Jamshedpur vs ATK Mohun Bagan: match statistics
Jamshedpur vs ATK Mohun Bagan: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Jamshedpur played ATK Mohun Bagan in Indian Super League (India). The match was played on 4 April 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Jamshedpur: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. ATK Mohun Bagan: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Jamshedpur scores 1.17 and concedes 0.67 goals per match. ATK Mohun Bagan scores 2.33 and concedes 0.50. League average: 2.45 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Jamshedpur 50%, ATK Mohun Bagan 33%. Over 2.5: Jamshedpur 33%, ATK Mohun Bagan 33%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
ATK Mohun Bagan has higher xG: 2.60 vs 1.38. Jamshedpur: 10.2 shots per match, ATK Mohun Bagan: 21.2.
Match halves
Jamshedpur: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 1.00. ATK Mohun Bagan: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Jamshedpur: 76-90+ (3 goals). ATK Mohun Bagan: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Indian Super League: 2.45 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-2. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Jamshedpur shows very strong home metrics: 100% home wins, 100% clean sheets, averaging 1.00 goals scored and 0.00 conceded per home match with xG 1.22. In the last 5 matches the hosts scored 6 goals and won 3 of 5, averaging 2 points per match in that span. ATK Mohun Bagan has a significantly better season goal tally (14 vs 7) and has scored 12 goals in the last 5 matches; their away xG is 1.93 with 16 shots and 4 on target, compared to the hosts’ 9.33 shots and 2 on target. However, the visitors have a 100% draw rate away and a 100% rate of matches without scoring on the road, which limits their chances despite higher chance creation; both teams also display excellent defensive records (Jamshedpur 0.00 conceded at home, ATK 0.00 conceded away). Considering this, I expect a low-scoring game and give the hosts a slight edge, while a draw remains very likely.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Jamshedpur has a seasonal xG of 2.73 and scores 2.8 goals per home match on average, with xG against of 0.73 and conceding 0.6 on average, indicating a strong home attack and relatively tight defence. ATK Mohun Bagan has an xG of 2.5 in the last 5 matches and has scored 12 goals (2.4 per match), while conceding 0.6 on average, so the away side are creating plenty of chances and converting. In the last 5 matches BTTS is 60% for the hosts and 40% for the visitors, and the league average BTTS is 54%, meaning both teams score in over half of league games. Although the visitors’ seasonal stats show 0% BTTS and 100% clean sheets away, other metrics — 12 goals in 5, xG 2.5 for the visitors and 4.0 shots on target average for the visitors versus 8.2 SOT for the hosts — suggest the away side can still find the net. Considering the xG comparison (hosts 2.73 vs visitors season 1.93, and visitors’ last 5 matches 2.5), the chance creation and recent form, I tip BTTS - Yes with a 60% probability vs 40% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG assessment shows Jamshedpur with xG 2.73 and ATK Mohun Bagan with 1.93, totaling 4.66 expected goals. The home side averages 8.2 shots on target and 22.2 total shots per game versus the visitors' 4.0 shots on target and 16.0 total, while the season scoring average for hosts is 2.8 goals for and 0.6 conceded, indicating a substantial attacking edge. A Poisson model with lambda = 4.66 yields probabilities: Over 1.5 ≈95%, Over 2.5 ≈84% and Over 3.5 ≈69%. The strongest and most certain market is Over 1.5 (95% probability), therefore I recommend backing Over 1.5; Over 2.5 remains a strong but less certain option (84%). Note the divergence in team indicators: the season share of matches with both teams scoring is 40% for the hosts and 0% for the visitors, while in the last 5 matches it was 60% and 40% respectively, which supports a higher-goal forecast but does not change the conservative recommendation of Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Jamshedpur have a clear lead at the break: they led at half-time in 4 of 5 matches (80%), averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded in the first half. Seasonal metrics confirm the home side’s dominance — averaging 2.8 goals per match at home versus 0.0 away for opponents, 2.4 points per home match and an 80% home win rate (seasonScoredAVG_home 2.8; seasonScoredAVG_away 0.0; seasonPPG_home 2.4; winPercentage_home 80.0). Expected goals and shooting efficiency also favor Jamshedpur: home xG 2.73 versus 1.93 for the visitors, and 8.2 shots on target compared to 4.0, with hosts most often scoring between minutes 16–45 (3 goals in 16–30 and 5 goals in 31–45). Based on this, the most likely scenario is Jamshedpur leading at half-time and winning at full-time (1/1) — I assign this a 50% probability, while alternatives like 1/X (15%) or X/X (6%) receive smaller shares.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Jamshedpur | ATK Mohun Bagan | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
ATK Mohun Bagan is 99% better for: goals scored per match.
1.17 goals / match - Jamshedpur · 2.33 goals / match - ATK Mohun Bagan
ATK Mohun Bagan is 34% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.67 goals / match - Jamshedpur · 0.5 goals / match - ATK Mohun Bagan
Jamshedpur scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while ATK Mohun Bagan keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).
ATK Mohun Bagan scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Jamshedpur keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Jamshedpur
Over / Under - ATK Mohun Bagan
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
ATK Mohun Bagan is 117% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Jamshedpur · 2.17 pts / match - ATK Mohun Bagan
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Jamshedpur - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
ATK Mohun Bagan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Jamshedpur
ATK Mohun Bagan
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Indian Super League).
Teams vs league
| Jamshedpur | Liga | ATK Mohun Bagan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.83 | 2.45 | ▲ 2.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 38% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 26% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 70% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 78% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Jamshedpur 1 - 1 - 2 ATK Mohun Bagan. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Jamshedpur vs ATK Mohun Bagan?
The Indian Super League match finished Jamshedpur 1:1 ATK Mohun Bagan. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Jamshedpur and ATK Mohun Bagan?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Jamshedpur won 1, ATK Mohun Bagan won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Jamshedpur vs ATK Mohun Bagan?
Jamshedpur score 1.17 goals per game on average and ATK Mohun Bagan 2.33. The Indian Super League average is 2.45 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Jamshedpur's matches and 33% of ATK Mohun Bagan's.
What form are Jamshedpur and ATK Mohun Bagan in?
Over the last 5 games Jamshedpur have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and ATK Mohun Bagan 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Jamshedpur vs ATK Mohun Bagan?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.