Jaro vs TPS: match statistics
Jaro vs TPS: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Jaro played TPS in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match was played on 2 May 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Jaro: 0-3-1, 0.75 points/match. TPS: 2-2-0, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Jaro scores 0.50 and concedes 0.75 goals per match. TPS scores 1.50 and concedes 0.75. League average: 2.41 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Jaro 50%, TPS 75%. Over 2.5: Jaro 0%, TPS 25%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 41%.
xG, shots and style
TPS has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.54. Jaro: 12.5 shots per match, TPS: 13.3.
Match halves
Jaro: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.00. TPS: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Jaro: 0-15 (1 goals). TPS: 46-60 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Veikkausliiga: 2.41 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 41%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back an away win for TPS because their away offensive metrics are clearly superior: average xG for TPS on the road is 1.84 versus Jaro’s 1.20 xG in home matches, and the visitors average 17 shots per game compared to the hosts’ 8.5. The gap in real goals and finishing is evident — TPS has 6 goals this season and averages 1.0 goal away, while Jaro has only 2 goals this season and averages 0.5 goals per home match; additionally TPS has not had a single goalless away game (FTS 0%), whereas Jaro failed to score in 50% of their home fixtures. Defensively both teams concede roughly 1 goal per game (Jaro 1.0, TPS 1.0), but xG against favors the visitors — Jaro allows 1.04 xG per match while TPS only 0.78 xG, suggesting the visitors limit opponents’ high-quality chances. Form trends reinforce TPS’s edge: in the last 5 matches they have 3 wins and 2 draws with 8 goals and 2.2 points per game, while Jaro’s last 5 show 2 wins and 3 draws with 6 goals and 1.8 points per game. Considering the roughly double shot volume (17 vs 8.5), higher xG (1.84 vs 1.20) and superior PPG (2.2 vs 1.8), I assign TPS a 60% probability to win, draw 25% and Jaro success 15%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show strong BTTS indicators: Jaro has BTTS 67% this season, while TPS 100%, vs league average 54%, indicating a tilt toward a both-teams-to-score scenario. In the last 5 matches Jaro had BTTS in 60% of games and TPS in 80%, and last-5 goals averages are 1.2 scored and 0.6 conceded for Jaro, and 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded for TPS, so both teams regularly find the net. TPS creates more chances (avg 17 shots and xG 1.84) vs Jaro (12 shots and xG 1.47); despite TPS’s lower conversion 6% vs Jaro 14%, the higher chance volume increases the likelihood TPS will score. Additionally TPS has zero clean sheets this season (0% clean sheets), whereas Jaro has 33% clean sheets, suggesting TPS frequently concedes while Jaro is involved in matches with goals at both ends. Considering the season-long 67% and 100%, recent 60% and 80%, higher TPS xG 1.84 and TPS’s lack of clean sheets, I assess BTTS probability at 78% vs 22% and tip 'yes' (BTTS - Yes).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Expected xG is 1.12 for Jaro and 1.61 for TPS (total 2.73), calculated as the average of team attacking xG and opponent xG against: (1.47+0.78)/2 and (1.84+1.37)/2. Both teams have 100% of matches >1.5 goals this season, and the percentage of games with both teams scoring is 67% for Jaro and 100% for TPS; such historical figures strongly support the 1.5 threshold. A Poisson distribution analysis with an expected total of 2.73 yields about a 51% chance of 3+ goals, however the seasonal profiles diverge: Jaro had 33% of matches >2.5 goals, TPS 0%, so I give the Over 2.5 market a moderate edge (~52%). Exceeding 3.5 goals according to this distribution is around 29%, and seasonally both clubs have 0% of matches >3.5 goals, therefore Under 3.5 (≈71%) appears the safer choice. In summary, the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (selection: over at the 1.5 line), because historically both teams had 100% of matches >1.5, the predicted total is 2.73 goals and there is a high percentage of both-teams-to-score games (67% and 100%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Numerical analysis indicates the strongest scenario is the home team leading at half-time and winning at full-time (1/1): the hosts led at the break in 2 of 3 matches (67%) and kept a clean sheet at half-time in 100% of cases, with an average goals at half-time of 0.67 versus 0.0 for the visitors. Over the full match the hosts average 1.67 goals scored and 0.67 conceded, with a win rate of 67% versus 0% wins for the visitors (visitors have 100% draws, 1 of 1 match), which favors a Jaro victory. At the same time TPS generates higher xG (1.84 vs 1.47) and more shots (17 vs 12) but has a low conversion rate of 6% versus the hosts’ 14%, which increases the chance of a late equalizer. Additionally, the visitors scored in minutes 76–90 (1 goal), while the hosts more often concede in 61–75 (2 goals), so I assign a significant but smaller chance to the 1/X scenario. As a result I attribute the highest probability to 1/1 (home leading at the break and winning), though 1/X is realistic due to the visitors’ tendency to draw.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Jaro | TPS | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.10 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
TPS is 167% better for: last-5 form.
0.75 pts / match - Jaro · 2 pts / match - TPS
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
TPS is 200% better for: goals scored per match.
0.5 goals / match - Jaro · 1.5 goals / match - TPS
Jaro scores in 50% of matches (2 of 4 matches), while TPS keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
TPS scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while Jaro keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Jaro
Over / Under - TPS
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Jaro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
TPS - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.75 | 0.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.75 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Jaro
TPS
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| Jaro | Liga | TPS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.25 | 2.41 | ▼ 2.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 56% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 0% | 41% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 26% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 74% | • 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 81% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Jaro vs TPS?
The Veikkausliiga match finished Jaro 2:2 TPS. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Jaro vs TPS?
Jaro score 0.50 goals per game on average and TPS 1.50. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.41 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Jaro's matches and 75% of TPS's.
What form are Jaro and TPS in?
Over the last 5 games Jaro have a 0-3-1 record (0.75 points per game) and TPS 2-2-0 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Jaro vs TPS?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.