Jeddah vs Al Orubah: match statistics

Jeddah sit 2nd, while Al Orubah are only 16th, with the hosts collecting 7 points from their three matches this season compared to the visitors’ 2 points. The Jeddah side have won 3 of their last 5 matches and scored 6 goals in the process, whereas Al Orubah have failed to win any of their five games, scoring just 2 goals. At home, Jeddah have a 100% winning record, average one goal scored per match and are yet to concede, while the visitors have failed to score in 100% of their away matches and average just 1 shot on target per game. Although the hosts generate an average xG of 0.75, lower than the 1.43 xG conceded to opponents, their finishing efficiency so far and solid defensive record point towards a narrow victory. A draw remains a realistic outcome, as both teams have kept clean sheets in their respective home and away matches so far, while Al Orubah have drawn 3 of their last 5 games.

The strongest signal for BTTS - No comes from Al Orubah’s extremely weak attack: the visitors have not scored a goal yet in the season data, while their average xG stands at just 0.62. In their last five matches, Al Orubah averaged 0.4 goals and found the net only once, even though their opponents conceded an average of 1.2 goals. Jeddah are also not a team with consistent scoring output, averaging 0.5 goals over the season and 1.2 in their last five matches, with BTTS recorded in only 20% of games during that period. Al Orubah’s season BTTS rate is 0%, compared with 44% across the league, while all previous matches involving both teams finished under 2.5 goals. The more likely scenario is therefore that at least one team will fail to score, with the visitors the primary concern.

The strongest signal is the league’s low-scoring profile, with matches producing an average of 1.93 goals and only 26% going over 2.5. In the available matches involving both teams under these conditions, neither side recorded a game with at least three goals, giving each a 100% record for Under 2.5 and Under 3.5. Al Orubah averaged just 0.4 goals across their last five appearances, although the hosts conceded 1.2 goals per match during that period. Jeddah possess greater attacking potential, averaging 4.5 shots on target compared with their opponents’ 1.0, but a low conversion rate of 4% limits the prospects of a high-scoring game. The projected total of 2.05 goals leaves a clear margin to four goals, making Under 3.5 the best selection.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time and at the final whistle, as Al Orubah were level at the break in 100% of their available away matches, while the half-time draw rate in the teams’ last five matches stood at 60% for both sides. The visitors have scored an average of just 0.4 goals across their last five matches, including only 0.2 goals in the first halves, and failed to score before the break in as many as 80% of those games. Jeddah have greater attacking potential, averaging 12.5 shots and 4.5 on target compared with their opponents’ 4.0 and 1.0, respectively, yet they have converted only 4% of their attempts so far and averaged 0.5 goals at home. The hosts’ recent form is better, with a 60% win rate and an average of 1.2 goals per match, so the most likely alternative to X/X is primarily a draw at half-time followed by a Jeddah win, i.e. X/1. The league’s low average of 1.93 goals and clean sheets in 78% of matches further support the prediction of a cautious, closely contested game.