Javor Ivanjica vs IMT Novi Beograd: match statistics
Javor Ivanjica vs IMT Novi Beograd: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Javor Ivanjica played IMT Novi Beograd in SuperLiga (Serbia). The match was played on 3 May 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Javor Ivanjica: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. IMT Novi Beograd: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Javor Ivanjica scores 1.09 and concedes 1.27 goals per match. IMT Novi Beograd scores 1.18 and concedes 1.52. League average: 2.69 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Javor Ivanjica 48%, IMT Novi Beograd 58%. Over 2.5: Javor Ivanjica 48%, IMT Novi Beograd 42%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
IMT Novi Beograd has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.35. Javor Ivanjica: 10.6 shots per match, IMT Novi Beograd: 12.4.
Match halves
Javor Ivanjica: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.55. IMT Novi Beograd: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.91.
Goals by minute
Javor Ivanjica: 16-30 (9 goals). IMT Novi Beograd: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
SuperLiga: 2.69 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win because their defensive edge is clear: Javor concedes an average of 0.82 goals per home match and keeps a clean sheet in 53% of games, whereas IMT concedes 2.00 goals on average away and has only 13% clean sheets. Attacks are comparable – Javor scores 1.24 goals at home, IMT 1.25 away, with xG of 1.37 vs 1.41, indicating a marginal difference in chance quality. IMT has better recent form over the last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws, 2.2 points per game) than Javor (3 wins, 2 losses, 1.8 PPG) and controls more possession (48% vs 42%), so they can generate possession-based advantages. However, home/away performance disparity dominates: Javor has a positive home goal difference (+7) and a higher home win rate (41%), while IMT has a negative away goal difference (-12) and a high 50% loss rate on the road. Consequently Javor is the favorite due to solid defense and home metrics, although I expect an open match with chances for both sides.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistics are mixed: the home season BTTS rate is 47%, away 69%, and the league BTTS level is 53%, giving a slight edge to a both teams to score scenario. xG comparison favors both sides: home xG_for 1.68 vs opponent xG_against 1.42, away xG_for 1.41 vs home xG_against 1.39; with those values (1.68 and 1.41) a simple Poisson estimate yields roughly a 61–62% probability of BTTS (0.814×0.756≈0.615). Offsetting this is a high home clean sheet expected rate of 53% and an improvement in the away side’s recent form — the visitors conceded on average 0.4 goals in the last 5 (2 conceded in 5), which reduces the short-term risk they will concede. Season averages also show home scoring 1.12 and conceding 1.06, while away score 1.25 and concede 2.0, so both teams are capable of creating goal chances (especially given the away team’s high season concession rate). Weighing the strong xG signals and the high season BTTS for the away team at 69% versus the home 47%, I pick BTTS - Yes with an estimated probability of 62% against 38% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG and defensive estimates give 1.55 goals for Javor and 1.40 for IMT, totaling 2.95 expected goals (Javor xG_for 1.68 vs IMT defense xG_against 1.42; IMT xG_for 1.41 vs Javor defense 1.39). A Poisson model with λ=2.95 indicates P(>1.5) ≈ 79%, P(>2.5) ≈ 57% and P(>3.5) ≈ 34%, clearly favoring Over, especially Over 1.5. Seasonal data confirm a goal-prone tendency: Javor has 65% of games over 1.5, IMT 81%, and BTTS is 47% and 69% respectively, which raises the likelihood of both teams scoring. Javor creates more chances (avg. 13.88 shots and 4.59 on target vs 10.94 and 4.0 for IMT) and IMT concedes on average 2.0 goals per game, so the most reliable and strongest signal from the data is Over at the 1.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Half-Time statistics indicate a dominance of draws: the home team were level at the break in 59% of matches and led in only 12% of games, so the highest probability for HT is a draw. In the second half the home side performs significantly better — they score on average 0.82 goals after the break and concede only 0.35, and they won the second half in 53% of cases, which increases the chance of a turnaround in their favor. Offensively the hosts have a higher xG (1.68 versus 1.41 for the visitors), and the visitors’ defense concedes on average 2.0 goals per match, which aids the hosts in creating chances after the break. Additionally, the home team have a better average points per game (1.53 vs 1.13) and a higher season win rate (41% versus 31%), therefore the most likely scenario is a draw at Half-Time and a home win at Full-Time (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Javor Ivanjica | IMT Novi Beograd | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
IMT Novi Beograd is 22% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Javor Ivanjica · 2.2 pts / match - IMT Novi Beograd
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
IMT Novi Beograd is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
1.09 goals / match - Javor Ivanjica · 1.18 goals / match - IMT Novi Beograd
Javor Ivanjica is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.27 goals / match - Javor Ivanjica · 1.52 goals / match - IMT Novi Beograd
Javor Ivanjica scores in 64% of matches (21 of 33 matches), while IMT Novi Beograd keeps a clean sheet in 33% (11 of 33 matches).
IMT Novi Beograd scores in 85% of matches (28 of 33 matches), while Javor Ivanjica keeps a clean sheet in 27% (9 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Javor Ivanjica
Over / Under - IMT Novi Beograd
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Javor Ivanjica is 66% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / match - Javor Ivanjica · 0.82 pts / match - IMT Novi Beograd
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Javor Ivanjica - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
IMT Novi Beograd - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Javor Ivanjica
IMT Novi Beograd
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (SuperLiga).
Teams vs league
| Javor Ivanjica | Liga | IMT Novi Beograd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.36 | 2.69 | • 2.70 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 53% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 50% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 29% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 70% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 74% | ▲ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Javor Ivanjica 1 - 0 - 1 IMT Novi Beograd. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Javor Ivanjica vs IMT Novi Beograd?
The SuperLiga match finished Javor Ivanjica 0:0 IMT Novi Beograd. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Javor Ivanjica and IMT Novi Beograd?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Javor Ivanjica won 1, IMT Novi Beograd won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Javor Ivanjica vs IMT Novi Beograd?
Javor Ivanjica score 1.09 goals per game on average and IMT Novi Beograd 1.18. The SuperLiga average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Javor Ivanjica's matches and 58% of IMT Novi Beograd's.
What form are Javor Ivanjica and IMT Novi Beograd in?
Over the last 5 games Javor Ivanjica have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and IMT Novi Beograd 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Javor Ivanjica vs IMT Novi Beograd?
The statistical background for Javor Ivanjica vs IMT Novi Beograd — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.