JEF United vs V-Varen Nagasaki: match statistics
JEF United vs V-Varen Nagasaki: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
JEF United played V-Varen Nagasaki in J1 League (Japan). The match was played on 11 October 2026. Venue: Fukuda Denshi Arena. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
JEF United: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. V-Varen Nagasaki: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
JEF United scores 0.88 and concedes 2.25 goals per match. V-Varen Nagasaki scores 1.25 and concedes 1.88. League average: 2.93 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: JEF United 50%, V-Varen Nagasaki 63%. Over 2.5: JEF United 63%, V-Varen Nagasaki 63%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
V-Varen Nagasaki has higher xG: 1.24 vs 1.14. JEF United: 9.6 shots per match, V-Varen Nagasaki: 11.3.
Match halves
JEF United: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.25. V-Varen Nagasaki: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
JEF United: 16-30 (2 goals). V-Varen Nagasaki: 46-60 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
J1 League: 2.93 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
JEF United sit 20th and V-Varen Nagasaki 15th, but the record in these conditions favors the hosts: JEF have won 1 of 3 home matches, while the visitors have lost all 3 away games. JEF create chances worth an average of 1.18 xG at home, while Nagasaki manage just 0.69 xG away, averaging 1.67 shots on target per match compared with the hosts’ 2.67. Both defenses allow opponents chances, but the visitors concede an average of 2.67 goals away from home, against 2.00 conceded by JEF at home. Over their last five matches, both teams have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, so their current form does not point to a clear favorite. Nagasaki’s poor away results and JEF’s greater chance creation give the hosts a moderate edge, although their 6 losses in 8 matches this season call for caution.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have scored in 60% of JEF United’s matches and 67% of V-Varen Nagasaki’s, giving a slight edge to the BTTS - Yes scenario. The hosts average 1.4 goals per match, while the visitors concede 2.67, making a JEF United goal look likely. V-Varen’s chances are supported by the fact that JEF United concede an average of 1.4 goals and keep a clean sheet in only 20% of their matches. However, caution is warranted: the visitors record just 0.69 xG and 1.67 shots on target per match, although their average xG has risen to 1.33 over their last five games. Therefore, BTTS - Yes has a slight, rather than decisive, edge.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been cleared in 100% of JEF United matches and 67% of V-Varen Nagasaki matches. The hosts create chances worth an average of 1.57 xG and record 5.2 shots on target per game, while the visitors concede an average of 2.67 goals and allow opponents 1.90 xG. V-Varen produce just 0.69 xG and 1.67 shots on target per game in attack, so I assess their goal contribution more cautiously at 1.05, compared with 1.75 for JEF. Although Over 2.5 goals landed in 60% of the hosts' matches and 67% of the visitors' matches, the figures in their last five games were 40% and 20%, respectively, making the 1.5 line a clearer indicator.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is JEF United leading at the break and holding on to that advantage until full time: the hosts were ahead at half-time in 3 of their 5 home matches, while V-Varen Nagasaki were trailing at that point in 2 of their 3 away games. The visitors have yet to score before half-time on the road, whereas JEF average 0.8 first-half goals at home. The hosts’ advantage is supported by an average xG of 1.57 compared with 0.69 for the visitors, as well as 5.2 shots on target per match versus 1.67. Nagasaki have lost all 3 of their away matches so far, conceding an average of 2.67 goals, which supports the 1/1 pick, although the sample is small. The risk of a draw remains significant, as JEF have drawn 40% of their home matches and concede an average of 1 goal after half-time, the same number the visitors score in second halves away from home.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| JEF United | V-Varen Nagasaki | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
V-Varen Nagasaki is 25% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - JEF United · 1 pts / match - V-Varen Nagasaki
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
V-Varen Nagasaki is 42% better for: goals scored per match.
0.88 goals / match - JEF United · 1.25 goals / match - V-Varen Nagasaki
V-Varen Nagasaki is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.25 goals / match - JEF United · 1.88 goals / match - V-Varen Nagasaki
JEF United scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while V-Varen Nagasaki keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).
V-Varen Nagasaki scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while JEF United keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - JEF United
Over / Under - V-Varen Nagasaki
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
V-Varen Nagasaki is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / match - JEF United · 1.38 pts / match - V-Varen Nagasaki
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
JEF United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
V-Varen Nagasaki - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
JEF United
V-Varen Nagasaki
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (J1 League).
Teams vs league
| JEF United | Liga | V-Varen Nagasaki | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.13 | 2.93 | ▲ 3.13 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 58% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 53% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 23% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 69% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | • 88% | 87% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): JEF United 0 - 0 - 2 V-Varen Nagasaki. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of JEF United vs V-Varen Nagasaki?
The J1 League match finished JEF United 1:1 V-Varen Nagasaki. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between JEF United and V-Varen Nagasaki?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches JEF United won 0, V-Varen Nagasaki won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before JEF United vs V-Varen Nagasaki?
JEF United score 0.88 goals per game on average and V-Varen Nagasaki 1.25. The J1 League average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 50% of JEF United's matches and 63% of V-Varen Nagasaki's.
What form are JEF United and V-Varen Nagasaki in?
Over the last 5 games JEF United have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and V-Varen Nagasaki 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for JEF United vs V-Varen Nagasaki?
The statistical background for JEF United vs V-Varen Nagasaki — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.