Jaro vs TPS: match statistics
Jaro vs TPS: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Jaro play TPS in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match date is 2 May 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Jaro: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. TPS: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Jaro scores 0.94 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. TPS scores 1.25 and concedes 1.19. League average: 2.67 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Jaro 50%, TPS 56%. Over 2.5: Jaro 56%, TPS 50%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
TPS has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.42. Jaro: 11.7 shots per match, TPS: 11.7.
Match halves
Jaro: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.25. TPS: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.69.
Goals by minute
Jaro: 16-30 (4 goals). TPS: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Veikkausliiga: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I back an away win for TPS because their away offensive metrics are clearly superior: average xG for TPS on the road is 1.84 versus Jaro’s 1.20 xG in home matches, and the visitors average 17 shots per game compared to the hosts’ 8.5. The gap in real goals and finishing is evident — TPS has 6 goals this season and averages 1.0 goal away, while Jaro has only 2 goals this season and averages 0.5 goals per home match; additionally TPS has not had a single goalless away game (FTS 0%), whereas Jaro failed to score in 50% of their home fixtures. Defensively both teams concede roughly 1 goal per game (Jaro 1.0, TPS 1.0), but xG against favors the visitors — Jaro allows 1.04 xG per match while TPS only 0.78 xG, suggesting the visitors limit opponents’ high-quality chances. Form trends reinforce TPS’s edge: in the last 5 matches they have 3 wins and 2 draws with 8 goals and 2.2 points per game, while Jaro’s last 5 show 2 wins and 3 draws with 6 goals and 1.8 points per game. Considering the roughly double shot volume (17 vs 8.5), higher xG (1.84 vs 1.20) and superior PPG (2.2 vs 1.8), I assign TPS a 60% probability to win, draw 25% and Jaro success 15%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Jaro | TPS | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
TPS is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Jaro · 1.4 pts / match - TPS
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
TPS is 33% better for: goals scored per match.
0.94 goals / match - Jaro · 1.25 goals / match - TPS
TPS is 68% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Jaro · 1.19 goals / match - TPS
Jaro scores in 56% of matches (9 of 16 matches), while TPS keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).
TPS scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while Jaro keeps a clean sheet in 19% (3 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Jaro
Over / Under — TPS
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Jaro is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / match - Jaro · 1 pts / match - TPS
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Jaro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
TPS - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Jaro
TPS
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| Jaro | Liga | TPS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.94 | 2.67 | ▼ 2.44 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 51% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 47% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 28% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 75% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 78% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Jaro 0 - 0 - 1 TPS. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Jaro vs TPS?
The Veikkausliiga match finished Jaro 2:2 TPS. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Jaro vs TPS?
Jaro score 0.94 goals per game on average and TPS 1.25. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Jaro's matches and 56% of TPS's.
What form are Jaro and TPS in?
Over the last 5 games Jaro have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and TPS 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Jaro vs TPS?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.