Jarun vs Croatia Zmijavci: match statistics
Statistical analysis suggests even chances for both teams, arguing for a draw. Jarun displays solid form in home matches with 40% wins and only 20% losses, achieving a positive goal difference (+4). However, the hosts' recent form is concerning – in the last five matches, they earned only 0.4 points per game without a single victory. Croatia Zmijavci wins 30% of cases away, but their recent form is better (1.2 points per game in the last 5 matches). Both teams have identical shot efficiency (14%) and similar xG indicators, further confirming the balanced nature of the rivalry. Given the high draw rates for both teams (40% for Jarun at home, 20% for the visitors away) and their similar offensive and defensive parameters, a share of the points is the most likely result.
Jarun vs Croatia Zmijavci: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Jarun played Croatia Zmijavci in Druga HNL (Croatia). The match was played on 7 March 2026. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
Jarun: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Croatia Zmijavci: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Jarun scores 1.00 and concedes 1.35 goals per match. Croatia Zmijavci scores 0.95 and concedes 1.30. League average: 2.11 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Jarun 60%, Croatia Zmijavci 40%. Over 2.5: Jarun 40%, Croatia Zmijavci 45%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 37%.
xG, shots and style
Croatia Zmijavci has higher xG: 1.18 vs 1.14. Jarun: 8.7 shots per match, Croatia Zmijavci: 8.4.
Match halves
Jarun: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.45. Croatia Zmijavci: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
Jarun: 76-90+ (6 goals). Croatia Zmijavci: 46-60 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Druga HNL: 2.11 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 37%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis suggests even chances for both teams, arguing for a draw. Jarun displays solid form in home matches with 40% wins and only 20% losses, achieving a positive goal difference (+4). However, the hosts' recent form is concerning – in the last five matches, they earned only 0.4 points per game without a single victory. Croatia Zmijavci wins 30% of cases away, but their recent form is better (1.2 points per game in the last 5 matches). Both teams have identical shot efficiency (14%) and similar xG indicators, further confirming the balanced nature of the rivalry. Given the high draw rates for both teams (40% for Jarun at home, 20% for the visitors away) and their similar offensive and defensive parameters, a share of the points is the most likely result.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Jarun | Croatia Zmijavci | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Croatia Zmijavci is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Jarun · 1.2 pts / match - Croatia Zmijavci
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Jarun is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Jarun · 0.95 goals / match - Croatia Zmijavci
Jarun scores in 70% of matches (14 of 20 matches), while Croatia Zmijavci keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).
Croatia Zmijavci scores in 60% of matches (12 of 20 matches), while Jarun keeps a clean sheet in 15% (3 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Jarun
Over / Under - Croatia Zmijavci
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Jarun is 43% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Jarun · 1.05 pts / match - Croatia Zmijavci
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Jarun - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Croatia Zmijavci - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Jarun
Croatia Zmijavci
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Druga HNL).
Teams vs league
| Jarun | Liga | Croatia Zmijavci | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.35 | 2.11 | ▲ 2.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 41% | • 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 40% | 37% | ▲ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 35% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 62% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 72% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Jarun 0 - 1 - 0 Croatia Zmijavci. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Jarun vs Croatia Zmijavci?
The Druga HNL match finished Jarun 4:0 Croatia Zmijavci. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Jarun vs Croatia Zmijavci?
Jarun score 1.00 goals per game on average and Croatia Zmijavci 0.95. The Druga HNL average is 2.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 37% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Jarun's matches and 40% of Croatia Zmijavci's.
What form are Jarun and Croatia Zmijavci in?
Over the last 5 games Jarun have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Croatia Zmijavci 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Jarun vs Croatia Zmijavci?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.