Poland - 3 Liga Group 4Data current as of 01 September 2026

Jarosław vs Korona Kielce II: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Jarosław vs Korona Kielce II: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Jarosław play Korona Kielce II in 3 Liga Group 4 (Poland). The match date is 5 September 2026.

Current form

Jarosław: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Korona Kielce II: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Jarosław scores 2.00 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Korona Kielce II scores 2.67 and concedes 2.83. League average: 2.83 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Jarosław 67%, Korona Kielce II 100%. Over 2.5: Jarosław 83%, Korona Kielce II 100%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 50%.

xG, shots and style

Jarosław has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.51. Jarosław: 12.5 shots per match, Korona Kielce II: 7.5.

Match halves

Jarosław: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.33. Korona Kielce II: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Jarosław: 76-90+ (4 goals). Korona Kielce II: 0-15 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

3 Liga Group 4: 2.83 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 50%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

JarosławKorona Kielce II
2Goals scored / match2.67
JarosławKorona Kielce II
1.33Goals conceded / match2.83
JarosławKorona Kielce II
50%Average possession32%
JarosławKorona Kielce II
4.5Shots on target / match4.17
JarosławKorona Kielce II

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.5Shots per match7.5
JarosławKorona Kielce II
4.5Shots on target4.17
JarosławKorona Kielce II
16%Shot conversion35.6%
JarosławKorona Kielce II
50%Possession32%
JarosławKorona Kielce II
1.54xG for1.51
JarosławKorona Kielce II
1.24xG against2.21
JarosławKorona Kielce II

Shooting quality

Jarosław: Efficient finishingKorona Kielce II: Counter-attacking
JarosławKorona Kielce II
Accuracy (shots on target)36%56%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.20
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.440.64

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Jarosław is 125% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Jarosław · 0.8 pts / match - Korona Kielce II

Jarosław
LLWWW
Season result split
50% W17% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-2
1.67 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Last 5 at home
2-1-1
DLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.63Opponent xG: 1.18BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Korona Kielce II
LLDLW
Season result split
17% W17% R67% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-4
0.67 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-2
Last 5 away
0-0-2
LL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.53Opponent xG: 2.31BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Korona Kielce II is 34% better for: goals scored per match.

2 goals / match - Jarosław · 2.67 goals / match - Korona Kielce II

Jarosław is 113% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.33 goals / match - Jarosław · 2.83 goals / match - Korona Kielce II

Jarosław scoring profile: very strong

Jarosław scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Korona Kielce II keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 matches).

Korona Kielce II scoring profile: very strong

Korona Kielce II scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Jarosław keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).

12Goals scored (season)16
JarosławKorona Kielce II
8Goals conceded (season)17
JarosławKorona Kielce II
3.33Average goals in match5.5
JarosławKorona Kielce II
10Goals scored (last 5)12
JarosławKorona Kielce II
6Goals conceded (last 5)12
JarosławKorona Kielce II

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal100%
JarosławKorona Kielce II
67%2 goals83%
JarosławKorona Kielce II
33%3 goals50%
JarosławKorona Kielce II
0%4 goals33%
JarosławKorona Kielce II

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal100%
JarosławKorona Kielce II
50%2 goals83%
JarosławKorona Kielce II
17%3 goals50%
JarosławKorona Kielce II
0%4 goals33%
JarosławKorona Kielce II

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

52%
League average

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time17%
JarosławKorona Kielce II
17%BTTS in both halves17%
JarosławKorona Kielce II
50%Scored in both halves17%
JarosławKorona Kielce II

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS100%
JarosławKorona Kielce II
17%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
JarosławKorona Kielce II
60%BTTS - last 5100%
JarosławKorona Kielce II

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

83%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%
JarosławKorona Kielce II
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
JarosławKorona Kielce II
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time33%
JarosławKorona Kielce II

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
JarosławKorona Kielce II
67%Min. 2 goals after half-time83%
JarosławKorona Kielce II
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
JarosławKorona Kielce II

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Jarosław - half-time state
33% leading33% draw33% trailing
Korona Kielce II - half-time state
33% leading33% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.33Points per match (1st half)1.33
JarosławKorona Kielce II
0.67Goals scored (1st half)1
JarosławKorona Kielce II
0.67Goals conceded (1st half)1.17
JarosławKorona Kielce II
1.33Average goals (1st half)2.17
JarosławKorona Kielce II
50%Clean sheet before half-time50%
JarosławKorona Kielce II
33%No goal before half-time50%
JarosławKorona Kielce II

After half-time (2nd half)

1.83Points per match (2nd half)0.83
JarosławKorona Kielce II
1.33Goals scored (2nd half)1
JarosławKorona Kielce II
0.67Goals conceded (2nd half)1.5
JarosławKorona Kielce II
2Average goals (2nd half)2.5
JarosławKorona Kielce II
67%Clean sheet after half-time33%
JarosławKorona Kielce II
17%No goal after half-time50%
JarosławKorona Kielce II

Jarosław - second-half results

50% W33% R17% P
8
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding152%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Korona Kielce II - second-half results

17% W33% R50% P
8
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding52%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 17%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Jarosław - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.00
Goals scored / match0.61.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.22.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference0+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Korona Kielce II - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.00
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match0.81.4
Average goals in match1.42.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-1-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Jarosław
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
0
3
16-30
2
1
31-45
2
1
46-60
2
0
61-75
4
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Korona Kielce II
ScoredConceded
6
2
0-15
3
2
16-30
1
4
31-45
2
1
46-60
1
6
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

4.42
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.4 : 2.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
156%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
84%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
100%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Jarosław

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.37
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.46
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
137%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
97%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Korona Kielce II

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.70
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.54
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+1.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.62
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
195%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
194%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 38% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 4).

Teams vs league

JarosławLigaKorona Kielce II
Average goals in match 3.332.83 5.50
Both teams scored 67%52% 100%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 83%50% 100%
Clean sheets 33%27% 0%
Goal before half-time 83%52% 83%
Goal after half-time 83%52% 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.83
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.46
Home goals / match
1.37
Away goals / match
+7%
Home attack advantage
+6%
Home defence advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
52%
1 goal
19%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
52%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Jarosław and Korona Kielce II play?

Jarosław face Korona Kielce II on 5 September 2026 in 3 Liga Group 4. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Jarosław vs Korona Kielce II?

Jarosław score 2.00 goals per game on average and Korona Kielce II 2.67. The 3 Liga Group 4 average is 2.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Jarosław's matches and 100% of Korona Kielce II's.

What form are Jarosław and Korona Kielce II in?

Over the last 5 games Jarosław have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Korona Kielce II 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Jarosław vs Korona Kielce II?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Jarosław vs Korona Kielce II: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.