Jahn Regensburg vs MSV Duisburg: match statistics
Jahn Regensburg vs MSV Duisburg: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Jahn Regensburg played MSV Duisburg in 3. Liga (Germany). The match was played on 5 September 2026. Venue: Continental Arena. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Jahn Regensburg: 1-0-2, 1.00 points/match. MSV Duisburg: 3-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Jahn Regensburg scores 2.00 and concedes 2.67 goals per match. MSV Duisburg scores 3.33 and concedes 0.67. League average: 3.58 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Jahn Regensburg 67%, MSV Duisburg 33%. Over 2.5: Jahn Regensburg 67%, MSV Duisburg 100%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 68%.
xG, shots and style
MSV Duisburg has higher xG: 2.00 vs 1.31. Jahn Regensburg: 11.7 shots per match, MSV Duisburg: 18.0.
Match halves
Jahn Regensburg: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.33. MSV Duisburg: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 2.33.
Goals by minute
Jahn Regensburg: 46-60 (2 goals). MSV Duisburg: 61-75 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3. Liga: 3.58 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 68%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
MSV Duisburg lead the table and have won all 3 of their league matches so far, while Jahn Regensburg have just 1 win and a 6:8 goal difference. The hosts have lost 4 of their last 5 matches and are yet to score at home, despite averaging 17 shots and 1.71 xG. Duisburg score an average of 4 goals away from home, create chances worth 2.27 xG and record 7 shots on target per match from 21 attempts overall. The difference in attacking quality is also reflected in the visitors’ 19% conversion rate, compared with Regensburg’s zero conversion rate at home. The hosts’ defence allows opponents 2.08 xG, so the league leaders should capitalise on their creative advantage and secure the win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
MSV Duisburg have strong attacking credentials: over their last 5 matches, they averaged 2.4 goals, generated 1.91 xG, and recorded an average of 7 shots on target per game. Regensburg conceded 2.0 goals per match during this period while allowing opponents 1.50 xG, making an away goal highly likely. However, the hosts scored only 1.2 goals per game in their last five outings, and their BTTS rate was 40%, which is the main risk to the both-teams-to-score scenario. On the other hand, Duisburg have kept a clean sheet in none of their matches this season, while their average of 1.2 goals conceded over the last 5 games supports Regensburg finding the net. Overall, the attacking strengths of both teams and the league-wide BTTS rate of 60% slightly point towards the "BTTS - Yes" outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Regensburg’s last five matches averaged 3.2 goals, with the team scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.0 goals per game. Duisburg’s matches have also been open, with the team averaging 2.4 goals, while 80% of its last five games ended with at least three goals. The visitors have a clear edge in chance creation, recording an xG of 1.91 compared with the hosts’ 1.44, while Regensburg’s defence allows opponents an xG of 1.50. Both teams have recorded over 1.5 goals in 100% of their matches so far this season, and the league-wide average is a high 3.6 goals. The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals, as the projected total of 3.15 goals provides a substantial margin above this line, even in a more cautious scenario.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Jahn Regensburg have won both available league matches, holding a lead at the break in 2 of 2 games, with an average of 1.5 goals scored and none conceded before half-time. In their only match so far, MSV Duisburg were trailing 0–1 after 45 minutes and failed to score in that period, reinforcing the scenario of the hosts taking control from the outset. However, Regensburg are currently on a weaker five-match run, with just 1 win and an average of 2.0 goals conceded, meaning the likelihood of a turnaround by the visitors remains significant. Nevertheless, the hosts have kept a clean sheet in 100% of their matches so far this season, while Duisburg concede an average of 2.0 goals, making a Regensburg lead at half-time followed by a full-time win the most likely outcome in the HT/FT market: 1/1. Duisburg’s higher xG, 2.27 compared with 1.90, and their average of 21 shots per match suggest that 1/1 is not a risk-free pick, but the first-half data more clearly support the hosts.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Jahn Regensburg | MSV Duisburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.46 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
MSV Duisburg is 200% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Jahn Regensburg · 3 pts / match - MSV Duisburg
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
MSV Duisburg is 67% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - Jahn Regensburg · 3.33 goals / match - MSV Duisburg
MSV Duisburg is 299% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.67 goals / match - Jahn Regensburg · 0.67 goals / match - MSV Duisburg
Jahn Regensburg scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while MSV Duisburg keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 matches).
MSV Duisburg scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Jahn Regensburg keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Jahn Regensburg
Over / Under - MSV Duisburg
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
MSV Duisburg is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - Jahn Regensburg · 2 pts / match - MSV Duisburg
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Jahn Regensburg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 1.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
MSV Duisburg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.7 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.3 | 3.3 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 67% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 67% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 0% |
| No goal | 67% | 33% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 2.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Average goals in match | 1.3 | 2.7 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 67% |
| No goal | 33% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Jahn Regensburg
MSV Duisburg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Jahn Regensburg | Liga | MSV Duisburg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.67 | 3.58 | ▲ 4.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 58% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 67% | 68% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 23% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 84% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 81% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Jahn Regensburg 0 - 0 - 2 MSV Duisburg. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Jahn Regensburg vs MSV Duisburg?
The 3. Liga match finished Jahn Regensburg 1:2 MSV Duisburg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Jahn Regensburg and MSV Duisburg?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Jahn Regensburg won 0, MSV Duisburg won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Jahn Regensburg vs MSV Duisburg?
Jahn Regensburg score 2.00 goals per game on average and MSV Duisburg 3.33. The 3. Liga average is 3.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 68% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Jahn Regensburg's matches and 33% of MSV Duisburg's.
What form are Jahn Regensburg and MSV Duisburg in?
Over the last 5 games Jahn Regensburg have a 1-0-2 record (1.00 points per game) and MSV Duisburg 3-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Jahn Regensburg vs MSV Duisburg?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Jahn Regensburg vs MSV Duisburg: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.