Jagiellonia II vs Olimpia Elbląg: match statistics
The match promises to be very even, suggesting a draw as the most probable result. Jagiellonia II presents stable form at home with 40% wins and a goal difference of -3, while Olimpia Elbląg has weaker efficiency away (25% wins) and a balance of -5. Both teams have similar xG statistics, indicating an even quality of play. The recent form of both teams is inconsistent – the hosts earned 1 point per match in the last 5 meetings, the guests slightly better with 1.2 points. High FTS% indicators for the guests (13%) and a low percentage of clean sheets for both teams suggest goals on both sides. Considering the average of 2.9 goals per match for the hosts and 3.63 for the guests away, an exciting, open encounter ending in a split of points can be expected.
Jagiellonia II vs Olimpia Elbląg: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Jagiellonia II played Olimpia Elbląg in 3 Liga Group 1 (Poland). The match was played on 7 March 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Jagiellonia II: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Olimpia Elbląg: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Jagiellonia II scores 1.10 and concedes 1.45 goals per match. Olimpia Elbląg scores 1.68 and concedes 1.79. League average: 3.45 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Jagiellonia II 55%, Olimpia Elbląg 74%. Over 2.5: Jagiellonia II 35%, Olimpia Elbląg 58%. League level: BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 67%.
xG, shots and style
Jagiellonia II has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.42. Jagiellonia II: 9.1 shots per match, Olimpia Elbląg: 8.3.
Match halves
Jagiellonia II: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.65. Olimpia Elbląg: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.74.
Goals by minute
Jagiellonia II: 76-90+ (7 goals). Olimpia Elbląg: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 1: 3.45 goals per match, BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 67%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be very even, suggesting a draw as the most probable result. Jagiellonia II presents stable form at home with 40% wins and a goal difference of -3, while Olimpia Elbląg has weaker efficiency away (25% wins) and a balance of -5. Both teams have similar xG statistics, indicating an even quality of play. The recent form of both teams is inconsistent – the hosts earned 1 point per match in the last 5 meetings, the guests slightly better with 1.2 points. High FTS% indicators for the guests (13%) and a low percentage of clean sheets for both teams suggest goals on both sides. Considering the average of 2.9 goals per match for the hosts and 3.63 for the guests away, an exciting, open encounter ending in a split of points can be expected.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Jagiellonia II | Olimpia Elbląg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.60 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Olimpia Elbląg is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Jagiellonia II · 2.4 pts / match - Olimpia Elbląg
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Olimpia Elbląg is 53% better for: goals scored per match.
1.1 goals / match - Jagiellonia II · 1.68 goals / match - Olimpia Elbląg
Jagiellonia II is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.45 goals / match - Jagiellonia II · 1.79 goals / match - Olimpia Elbląg
Jagiellonia II scores in 75% of matches (15 of 20 matches), while Olimpia Elbląg keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 matches).
Olimpia Elbląg scores in 89% of matches (17 of 19 matches), while Jagiellonia II keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Jagiellonia II
Over / Under - Olimpia Elbląg
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Olimpia Elbląg is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / match - Jagiellonia II · 1.53 pts / match - Olimpia Elbląg
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Jagiellonia II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Olimpia Elbląg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 37%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Jagiellonia II
Olimpia Elbląg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 1).
Teams vs league
| Jagiellonia II | Liga | Olimpia Elbląg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.55 | 3.45 | • 3.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 55% | 65% | ▲ 74% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 67% | ▼ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 25% | 20% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 76% | ▲ 89% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 87% | ▼ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Olimpia ElblągGoalDominik Kozera
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Jagiellonia II 0 - 0 - 1 Olimpia Elbląg. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Jagiellonia II vs Olimpia Elbląg?
The 3 Liga Group 1 match finished Jagiellonia II 3:1 Olimpia Elbląg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Jagiellonia II vs Olimpia Elbląg?
Jagiellonia II score 1.10 goals per game on average and Olimpia Elbląg 1.68. The 3 Liga Group 1 average is 3.45 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Jagiellonia II's matches and 74% of Olimpia Elbląg's.
What form are Jagiellonia II and Olimpia Elbląg in?
Over the last 5 games Jagiellonia II have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Olimpia Elbląg 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Jagiellonia II vs Olimpia Elbląg?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.