Poland - 3 Liga Group 4Data current as of 16 October 2026

Jarosław vs KSZO: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Jarosław vs KSZO: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Jarosław play KSZO in 3 Liga Group 4 (Poland). The match date is 17 October 2026.

Current form

Jarosław: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. KSZO: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Jarosław scores 2.33 and concedes 1.83 goals per match. KSZO scores 1.75 and concedes 0.75. League average: 2.94 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Jarosław 83%, KSZO 42%. Over 2.5: Jarosław 92%, KSZO 50%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 56%.

xG, shots and style

KSZO has higher xG: 1.83 vs 1.67. Jarosław: 12.0 shots per match, KSZO: 11.3.

Match halves

Jarosław: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.42. KSZO: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.83.

Goals by minute

Jarosław: 61-75 (7 goals). KSZO: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

3 Liga Group 4: 2.94 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 56%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.70)
(3.50)
(2.25)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2.33Goals scored / match1.75
JarosławKSZO
1.83Goals conceded / match0.75
JarosławKSZO
48%Average possession35%
JarosławKSZO
4.92Shots on target / match3.5
JarosławKSZO

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12Shots per match11.25
JarosławKSZO
4.92Shots on target3.5
JarosławKSZO
19.4%Shot conversion15.6%
JarosławKSZO
48%Possession35%
JarosławKSZO
1.67xG for1.83
JarosławKSZO
1.38xG against1.39
JarosławKSZO

Shooting quality

Jarosław: Efficient finishingKSZO: Counter-attacking
JarosławKSZO
Accuracy (shots on target)41%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.16
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.470.50

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

KSZO is 100% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Jarosław · 1.6 pts / match - KSZO

Jarosław
LWDLL
Season result split
42% W17% D42% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-2-5
1.42 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-1-2
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WWWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.76Opponent xG: 1.65BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%
KSZO
WDLDW
Season result split
50% W42% D8% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-5-1
1.92 pts / match · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-3-0
Last 5 away
2-3-0
DDWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.87Opponent xG: 1.18BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Jarosław is 33% better for: goals scored per match.

2.33 goals / match - Jarosław · 1.75 goals / match - KSZO

KSZO is 144% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.83 goals / match - Jarosław · 0.75 goals / match - KSZO

Jarosław scoring profile: strong

Jarosław scores in 100% of matches (12 of 12 matches), while KSZO keeps a clean sheet in 58% (7 of 12 matches).

KSZO scoring profile: very strong

KSZO scores in 83% of matches (10 of 12 matches), while Jarosław keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 matches).

28Goals scored (season)21
JarosławKSZO
22Goals conceded (season)9
JarosławKSZO
4.17Average goals in match2.5
JarosławKSZO
10Goals scored (last 5)8
JarosławKSZO
12Goals conceded (last 5)3
JarosławKSZO

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal83%
JarosławKSZO
58%2 goals42%
JarosławKSZO
33%3 goals25%
JarosławKSZO
17%4 goals17%
JarosławKSZO

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal42%
JarosławKSZO
75%2 goals33%
JarosławKSZO
25%3 goals0%
JarosławKSZO
0%4 goals0%
JarosławKSZO

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

42%BTTS at half-time8%
JarosławKSZO
17%BTTS in both halves8%
JarosławKSZO
42%Scored in both halves33%
JarosławKSZO

BTTS and goal count

83%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
JarosławKSZO
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
JarosławKSZO
100%BTTS - last 540%
JarosławKSZO

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

83%Min. 1 goal before half-time58%
JarosławKSZO
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
JarosławKSZO
42%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
JarosławKSZO

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
JarosławKSZO
67%Min. 2 goals after half-time58%
JarosławKSZO
42%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
JarosławKSZO

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

KSZO is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.33 pts / match - Jarosław · 2 pts / match - KSZO

Jarosław - half-time state
33% leading33% draw33% trailing
KSZO - half-time state
50% leading50% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.33Points per match (1st half)2
JarosławKSZO
0.92Goals scored (1st half)0.92
JarosławKSZO
1.08Goals conceded (1st half)0.08
JarosławKSZO
2Average goals (1st half)1
JarosławKSZO
42%Clean sheet before half-time92%
JarosławKSZO
33%No goal before half-time42%
JarosławKSZO

After half-time (2nd half)

1.83Points per match (2nd half)1.25
JarosławKSZO
1.42Goals scored (2nd half)0.83
JarosławKSZO
0.75Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
JarosławKSZO
2.17Average goals (2nd half)1.5
JarosławKSZO
58%Clean sheet after half-time58%
JarosławKSZO
25%No goal after half-time42%
JarosławKSZO

Jarosław - second-half results

50% W33% D17% L
16
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
22
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding127%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

KSZO - second-half results

25% W50% D25% L
24
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
+10
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.6

Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Jarosław - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.60
Goals scored / match0.81.2
Goals conceded / match1.60.8
Average goals in match2.42.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals60%40%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference-4+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
KSZO - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.20
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.00.6
Average goals in match0.81.4
1 goal40%60%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+4+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Jarosław
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
5
7
16-30
3
3
31-45
4
3
46-60
7
0
61-75
6
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

KSZO
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
1
0
16-30
8
0
31-45
3
2
46-60
2
3
61-75
5
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.33
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
113%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
63%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
83%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Jarosław

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.29
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.21
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.66
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.45
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
140%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
143%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.62
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

KSZO

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.44
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.56
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.64
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
137%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
45%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.32
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 4).

Teams vs league

JarosławLigaKSZO
Average goals in match▲ 4.172.94▼ 2.50
Both teams scored▲ 83%58%▼ 42%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 92%56%▼ 50%
Clean sheets▼ 17%24%▲ 58%
Goal before half-time▲ 83%60%▼ 58%
Goal after half-time▲ 83%68%• 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.94
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.66
Home goals / match
1.28
Away goals / match
+30%
Home attack advantage
+23%
Home defence advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
60%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Jarosław and KSZO play?

Jarosław face KSZO on 17 October 2026 in 3 Liga Group 4. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Jarosław vs KSZO?

Jarosław score 2.33 goals per game on average and KSZO 1.75. The 3 Liga Group 4 average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 83% of Jarosław's matches and 42% of KSZO's.

What form are Jarosław and KSZO in?

Over the last 5 games Jarosław have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and KSZO 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Jarosław vs KSZO?

The statistical background for Jarosław vs KSZO — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.