JDFS Alberts vs Mārupe: match statistics
JDFS Alberts vs Mārupe: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
JDFS Alberts played Mārupe in 1. Liga (Latvia). The match was played on 25 April 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
JDFS Alberts: 1-0-2, 1.00 points/match. Mārupe: 2-1-1, 1.75 points/match.
Goal statistics
JDFS Alberts scores 1.33 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Mārupe scores 2.50 and concedes 0.75. League average: 3.48 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: JDFS Alberts 67%, Mārupe 25%. Over 2.5: JDFS Alberts 67%, Mārupe 75%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 70%.
xG, shots and style
Mārupe has higher xG: 1.83 vs 1.65. JDFS Alberts: 12.3 shots per match, Mārupe: 14.3.
Match halves
JDFS Alberts: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00. Mārupe: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 2.00.
Goals by minute
JDFS Alberts: 61-75 (2 goals). Mārupe: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Liga: 3.48 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 70%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Mārupe has a clearly superior goal output and form: 10 goals this season (10 in the last 5 matches) versus 4 goals for JDFS Alberts (4 in the last 5), and the visitors average 1.4 points in their last 5 matches compared to 0.8 points for the hosts. Home metrics favor JDFS: they have won 100% of home matches, average 2.0 goals per home game and have not conceded at home (average 0), with home xG 1.65 versus opponents’ xG 1.24. Mārupe, however, creates more clear-cut chances away: on average 3 shots on target per away match versus 2 for the hosts, away xG for the visitors is 1.27, and the side has conceded only 3 goals this season. Considering the higher number of goals scored (10 vs 4), better points-per-form in the last 5 matches (1.4 vs 0.8) and the advantage in shots on target, I give a slight edge to the visitors and tip them to win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The main argument against BTTS - Yes is Mārupe — 100% clean sheets this season and a seasonal goals conceded average of 0.0, with a season BTTS rate of 0%. JDFS Alberts carry the offensive threat: 3.33 goals scored per game on average, xG 2.01 and 6.0 shots on target, but the hosts also register clean sheets in 67% of matches and have a season BTTS share of 33%. In the shorter term, over the last 5 matches Mārupe average 2.0 goals (10 total) with recent xG around 1.72, while JDFS average 0.8 goals in the last 5 and xG around 1.66, which indicates some potential for the visitors to score. However, given the seasonal 100% vs 67% clean sheets and season BTTS 0% vs 33%, the internal team indicators favor a 'No Goal' scenario; I assess 70% for No Goal and 30% for BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate 1.35 goals for JDFS Alberts (based on xG_for 2.01 and opponent xG_against 0.68) and 1.10 for Mārupe (xG_for 1.27 vs opponent xG_against 0.94), totaling 2.45 goals. JDFS at home has a seasonal average of 3.33 goals scored and averages 15.67 shots per match with 6.0 shots on target, which increases the likelihood of early goals. Mārupe scored 10 goals in their last 5 matches (avg 2.0) and has last5 xG_for 1.72, so the visitors also show offensive potential. The league averages 3.48 goals per match and 70% of fixtures finish over 2.5 goals, which supports the Over market, although the combined xG of 2.45 places the 2.5 line as balanced. The strongest signal is Over 1.5 (high probability of at least 2 goals); therefore I recommend Over at the 1.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back 1/1 (48%) – home team leads at the break and wins. The home side led at half-time in 2 of 3 seasonal matches (leadingAtHT_home = 2.0, 67%) and score on average 0.67 goals by HT versus 0.0 for the visitors (scoredAVGHT_home 0.67 vs scoredAVGHT_away 0.0; GoalsHT_home 3.0 vs GoalsHT_away 0.0). Over the full match the hosts have a clear offensive advantage: on average 3.33 goals per game and xG 2.01 versus 0.0 and xG 1.27 for the opponents, they register 15.67 shots (6 on target) compared to 10.0 (3 on target) and convert 21% of shots versus 0% for the away side, which increases the chance of maintaining the lead. At the same time the visitors have 100% clean sheets and 100% draws in the data (seasonCSPercentage_away = 100.0, drawPercentage_away = 100.0), so I also assign a moderate probability to a draw (X/X 15%) or a turnaround to a draw after the break (1/X 12%). For these reasons the strongest signal is the home team leading at half-time and winning by full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| JDFS Alberts | Mārupe | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.48 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mārupe is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - JDFS Alberts · 1.75 pts / match - Mārupe
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mārupe is 88% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - JDFS Alberts · 2.5 goals / match - Mārupe
Mārupe is 77% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - JDFS Alberts · 0.75 goals / match - Mārupe
JDFS Alberts scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Mārupe keeps a clean sheet in 75% (3 of 4 matches).
Mārupe scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while JDFS Alberts keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - JDFS Alberts
Over / Under - Mārupe
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mārupe is 430% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.33 pts / match - JDFS Alberts · 1.75 pts / match - Mārupe
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
JDFS Alberts - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mārupe - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.33 | 1.67 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| Average goals in match | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 33% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 33% | 67% |
| No goal | 67% | 33% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.75 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.5 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 75% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 75% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 75% |
| No goal | 50% | 25% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
JDFS Alberts
Mārupe
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| JDFS Alberts | Liga | Mārupe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.67 | 3.48 | ▼ 3.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 59% | ▼ 25% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 67% | 70% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 24% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 78% | ▼ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 81% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- MārupeGoalRoberts Čevers
- JDFS AlbertsGoalRihards Ozoliņš
- JDFS AlbertsGoalKārlis Pirktiņš
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): JDFS Alberts 1 - 0 - 1 Mārupe. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of JDFS Alberts vs Mārupe?
The 1. Liga match finished JDFS Alberts 2:1 Mārupe. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between JDFS Alberts and Mārupe?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches JDFS Alberts won 1, Mārupe won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before JDFS Alberts vs Mārupe?
JDFS Alberts score 1.33 goals per game on average and Mārupe 2.50. The 1. Liga average is 3.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 70% of games. Both teams score in 67% of JDFS Alberts's matches and 25% of Mārupe's.
What form are JDFS Alberts and Mārupe in?
Over the last 5 games JDFS Alberts have a 1-0-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Mārupe 2-1-1 (1.75 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for JDFS Alberts vs Mārupe?
The statistical background for JDFS Alberts vs Mārupe — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.