JDFS Alberts vs Beitar / Riga Mariners: match statistics
JDFS Alberts vs Beitar / Riga Mariners: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
JDFS Alberts played Beitar / Riga Mariners in 1. Liga (Latvia). The match was played on 4 July 2026. Venue: Rīgas 49. vidusskolas sporta komplekss. Final score: 0:4.
Current form
JDFS Alberts: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Beitar / Riga Mariners: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
JDFS Alberts scores 2.27 and concedes 1.45 goals per match. Beitar / Riga Mariners scores 1.91 and concedes 0.91. League average: 3.49 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: JDFS Alberts 82%, Beitar / Riga Mariners 64%. Over 2.5: JDFS Alberts 73%, Beitar / Riga Mariners 55%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 68%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. JDFS Alberts: 15.1 shots per match, Beitar / Riga Mariners: 12.8.
Match halves
JDFS Alberts: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 1.36. Beitar / Riga Mariners: half-time lead 55%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
JDFS Alberts: 76-90+ (7 goals). Beitar / Riga Mariners: 61-75 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Liga: 3.49 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 68%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win (1). JDFS Alberts holds a clear home advantage: averaging 2.8 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded per home game. The hosts generate higher home xG (2.45) versus the visitors’ away xG (2.26), register more shots (18.8 vs 16.2) and more shots on target (10.6 vs 9), indicating superior chance quality. Nonetheless, Beitar / Riga Mariners remain unbeaten this season (7W, 4D, 0L) and are in strong form over the last 5 matches (4W, 1D) with 18 goals (3.6 per game), while the hosts’ last 5 read 3W, 1D, 1L with 15 goals (3.0 per game). Additionally, the visitors have no away matches without scoring (0% such games), and their away goals conceded average is 0.8 versus 0.6 for the hosts, so they represent a real offensive threat and are difficult to nullify. Considering the home goal differential (+11 at home for the hosts vs +6 away for the visitors) and identical 40% clean sheet rates for both teams, I give a slight edge to JDFS Alberts, but expect a tight contest.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Season-long statistics strongly support BTTS: JDFS Alberts has BTTS at 67%, Beitar/Riga Mariners 60%, and the league average is 62%. Both teams score regularly — 1.83 (home) and 2.00 (away) goals per match — while conceding an average of 1.00 and 0.80 respectively, which increases the likelihood that both sides will score. xG and shot metrics confirm offensive potential: the away side has xG 2.26 and 9.0 on-target shots versus xG against the home team 1.16, while the home team has xG 1.69 with 4.6 on-target shots versus xG against the away team 1.62. The last 5 matches provide counterarguments — BTTS 40% (home) and 20% (away), with averages of 3.0 and 3.6 scored and 0.8 and 0.4 conceded, suggesting the away team often wins by high margins while keeping a clean sheet. Considering the dominant season metrics (67%/60%), the away side’s xG and on-target shot advantage, but also the low BTTS in the last 5 matches, I tip BTTS - Yes with a probability of 68% (vs 32% for No).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG metrics point to a match with a high chance of chances: home xG 1.69, away xG 2.26, and xG against 1.16 (home) and 1.62 (away), yielding a forecast of 1.66 goals for the home side and 1.71 for the visitors (total 3.37). Seasonal trends confirm strong goal activity — Over 1.5 occurred in 83% of home matches and 80% of away matches, while Over 2.5 appears in 50%/60% of cases; the league averages 3.51 goals per game. In the last 5 fixtures the home team has scored an average of 3.0 goals (15 in 5), and the away team 3.6 goals (18 in 5), with goals conceded 0.8 and 0.4 respectively, indicating open matches conducive to more scoring. Additionally BTTS is 67% (home) and 60% (away), and shots on target 4.6 vs 9.0 favor the visitors’ active offense, so at least two goals seem highly likely. Based on this I recommend a bet on Over 1.5 as the strongest signal (selection: Over 1.5), since the expected 3.37 goals and seasonal 83%/80% give a clear edge versus under or higher lines.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The visitors demonstrate a clear advantage: the away win rate is 80% versus 50% for the hosts, and average xG are 2.26 for the visitors compared to 1.69 for the hosts, indicating a stronger visitor offense. In the first half the visitors lead very frequently — in 80% of the season’s matches and in 75% of the last 5 fixtures — and in HT they score on average 1.0 goal while conceding only 0.2, whereas the hosts average 0.6 scored and 0.4 conceded. Additionally, the visitors register 9.0 shots on target per game versus 4.6 for the hosts and seasonally average 2.0 goals versus 1.83 for the hosts, which confirms their likelihood of maintaining the lead. From the above data the strongest signal is the visitors leading at the break and winning by full-time, therefore the 2/2 scenario is assigned the highest probability.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| JDFS Alberts | Beitar / Riga Mariners | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 46% | 48% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Beitar / Riga Mariners is 30% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - JDFS Alberts · 2.6 pts / match - Beitar / Riga Mariners
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
JDFS Alberts is 19% better for: goals scored per match.
2.27 goals / match - JDFS Alberts · 1.91 goals / match - Beitar / Riga Mariners
Beitar / Riga Mariners is 59% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.45 goals / match - JDFS Alberts · 0.91 goals / match - Beitar / Riga Mariners
JDFS Alberts scores in 91% of matches (10 of 11 matches), while Beitar / Riga Mariners keeps a clean sheet in 36% (4 of 11 matches).
Beitar / Riga Mariners scores in 100% of matches (11 of 11 matches), while JDFS Alberts keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - JDFS Alberts
Over / Under - Beitar / Riga Mariners
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Beitar / Riga Mariners is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.45 pts / match - JDFS Alberts · 1.91 pts / match - Beitar / Riga Mariners
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
JDFS Alberts - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Beitar / Riga Mariners - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 55% of matches and wins 64%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
JDFS Alberts
Beitar / Riga Mariners
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| JDFS Alberts | Liga | Beitar / Riga Mariners | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.73 | 3.49 | ▼ 2.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 82% | 61% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 73% | 68% | ▼ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 23% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 70% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 82% | 84% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Beitar / Riga MarinersGoalAlgirdas Gražis
- Beitar / Riga MarinersGoalJānis Emīls Kalpaks
- Beitar / Riga MarinersGoalAlgirdas Gražis
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): JDFS Alberts 1 - 0 - 1 Beitar / Riga Mariners. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of JDFS Alberts vs Beitar / Riga Mariners?
The 1. Liga match finished JDFS Alberts 0:4 Beitar / Riga Mariners. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between JDFS Alberts and Beitar / Riga Mariners?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches JDFS Alberts won 1, Beitar / Riga Mariners won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before JDFS Alberts vs Beitar / Riga Mariners?
JDFS Alberts score 2.27 goals per game on average and Beitar / Riga Mariners 1.91. The 1. Liga average is 3.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 68% of games. Both teams score in 82% of JDFS Alberts's matches and 64% of Beitar / Riga Mariners's.
What form are JDFS Alberts and Beitar / Riga Mariners in?
Over the last 5 games JDFS Alberts have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Beitar / Riga Mariners 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for JDFS Alberts vs Beitar / Riga Mariners?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for JDFS Alberts vs Beitar / Riga Mariners: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.