Jagiellonia Białystok vs Motor Lublin: match statistics
Jagiellonia Białystok clearly dominates in home matches, achieving an impressive 71% win rate and averaging 2.57 goals per game. The hosts boast a significantly better offensive efficiency (xG 1.93 vs 1.46) and control the game with 61% possession. Motor Lublin shows poor form in away matches with only a 22% win rate, conceding an average of 1.89 goals per game and having a negative goal difference (-6). The quality difference between both teams in the home-away context is significant, which, combined with Jagiellonia's solid efficiency (16% shot conversion), gives the hosts a clear advantage. Motor's recent form (W D L D W) is better than Jagiellonia's (L L D D W), however, the hosts' home statistics and the visitors' weakness away from home point to a Jagiellonia Białystok victory.
Jagiellonia Białystok vs Motor Lublin: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Jagiellonia Białystok played Motor Lublin in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The match was played on 7 February 2026. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Jagiellonia Białystok: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Motor Lublin: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Jagiellonia Białystok scores 1.78 and concedes 1.22 goals per match. Motor Lublin scores 1.32 and concedes 1.53. League average: 2.87 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Jagiellonia Białystok 67%, Motor Lublin 63%. Over 2.5: Jagiellonia Białystok 67%, Motor Lublin 47%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Jagiellonia Białystok has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.48. Jagiellonia Białystok: 14.4 shots per match, Motor Lublin: 12.4.
Match halves
Jagiellonia Białystok: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 1.06. Motor Lublin: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.58.
Goals by minute
Jagiellonia Białystok: 76-90+ (9 goals). Motor Lublin: 46-60 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ekstraklasa: 2.87 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Jagiellonia Białystok clearly dominates in home matches, achieving an impressive 71% win rate and averaging 2.57 goals per game. The hosts boast a significantly better offensive efficiency (xG 1.93 vs 1.46) and control the game with 61% possession. Motor Lublin shows poor form in away matches with only a 22% win rate, conceding an average of 1.89 goals per game and having a negative goal difference (-6). The quality difference between both teams in the home-away context is significant, which, combined with Jagiellonia's solid efficiency (16% shot conversion), gives the hosts a clear advantage. Motor's recent form (W D L D W) is better than Jagiellonia's (L L D D W), however, the hosts' home statistics and the visitors' weakness away from home point to a Jagiellonia Białystok victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Jagiellonia Białystok | Motor Lublin | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Jagiellonia Białystok is 35% better for: goals scored per match.
1.78 goals / match - Jagiellonia Białystok · 1.32 goals / match - Motor Lublin
Jagiellonia Białystok is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.22 goals / match - Jagiellonia Białystok · 1.53 goals / match - Motor Lublin
Jagiellonia Białystok scores in 83% of matches (15 of 18 matches), while Motor Lublin keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
Motor Lublin scores in 79% of matches (15 of 19 matches), while Jagiellonia Białystok keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Jagiellonia Białystok
Over / Under - Motor Lublin
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Jagiellonia Białystok is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.39 pts / match - Jagiellonia Białystok · 1.21 pts / match - Motor Lublin
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Jagiellonia Białystok - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Motor Lublin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Jagiellonia Białystok
Motor Lublin
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).
Teams vs league
| Jagiellonia Białystok | Liga | Motor Lublin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.87 | • 2.84 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 60% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 55% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 28% | 23% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 74% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 83% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Jagiellonia Białystok 0 - 1 - 0 Motor Lublin. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Jagiellonia Białystok vs Motor Lublin?
The Ekstraklasa match finished Jagiellonia Białystok 4:1 Motor Lublin. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Jagiellonia Białystok vs Motor Lublin?
Jagiellonia Białystok score 1.78 goals per game on average and Motor Lublin 1.32. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Jagiellonia Białystok's matches and 63% of Motor Lublin's.
What form are Jagiellonia Białystok and Motor Lublin in?
Over the last 5 games Jagiellonia Białystok have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Motor Lublin 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Jagiellonia Białystok vs Motor Lublin?
The statistical background for Jagiellonia Białystok vs Motor Lublin — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.