Jagiellonia Białystok vs Legia Warszawa: match statistics
Jagiellonia Białystok displays impressive home form with a 67% win rate in home matches and a positive goal difference of +10. The hosts score an average of 2.56 goals per home match with only 11% of matches failing to score. Legia Warszawa, on the other hand, performs significantly worse away from home, winning only 9% of their matches and conceding an average of 1.55 goals with a negative goal difference of -6. Both teams' form in their last five matches is similar (1.6 PPG), yet Jagiellonia's home advantage and Legia's away weakness point towards the hosts. xG statistics also favor Białystok (2.0 vs 1.69), confirming their offensive edge. I expect a Jagiellonia victory, although Legia's solid form in recent matches could lead to a closely contested encounter.
Jagiellonia Białystok vs Legia Warszawa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Jagiellonia Białystok played Legia Warszawa in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The match was played on 1 March 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Jagiellonia Białystok: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Legia Warszawa: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Jagiellonia Białystok scores 1.76 and concedes 1.14 goals per match. Legia Warszawa scores 1.14 and concedes 1.23. League average: 2.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Jagiellonia Białystok 67%, Legia Warszawa 64%. Over 2.5: Jagiellonia Białystok 62%, Legia Warszawa 45%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Legia Warszawa has higher xG: 1.80 vs 1.79. Jagiellonia Białystok: 15.3 shots per match, Legia Warszawa: 15.5.
Match halves
Jagiellonia Białystok: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 1.10. Legia Warszawa: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.77.
Goals by minute
Jagiellonia Białystok: 76-90+ (11 goals). Legia Warszawa: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ekstraklasa: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Jagiellonia Białystok displays impressive home form with a 67% win rate in home matches and a positive goal difference of +10. The hosts score an average of 2.56 goals per home match with only 11% of matches failing to score. Legia Warszawa, on the other hand, performs significantly worse away from home, winning only 9% of their matches and conceding an average of 1.55 goals with a negative goal difference of -6. Both teams' form in their last five matches is similar (1.6 PPG), yet Jagiellonia's home advantage and Legia's away weakness point towards the hosts. xG statistics also favor Białystok (2.0 vs 1.69), confirming their offensive edge. I expect a Jagiellonia victory, although Legia's solid form in recent matches could lead to a closely contested encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Jagiellonia Białystok | Legia Warszawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Jagiellonia Białystok is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Jagiellonia Białystok · 1 pts / match - Legia Warszawa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Jagiellonia Białystok is 54% better for: goals scored per match.
1.76 goals / match - Jagiellonia Białystok · 1.14 goals / match - Legia Warszawa
Jagiellonia Białystok is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.14 goals / match - Jagiellonia Białystok · 1.23 goals / match - Legia Warszawa
Jagiellonia Białystok scores in 81% of matches (17 of 21 matches), while Legia Warszawa keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 matches).
Legia Warszawa scores in 73% of matches (16 of 22 matches), while Jagiellonia Białystok keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Jagiellonia Białystok
Over / Under - Legia Warszawa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Jagiellonia Białystok is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - Jagiellonia Białystok · 1.09 pts / match - Legia Warszawa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Jagiellonia Białystok - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Legia Warszawa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Jagiellonia Białystok
Legia Warszawa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).
Teams vs league
| Jagiellonia Białystok | Liga | Legia Warszawa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.90 | 2.75 | ▼ 2.36 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 58% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 52% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 25% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 73% | • 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 78% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Jagiellonia Białystok 0 - 1 - 0 Legia Warszawa. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Jagiellonia Białystok vs Legia Warszawa?
The Ekstraklasa match finished Jagiellonia Białystok 2:2 Legia Warszawa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Jagiellonia Białystok vs Legia Warszawa?
Jagiellonia Białystok score 1.76 goals per game on average and Legia Warszawa 1.14. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Jagiellonia Białystok's matches and 64% of Legia Warszawa's.
What form are Jagiellonia Białystok and Legia Warszawa in?
Over the last 5 games Jagiellonia Białystok have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Legia Warszawa 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Jagiellonia Białystok vs Legia Warszawa?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.