Japan vs Sweden: match statistics
Japan vs Sweden: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Japan played Sweden in World Cup (International). The match was played on 25 June 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Japan: 1-1-0, 2.00 points/match. Sweden: 1-0-1, 1.50 points/match.
Goal statistics
Japan scores 3.00 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Sweden scores 3.00 and concedes 3.00. League average: 2.96 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Japan 50%, Sweden 100%. Over 2.5: Japan 100%, Sweden 100%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Sweden has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.23. Japan: 10.5 shots per match, Sweden: 14.5.
Match halves
Japan: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 2.00. Sweden: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 2.00.
Goals by minute
Japan: 76-90+ (2 goals). Sweden: 46-60 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
World Cup: 2.96 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Typ 1X2: 1. Japan has four points after a draw with Netherlands and a 4-0 victory over Tunisia. Sweden broke Tunisia, but then lost 1-5 to Netherlands, revealing problems in defending space behind the midfield. Japan is the slight favorite thanks to better organization, but the Swedish strikers maintain a high level of risk. Our independent rating is 40% for Japan, 29% for draw and 31% for Sweden. The most likely outcome profile is 2:1 or 1:1; the bet is 40% and takes into account motivation, rotation and the course of the first two rounds. Status: NOBET
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Typ BTTS: yes. Japan has four points after drawing with Netherlands and winning 4-0 over Tunisia. Sweden broke Tunisia, but then lost 1-5 to Netherlands, revealing problems in defending space behind the midfield. Japan is the slight favorite thanks to better organization, but the Swedish strikers maintain a high level of risk. Both teams have clear offensive advantages, with Sweden having to look for a result rather than just protecting a draw. The goal model gives 53% on BTTS Yes and 47% on BTTS No, with expected goals of 1.45 for Japan and 1.20 for Sweden. This is not a conclusion from the odds, but from the quality of the situations created, the style of the match and the needs of the table. Status: NOBET
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Typ: Under 2.5. Japan has four points after a draw with Netherlands and a 4-0 win over Tunisia. Sweden broke Tunisia, but then lost 1-5 to Netherlands, revealing problems in defending space behind the midfield. Japan is the slight favorite thanks to better organization, but the Swedish strikers maintain a high level of risk. The model gives 49% on Over 2.5 and 51% on Under 2.5, with xG Japan 1.45, Sweden 1.20 and 2.65 in total. On line 2.5, the goal of the weaker side is crucial: the result of 2:0 leaves the under, while 2:1 immediately moves the match to the over. A 2:1 or 1:1 profile explains why the advantage of the selected market side is not always large. Status: NOBET
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Typ HT/FT: 1/1. Japan has four points after a draw with Netherlands and a 4-0 win over Tunisia. Sweden broke Tunisia, but then lost 1-5 to Netherlands, revealing problems in defending space behind the midfield. Japan is the slight favorite thanks to better organization, but the Swedish strikers maintain a high level of risk. Japan more often takes control gradually, but with its current form it can also lead to a break already. The highest paths were 1/1 23%, X/X 17% and 2/2 17%. The HT/FT distribution has been calibrated so that its final result is consistent with our 1X2: 40%–29%–31%. This is a high-variance market, so the stake should be lower than the base market. Status: NOBET
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Japan | Sweden | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 52% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.75 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Japan is 33% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Japan · 1.5 pts / match - Sweden
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Japan is 200% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Japan · 3 goals / match - Sweden
Japan scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Sweden keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).
Sweden scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Japan keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Japan
Over / Under - Sweden
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Japan is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - Japan · 1.5 pts / match - Sweden
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Japan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sweden - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Average goals in match | 2.5 | 3.5 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 50% | 100% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Japan
Sweden
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (World Cup).
Teams vs league
| Japan | Liga | Sweden | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.00 | 2.96 | ▲ 6.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▲ 100% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 55% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 28% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 71% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 80% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Japan vs Sweden?
The World Cup match finished Japan 1:1 Sweden. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Japan vs Sweden?
Japan score 3.00 goals per game on average and Sweden 3.00. The World Cup average is 2.96 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Japan's matches and 100% of Sweden's.
What form are Japan and Sweden in?
Over the last 5 games Japan have a 1-1-0 record (2.00 points per game) and Sweden 1-0-1 (1.50 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Japan vs Sweden?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.