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Jagiellonia Białystok
Over / Under — Górnik Zabrze
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Jagiellonia Białystok is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.47 pts / match - Jagiellonia Białystok · 1.35 pts / match - Górnik Zabrze
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Jagiellonia Białystok - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Górnik Zabrze - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Jagiellonia Białystok
Górnik Zabrze
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).
Teams vs league
| Jagiellonia Białystok | Liga | Górnik Zabrze | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.85 | 2.74 | ▼ 2.59 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 52% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 25% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 73% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 77% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Jagiellonia Białystok 0 - 0 - 1 Górnik Zabrze. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Jagiellonia Białystok vs Górnik Zabrze?
The Ekstraklasa match finished Jagiellonia Białystok 1:2 Górnik Zabrze. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Jagiellonia Białystok vs Górnik Zabrze?
Jagiellonia Białystok score 1.65 goals per game on average and Górnik Zabrze 1.47. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Jagiellonia Białystok's matches and 50% of Górnik Zabrze's.
What form are Jagiellonia Białystok and Górnik Zabrze in?
Over the last 5 games Jagiellonia Białystok have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Górnik Zabrze 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Jagiellonia Białystok vs Górnik Zabrze?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Jagiellonia Białystok vs Górnik Zabrze: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.