Jagiellonia II vs Wigry Suwałki: match statistics

Wigry Suwałki are enjoying the better run of form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 12 goals in total, or 2.4 per game. Over the same period, Jagiellonia II recorded 3 wins and scored 7 goals, while their points-per-game average stands at 2.0 compared with 2.4 for the visitors. Both teams conceded 5 goals in their last five matches, making Wigry’s clearly superior finishing the key factor. The season is still in its early stages, but Wigry won their only league match so far without conceding, whereas Jagiellonia II allowed 2 goals. The visitors’ stronger attacking form points towards a narrow victory, although the hosts’ home advantage limits the extent to which they should be favoured.

The BTTS signal is driven primarily by current form: in their last 5 matches, both teams recorded this outcome in 60% of games. During this period, Jagiellonia II averaged 1.4 goals, while Wigry Suwałki averaged as many as 2.4, with both teams conceding 1.0 goal per match. Their attacking potential is also supported by the average xG figures: 1.36 for the hosts and 1.60 for the visitors, while Jagiellonia II allowed opponents 1.97 xG. The league environment also favors goals from both sides, with BTTS landing in 78% of matches and a high average of 3.89 goals per game. Seasonal data is very limited and contains extreme values, so greater weight should be placed on the teams’ last-five-match run, which points to a higher probability of each team scoring.

Jagiellonia II’s last five matches produced an average of 2.4 goals, while Wigry Suwałki’s matches averaged as many as 3.4 goals. Wigry are particularly dangerous offensively, having scored an average of 2.4 goals during this period, with an xG of 1.60, while Jagiellonia II allowed opponents an xG of 1.97. The hosts also have a strong case to score: they averaged 1.4 goals, while Wigry conceded 1.0 goal per match across their last five appearances. The league average is a very high 3.89 goals, and 89% of matches finish with at least three goals, although the limited sample of current team data calls for caution. The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals, as both teams’ profiles clearly support at least two goals, with a projected total of 3.05 goals.

Wigry are in clearly better current form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 2.4 goals, while Jagiellonia II have won 3 of 5 and averaged 1.4 goals. The visitors have been particularly strong starters, leading at the break in 67% of their recent appearances, averaging 2.0 goals before half-time and conceding none in that period. Jagiellonia II were trailing at half-time in 40% of their matches, and their average of 0.8 first-half goals is significantly lower than Wigry’s attacking tempo. After the interval, the hosts average 0.6 goals, but despite Wigry’s weaker second-half performances, they should still retain the advantage built before the break. Therefore, the most likely HT/FT outcome is 1/1: Wigry to lead at half-time and secure the final victory.