Jeonnam Dragons vs Cheonan City: match statistics

Jeonnam Dragons have a clearly stronger recent run of form: they have collected 7 points from their last 5 matches, with 2 wins and a draw, while Cheonan City have managed only 2 points and failed to win any of those games. At home, the hosts create more chances, averaging 14.71 shots and 5 on target per match, while their xG stands at 1.76 compared with Cheonan’s 1.56 away from home. Cheonan do score 1.64 goals per away game, but they concede as many as 1.91, have kept no clean sheets and have lost 55% of their away matches. Jeonnam average only 1.13 goals per home game, but the visitors’ defensive frailties, along with the 8 goals they have conceded in their last 5 appearances, increase the hosts’ chances of capitalising on their advantage in chance creation. A draw remains a realistic possibility, as Jeonnam draw 38% of their home matches, but Cheonan’s poor current form points towards a home win.

Cheonan City has a very strong profile for matches in which both sides score: BTTS - Yes occurred in 82% of their games, and the team has kept no clean sheets, conceding an average of 1.91 goals. Jeonnam Dragons score only 0.82 goals per home match, but the visitors’ defensive frailties should give the hosts a clear chance to find the net, especially as Cheonan allows opponents an average of 1.85 xG. The visitors are more effective in attack, scoring an average of 1.64 goals with 4.27 shots on target per match, while Jeonnam concede an average of 0.91 goals. Current form also supports the BTTS scenario, as both teams landed this market in 60% of their last five matches, while Cheonan conceded 1.6 goals per game during that period. The main risk is Jeonnam’s 36% BTTS rate across the season and the fact that they failed to score in 45% of their matches, but Cheonan’s weak defence narrowly tilts the prediction towards "Yes".

The strongest signal is Over 1.5 goals, as Cheonan City scored at least two goals in 82% of their matches, while their games went over 2.5 goals in as many as 73% of cases. Although the hosts score only 0.82 goals per game on average, the visitors’ defense concedes an average of 1.91 goals, with 1.85 xG conceded, which clearly increases their attacking potential. Cheonan City create an average of 1.56 xG and register 4.27 shots on target per match, while Jeonnam allow opponents 1.48 xG. In their last five matches, both teams played games averaging 2.0 and 2.6 goals respectively, and the projected total of 2.52 goals provides a solid edge to the Over 1.5 goals option.

Jeonnam has a clear first-half profile: at home, they score an average of 0.36 goals and concede just 0.36, while Cheonan concedes as many as 0.91 goals before the break away from home. In their last five matches, the hosts have never been behind at half-time and kept a clean sheet in 100% of those games, whereas Cheonan have not led at the break on any occasion and went into half-time trailing in 40% of matches. The hosts are also in better current form, averaging 1.4 points per game across their last five appearances compared with their opponents’ 0.4 points. After the break, Cheonan can score an average of 1.09 goals, but their defence has conceded an average of 1.91 goals per match throughout the season and has recorded no clean sheets. The most likely scenario is therefore that Jeonnam will exploit the visitors’ poor start, take the lead at the break and hold on to it until full-time.