JäPS vs KTP: match statistics
JäPS vs KTP: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
JäPS played KTP in Ykkösliiga (Finland). The match was played on 16 May 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
JäPS: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. KTP: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
JäPS scores 1.17 and concedes 0.83 goals per match. KTP scores 1.20 and concedes 1.20. League average: 2.41 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: JäPS 0%, KTP 40%. Over 2.5: JäPS 33%, KTP 40%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 41%.
xG, shots and style
KTP has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.09. JäPS: 8.5 shots per match, KTP: 15.6.
Match halves
JäPS: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.50. KTP: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
JäPS: 16-30 (2 goals). KTP: 61-75 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ykkösliiga: 2.41 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 41%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
JäPS have a clear home advantage: 100% wins and 100% clean sheets in home matches, averaging 1.67 goals scored and 0 conceded per game. In the last 5 home fixtures they won all 5, scoring 18 and conceding only 2 (avg. 3.6 scored and 0.4 conceded per game) and collecting an average of 3 points per game in that period. KTP away averages 1.0 goal scored and 1.67 conceded per game, has 33% of away matches without scoring and a negative away goal difference (-2); in their last 5 overall matches they scored 6 and conceded 9, giving them an average of 1.4 points per game. Although KTP have higher away xG (1.66 vs 1.18 for JäPS) and greater possession (55% vs 39%), the visitors register only 2.67 shots on target and a 6% conversion rate, while JäPS have 4.33 shots on target and an 18% conversion, indicating a significant efficiency advantage for the hosts. Considering JäPS’s perfect home record, superior shot efficiency and a much better recent goal balance over the last 5 matches (18–2 vs 6–9), I assess the chances as: JäPS win ~70%, draw 18%, KTP win 12%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
JäPS has strong home form: seasonally they score 1.5 goals and concede only 0.5 per match, and over the last 5 games they record 3.6 scored and 0.4 conceded (18 scored and 2 conceded), indicating clear offensive superiority and solid defence. KTP as the away side shows average offensive metrics: seasonally 1.0 goal per match and 2.67 shots on target with a 6% conversion, and in the last 5 matches they have 6 goals and 9 conceded (1.2 scored/1.8 conceded), which limits the realistic chance of breaking down a well-organised JäPS defence. BTTS percentages are mixed but lean against both teams scoring: JäPS 50% BTTS at home, KTP 33% away, league average 41%; additionally KTP has a seasonal 67% clean sheets on the road. xG confirms the quality gap — JäPS xG_for 1.81 vs KTP xG_for 1.66, with xG_against JäPS 0.95 (and xG_against KTP 1.34), so JäPS creates better chances and less often allows good opportunities, while KTP suffers from low shot efficiency. Considering these indicators (0.5 conceded by JäPS seasonally, 0.4 in last 5, 2.67 shots on target and 6% conversion for KTP) and historical 50–67% clean sheets, I rate 'No' (No Goal) as the strongest signal: 70% probability of no BTTS vs 30% for BTTS (BTTS - Yes).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I set expected goals as the average of the xG model and seasonal values: for JäPS xG = 1.81 and xG against KTP = 1.34 (average ~1.58), seasonal values 1.5 scored / 1.67 conceded give ~1.59, so I adopted 1.58 goals for JäPS. For KTP xG = 1.66 vs xG against JäPS = 0.95 (average ~1.31), seasonal 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded give ~0.75, so the average of these is 1.03 goals for KTP; expected total = 2.61. Additionally JäPS scored 18 goals in the last 5 matches (3.6/match) and is in form 'wwwww', while KTP has scored 6 goals (1.2/match) and conceded 9 (1.8/match), which favors the home side. JäPS averages 5.0 shots on target versus KTP's 2.67 and has a conversion rate of 10% compared to KTP's 6%, which increases the likelihood of chance conversion and at least two goals in the match. As a result I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal (88%) with moderate support for Over 2.5 (60%) and low for Over 3.5 (27%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
JäPS is the clear favorite: they have a 100% win rate this season and average 3.0 points per match, whereas KTP wins only 33% of games and averages 1.33 points per match. Offensively JäPS score 1.5 goals on average with an xG of 1.81 and 5.0 shots on target, while KTP score 1.0 goal with an xG of 1.66 and 2.67 shots on target; KTP concede 1.67 goals versus 0.5 conceded by JäPS, which indicates the hosts’ superiority in finishing and defense. Supporting a lead at the break, the last five matches show JäPS led at half-time in 60% of games and averaged 1.6 goals by the break, and despite season-long HT stats showing 100% draws I prioritize recent form as the stronger signal. Additionally, JäPS average 1.5 goals after the break and have a 100% win rate in second halves, while KTP concede 1.0 goal on average after half-time, so the hosts are favored to hold the lead and win. Therefore, as the strongest signal I select the 1/1 scenario (hosts lead at half-time and win the match).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| JäPS | KTP | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 49% | 23% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
JäPS is 20% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - JäPS · 2 pts / match - KTP
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
JäPS is 45% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.83 goals / match - JäPS · 1.2 goals / match - KTP
JäPS scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while KTP keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 matches).
KTP scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while JäPS keeps a clean sheet in 83% (5 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - JäPS
Over / Under - KTP
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
JäPS is 129% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.83 pts / match - JäPS · 0.8 pts / match - KTP
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
JäPS - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
KTP - second-half results
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
JäPS
KTP
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ykkösliiga).
Teams vs league
| JäPS | Liga | KTP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.41 | • 2.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 0% | 41% | • 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 41% | • 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 83% | 34% | ▲ 60% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 59% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 62% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of JäPS vs KTP?
The Ykkösliiga match finished JäPS 0:1 KTP. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before JäPS vs KTP?
JäPS score 1.17 goals per game on average and KTP 1.20. The Ykkösliiga average is 2.41 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 0% of JäPS's matches and 40% of KTP's.
What form are JäPS and KTP in?
Over the last 5 games JäPS have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and KTP 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for JäPS vs KTP?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for JäPS vs KTP: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.