Germany - 3. LigaContinental ArenaData current as of 02 September 2026

Jahn Regensburg vs MSV Duisburg: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Jahn Regensburg vs MSV Duisburg: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Jahn Regensburg play MSV Duisburg in 3. Liga (Germany). The match date is 5 September 2026. Venue: Continental Arena.

Current form

Jahn Regensburg: 1-0-2, 1.00 points/match. MSV Duisburg: 3-0-0, 3.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Jahn Regensburg scores 2.00 and concedes 2.67 goals per match. MSV Duisburg scores 3.33 and concedes 0.67. League average: 3.60 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Jahn Regensburg 67%, MSV Duisburg 33%. Over 2.5: Jahn Regensburg 67%, MSV Duisburg 100%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 67%.

xG, shots and style

MSV Duisburg has higher xG: 2.00 vs 1.31. Jahn Regensburg: 11.7 shots per match, MSV Duisburg: 18.0.

Match halves

Jahn Regensburg: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.33. MSV Duisburg: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 2.33.

Goals by minute

Jahn Regensburg: 46-60 (2 goals). MSV Duisburg: 61-75 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

3. Liga: 3.60 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 67%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(3.40)
(3.70)
(1.98)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Jahn RegensburgMSV Duisburg
2Goals scored / match3.33
Jahn RegensburgMSV Duisburg
2.67Goals conceded / match0.67
Jahn RegensburgMSV Duisburg
41%Average possession47%
Jahn RegensburgMSV Duisburg
4.33Shots on target / match6.67
Jahn RegensburgMSV Duisburg

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.67Shots per match18
Jahn RegensburgMSV Duisburg
4.33Shots on target6.67
Jahn RegensburgMSV Duisburg
17.1%Shot conversion18.5%
Jahn RegensburgMSV Duisburg
41%Possession47%
Jahn RegensburgMSV Duisburg
1.31xG for2
Jahn RegensburgMSV Duisburg
1.84xG against0.9
Jahn RegensburgMSV Duisburg

Shooting quality

Jahn Regensburg: Counter-attackingMSV Duisburg: Counter-attacking
Jahn RegensburgMSV Duisburg
Accuracy (shots on target)37%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.460.50

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

MSV Duisburg is 200% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Jahn Regensburg · 3 pts / match - MSV Duisburg

Jahn Regensburg
WLL
Season result split
33% W0% R67% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-0-2
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Last 5 at home
0-0-1
L
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 2.7xG: 1.31Opponent xG: 1.84BTTS: 67%Over 2.5: 67%
MSV Duisburg
WWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
100% W0% R0% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-0-0
3.00 pts / match · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 away
1-0-0
W
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 3.3Goals conceded: 0.7xG: 2.00Opponent xG: 0.90BTTS: 33%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

MSV Duisburg is 67% better for: goals scored per match.

2 goals / match - Jahn Regensburg · 3.33 goals / match - MSV Duisburg

MSV Duisburg is 299% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.67 goals / match - Jahn Regensburg · 0.67 goals / match - MSV Duisburg

Jahn Regensburg scoring profile: mixed

Jahn Regensburg scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while MSV Duisburg keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 matches).

MSV Duisburg scoring profile: very strong

MSV Duisburg scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Jahn Regensburg keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).

6Goals scored (season)10
Jahn RegensburgMSV Duisburg
8Goals conceded (season)2
Jahn RegensburgMSV Duisburg
4.67Average goals in match4
Jahn RegensburgMSV Duisburg
6Goals scored (last 5)10
Jahn RegensburgMSV Duisburg
8Goals conceded (last 5)2
Jahn RegensburgMSV Duisburg

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal100%
Jahn RegensburgMSV Duisburg
33%2 goals100%
Jahn RegensburgMSV Duisburg
33%3 goals100%
Jahn RegensburgMSV Duisburg
33%4 goals33%
Jahn RegensburgMSV Duisburg

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal33%
Jahn RegensburgMSV Duisburg
67%2 goals33%
Jahn RegensburgMSV Duisburg
33%3 goals0%
Jahn RegensburgMSV Duisburg
33%4 goals0%
Jahn RegensburgMSV Duisburg

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

60%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
Jahn RegensburgMSV Duisburg
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Jahn RegensburgMSV Duisburg
33%Scored in both halves67%
Jahn RegensburgMSV Duisburg

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
Jahn RegensburgMSV Duisburg
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS67%
Jahn RegensburgMSV Duisburg
67%BTTS - last 533%
Jahn RegensburgMSV Duisburg

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
Jahn RegensburgMSV Duisburg
67%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
Jahn RegensburgMSV Duisburg
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Jahn RegensburgMSV Duisburg

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Jahn RegensburgMSV Duisburg
67%Min. 2 goals after half-time67%
Jahn RegensburgMSV Duisburg
67%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
Jahn RegensburgMSV Duisburg

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

MSV Duisburg is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.33 pts / match - Jahn Regensburg · 2 pts / match - MSV Duisburg

Jahn Regensburg - half-time state
33% leading33% draw33% trailing
MSV Duisburg - half-time state
67% leading0% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.33Points per match (1st half)2
Jahn RegensburgMSV Duisburg
0.67Goals scored (1st half)1
Jahn RegensburgMSV Duisburg
0.67Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
Jahn RegensburgMSV Duisburg
1.33Average goals (1st half)1.33
Jahn RegensburgMSV Duisburg
67%Clean sheet before half-time67%
Jahn RegensburgMSV Duisburg
67%No goal before half-time33%
Jahn RegensburgMSV Duisburg

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)3
Jahn RegensburgMSV Duisburg
1.33Goals scored (2nd half)2.33
Jahn RegensburgMSV Duisburg
2Goals conceded (2nd half)0.33
Jahn RegensburgMSV Duisburg
3.33Average goals (2nd half)2.67
Jahn RegensburgMSV Duisburg
0%Clean sheet after half-time67%
Jahn RegensburgMSV Duisburg
33%No goal after half-time0%
Jahn RegensburgMSV Duisburg

Jahn Regensburg - second-half results

33% W0% R67% P
4
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+1.3

Concedes 1.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

MSV Duisburg - second-half results

100% W0% R0% P
6
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding149%

Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Jahn Regensburg - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.331.00
Goals scored / match0.71.3
Goals conceded / match0.72.0
Average goals in match1.33.3
1 goal67%100%
2 goals67%67%
3 goals0%67%
Clean sheet67%0%
No goal67%33%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 33% leading - 33% draw - 33% trailing
2nd half: 33% won - 0% draw - 67% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
MSV Duisburg - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.003.00
Goals scored / match1.02.3
Goals conceded / match0.30.3
Average goals in match1.32.7
1 goal100%100%
2 goals33%67%
3 goals0%33%
Clean sheet67%67%
No goal33%0%
Goal difference+2+6
Half-time: 67% leading - 0% draw - 33% trailing
2nd half: 100% won - 0% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Jahn Regensburg
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
1
2
16-30
1
0
31-45
2
1
46-60
2
2
61-75
0
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

MSV Duisburg
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
1
46-60
6
0
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

4.33
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 3.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
120%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-31%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
67%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
4+
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Jahn Regensburg

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.53
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.69
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.83
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
104%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
160%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

MSV Duisburg

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.56
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+1.33
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.23
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
199%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
35%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.3
Late goals
10% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 30% come in the first quarter-hour.
10%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).

Teams vs league

Jahn RegensburgLigaMSV Duisburg
Average goals in match 4.673.60 4.00
Both teams scored 67%60% 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 67%67% 100%
Clean sheets 0%22% 67%
Goal before half-time 67%83% 100%
Goal after half-time 100%83% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.60
Average goals per match
60%
Both teams scored
67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.93
Home goals / match
1.67
Away goals / match
+16%
Home attack advantage
+13%
Home defence advantage
+3%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
13%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
33%
3 goals
17%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Jahn Regensburg 0 - 0 - 2 MSV Duisburg. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

MSV Duisburg
2 : 0
SSV Jahn 2000 Regensburg
SSV Jahn 2000 Regensburg
0 : 4
MSV Duisburg

FAQ

When do Jahn Regensburg and MSV Duisburg play?

Jahn Regensburg face MSV Duisburg on 5 September 2026 in 3. Liga at Continental Arena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Jahn Regensburg and MSV Duisburg?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Jahn Regensburg won 0, MSV Duisburg won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Jahn Regensburg vs MSV Duisburg?

Jahn Regensburg score 2.00 goals per game on average and MSV Duisburg 3.33. The 3. Liga average is 3.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Jahn Regensburg's matches and 33% of MSV Duisburg's.

What form are Jahn Regensburg and MSV Duisburg in?

Over the last 5 games Jahn Regensburg have a 1-0-2 record (1.00 points per game) and MSV Duisburg 3-0-0 (3.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Jahn Regensburg vs MSV Duisburg?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Jahn Regensburg vs MSV Duisburg: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.