Germany - 3. LigaData current as of 06 September 2026

Jahn Regensburg vs Ulm: match statistics

Jahn Regensburg crest
Jahn Regensburg
1 : 1half-time 1:1
Ulm crest
Ulm
155%(2.05)
X25%(3.53)
220%(3.21)
BTTSOver/UnderHT/FT
Pick: 1Lost
Pick score:Pick score — the strength of the NoFluffPicks model signal for this pick.41.60
Value:Value — how much the bookmaker price is above our estimated probability. Positive value is favourable long term.12.75%

Jahn Regensburg presents decidedly better home form with 50% of matches won at home and a positive goal difference (+2) at their own stadium. The hosts have won 6 of the last 12 home matches, which demonstrates their solidity before their own crowd. Ulm, on the other hand, performs very poorly away with only 25% wins and a high percentage of losses amounting to 67%, conceding an average of 2.17 goals per away match and holding a negative goal difference of -10. Regensburg's advantage in shot efficiency (14% vs 11%) and higher average of shots on target per match at home (5.58 vs 3.5 for the visitors) additionally speaks for the hosts. Although both teams have identical form in the last 5 matches (1.4 PPG), Regensburg's decidedly better home statistics in confrontation with Ulm's disastrous away results give the hosts a real advantage.

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Jahn Regensburg vs Ulm: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Jahn Regensburg played Ulm in 3. Liga (Germany). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Jahn Regensburg: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Ulm: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Jahn Regensburg scores 1.32 and concedes 1.52 goals per match. Ulm scores 1.32 and concedes 2.04. League average: 3.15 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Jahn Regensburg 40%, Ulm 68%. Over 2.5: Jahn Regensburg 56%, Ulm 72%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 64%.

xG, shots and style

Jahn Regensburg has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.39. Jahn Regensburg: 13.0 shots per match, Ulm: 11.2.

Match halves

Jahn Regensburg: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.92. Ulm: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.84.

Goals by minute

Jahn Regensburg: 61-75 (10 goals). Ulm: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

3. Liga: 3.15 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 64%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Jahn Regensburg presents decidedly better home form with 50% of matches won at home and a positive goal difference (+2) at their own stadium. The hosts have won 6 of the last 12 home matches, which demonstrates their solidity before their own crowd. Ulm, on the other hand, performs very poorly away with only 25% wins and a high percentage of losses amounting to 67%, conceding an average of 2.17 goals per away match and holding a negative goal difference of -10. Regensburg's advantage in shot efficiency (14% vs 11%) and higher average of shots on target per match at home (5.58 vs 3.5 for the visitors) additionally speaks for the hosts. Although both teams have identical form in the last 5 matches (1.4 PPG), Regensburg's decidedly better home statistics in confrontation with Ulm's disastrous away results give the hosts a real advantage.

View the statistical overview

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

45Possession (%)55
Jahn RegensburgUlm
14Shots13
Jahn RegensburgUlm
3Shots on target1
Jahn RegensburgUlm
1.35xG1.14
Jahn RegensburgUlm
6Corners6
Jahn RegensburgUlm
36Dangerous attacks36
Jahn RegensburgUlm
15Fouls11
Jahn RegensburgUlm
3Cards2
Jahn RegensburgUlm

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.24Points per matchPPG - points per game.0.92
Jahn RegensburgUlm
1.32Goals scored / match1.32
Jahn RegensburgUlm
1.52Goals conceded / match2.04
Jahn RegensburgUlm
1.59xG forxG - expected goals, the quality of scoring chances.1.39
Jahn RegensburgUlm
46%Average possession51%
Jahn RegensburgUlm
4.84Shots on target / match3.8
Jahn RegensburgUlm
28%Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.16%
Jahn RegensburgUlm
40%Both teams scoredBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.68%
Jahn RegensburgUlm

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.04Shots per match11.2
Jahn RegensburgUlm
4.84Shots on target3.8
Jahn RegensburgUlm
10.1%Shot conversion11.8%
Jahn RegensburgUlm
46%Possession51%
Jahn RegensburgUlm
1.59xG for1.39
Jahn RegensburgUlm
1.59xG against1.68
Jahn RegensburgUlm

Shooting quality

Jahn Regensburg: BalancedUlm: Balanced
Jahn RegensburgUlm
Accuracy (shots on target)37%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Jahn Regensburg
LWDLW
Season result split
36% W16% R48% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-4-12
1.24 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-2-4
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LWLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.82Opponent xG: 1.49BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Ulm
WWLLD
Season result split
28% W8% R64% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-2-16
0.92 pts / match · goal difference -18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-1-8
Last 5 away
2-0-3
LWLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.52Opponent xG: 1.26BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Jahn Regensburg is 34% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.52 goals / match - Jahn Regensburg · 2.04 goals / match - Ulm

Jahn Regensburg scoring profile: very strong

Jahn Regensburg scores in 64% of matches (16 of 25 matches), while Ulm keeps a clean sheet in 16% (4 of 25 matches).

Ulm scoring profile: very strong

Ulm scores in 84% of matches (21 of 25 matches), while Jahn Regensburg keeps a clean sheet in 28% (7 of 25 matches).

33Goals scored (season)33
Jahn RegensburgUlm
38Goals conceded (season)51
Jahn RegensburgUlm
2.84Average goals in match3.36
Jahn RegensburgUlm
5Goals scored (last 5)7
Jahn RegensburgUlm
6Goals conceded (last 5)6
Jahn RegensburgUlm
Jahn Regensburg
28%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.7 of 25 matches
36%
No goalFailed to score - a match where the team did not score.9 of 25 matches
Ulm
16%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.4 of 25 matches
16%
No goalFailed to score - a match where the team did not score.4 of 25 matches

How often they score at least...

64%1 goal84%
Jahn RegensburgUlm
44%2 goals24%
Jahn RegensburgUlm
20%3 goals16%
Jahn RegensburgUlm
4%4 goals4%
Jahn RegensburgUlm

How often they concede at least...

72%1 goal84%
Jahn RegensburgUlm
48%2 goals56%
Jahn RegensburgUlm
24%3 goals36%
Jahn RegensburgUlm
8%4 goals16%
Jahn RegensburgUlm

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

40%
Jahn Regensburg - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.10 of 25 matches
68%
Ulm - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.17 of 25 matches
63%
League average

Goal patterns

12%BTTS at half-time28%
Jahn RegensburgUlm
8%BTTS in both halves8%
Jahn RegensburgUlm
32%Scored in both halves16%
Jahn RegensburgUlm

BTTS and goal count

32%Min. 3 goals and BTTS60%
Jahn RegensburgUlm
24%Min. 3 goals without BTTS12%
Jahn RegensburgUlm
40%BTTS - last 560%
Jahn RegensburgUlm

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

96%Min. 1 goal (Over 0.5)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.100%
Jahn RegensburgUlm
84%Min. 2 goals (Over 1.5)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.80%
Jahn RegensburgUlm
56%Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.72%
Jahn RegensburgUlm
28%Min. 4 goals (Over 3.5)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.44%
Jahn RegensburgUlm
12%Min. 5 goals (Over 4.5)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.24%
Jahn RegensburgUlm

Over / Under - Jahn Regensburg

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.
Over 96%Under 4%
Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.
Over 84%Under 16%
Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.
Over 56%Under 44%
Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.
Over 28%Under 72%
Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.
Over 12%Under 88%

Over / Under - Ulm

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.
Over 100%Under 0%
Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.
Over 80%Under 20%
Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.
Over 72%Under 28%
Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.
Over 44%Under 56%
Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.
Over 24%Under 76%

1st half

84%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
Jahn RegensburgUlm
28%Min. 2 goals before half-time44%
Jahn RegensburgUlm
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
Jahn RegensburgUlm

2nd half

88%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
Jahn RegensburgUlm
56%Min. 2 goals after half-time64%
Jahn RegensburgUlm
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time36%
Jahn RegensburgUlm

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Jahn Regensburg is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.12 pts / match - Jahn Regensburg · 0.8 pts / match - Ulm

Jahn Regensburg - half-time state
28% leading28% draw44% trailing
Ulm - half-time state
16% leading32% draw52% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.12Points per match (1st half)0.8
Jahn RegensburgUlm
0.4Goals scored (1st half)0.48
Jahn RegensburgUlm
0.72Goals conceded (1st half)1
Jahn RegensburgUlm
1.12Average goals (1st half)1.48
Jahn RegensburgUlm
44%Clean sheet before half-time32%
Jahn RegensburgUlm
60%No goal before half-time60%
Jahn RegensburgUlm

After half-time (2nd half)

1.36Points per match (2nd half)1
Jahn RegensburgUlm
0.92Goals scored (2nd half)0.84
Jahn RegensburgUlm
0.8Goals conceded (2nd half)1.04
Jahn RegensburgUlm
1.72Average goals (2nd half)1.88
Jahn RegensburgUlm
52%Clean sheet after half-time40%
Jahn RegensburgUlm
44%No goal after half-time40%
Jahn RegensburgUlm

Jahn Regensburg - second-half results

40% W16% R44% P
28
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
34
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.12
PPG before half-time
Lead holding129%

Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Ulm - second-half results

20% W40% R40% P
20
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
-13
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.80
PPG before half-time
Lead holding175%

Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Jahn Regensburg - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.60
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match1.01.2
1 goal80%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Ulm - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.60
Goals scored / match0.21.2
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match0.81.8
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-2+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Jahn Regensburg
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
3
8
16-30
4
9
31-45
5
3
46-60
10
10
61-75
8
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Ulm
ScoredConceded
1
8
0-15
5
11
16-30
6
6
31-45
8
9
46-60
4
8
61-75
9
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.10
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
54%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-3%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
54%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Jahn Regensburg

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
0.00
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.27
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
78%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
105%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.16
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

Ulm

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.29
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.43
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.36
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
91%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
121%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.48
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 3% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).

Teams vs league

Jahn RegensburgLigaUlm
Average goals in match▼ 2.843.15▲ 3.36
Both teams scored▼ 40%63%▲ 68%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 56%64%▲ 72%
Clean sheets▲ 28%22%▼ 16%
Goal before half-time▲ 84%76%▲ 80%
Goal after half-time▲ 88%84%▼ 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.15
Average goals per match
63%
Both teams scored
64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.69
Home goals / match
1.45
Away goals / match
+17%
Home attack advantage
+14%
Home defence advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
55%
2 goals
28%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Home team

Away team

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Jahn RegensburgGoalChristian KühlwetterAssist: Nicolas Oliveira Kisilowski
  2. UlmSubstitutionOn: Lukas MazaggOff: Marcel Seegert
  3. Jahn RegensburgYellow cardBenedikt Saller
  4. UlmGoalDennis Chessa
  5. UlmYellow cardLukas Mazagg
  6. Jahn RegensburgSubstitutionOn: Philipp MüllerOff: Benedikt Saller
  7. Jahn RegensburgYellow cardFelix Strauß
  8. Jahn RegensburgYellow cardPhil Beckhoff
  9. Jahn RegensburgSubstitutionOn: Sebastian StolzeOff: Benedikt Bauer
  10. UlmYellow cardMax Brandt

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

RefereeChristian Ballweg

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Christian BallwegMatches officiated: 14
4.07Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 243%Home wins36%Draws21%Away wins

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Jahn Regensburg 0 - 0 - 1 Ulm. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

SSV Ulm 1846
2 : 1
SSV Jahn 2000 Regensburg

FAQ

What was the result of Jahn Regensburg vs Ulm?

The 3. Liga match finished Jahn Regensburg 1:1 Ulm. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Jahn Regensburg vs Ulm?

Jahn Regensburg score 1.32 goals per game on average and Ulm 1.32. The 3. Liga average is 3.15 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Jahn Regensburg's matches and 68% of Ulm's.

What form are Jahn Regensburg and Ulm in?

Over the last 5 games Jahn Regensburg have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Ulm 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Jahn Regensburg vs Ulm?

The statistical background for Jahn Regensburg vs Ulm — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.