Jeonnam Dragons vs Yongin City: match statistics

A draw is the most likely outcome, as Jeonnam Dragons have drawn 36% of their home matches, while Yongin City have drawn as many as 42% of their away games. The hosts have won 2 of their last 5 matches and earned 8 points, while the visitors have recorded 1 win and collected 5 points. However, Yongin City are more clinical away from home: they average 1.33 goals per match compared with Jeonnam’s 1.09 at home, despite taking fewer shots — 10.67 versus 12.91. Chance quality favours the hosts, whose average home xG stands at 1.52 compared with the visitors’ 1.30 away from home, but Jeonnam concede an average of 1.36 goals at home, while Yongin City concede 1.50 on the road. These differences give neither side a clear advantage, making a share of the points a sensible pick.

BTTS - Yes landed in 62% of Jeonnam Dragons’ matches and 67% of Yongin City’s, so the season data points towards both teams scoring. The hosts average 1.15 goals per match and the visitors 1.33, while conceding 1.31 and 1.50 respectively. The average xG against these teams—1.56 for Jeonnam and 1.41 for Yongin—also suggests that both defences allow opponents to create chances. Caution is warranted, however, as Jeonnam failed to score in 31% of its matches, and BTTS landed in only 40% of their last five games. Even so, both teams’ season-long scoring records and the fact that they kept a clean sheet in just 23% and 25% of their matches give the edge to BTTS - Yes.

At least two goals were scored in 77% of Jeonnam Dragons’ matches and 83% of Yongin City’s, providing a stronger signal than higher goal lines. Jeonnam average 1.15 goals scored and 1.31 conceded, while Yongin average 1.33 scored and 1.50 conceded, so both teams’ attacking output supports a forecast of around 2.69 goals. xG also points to chances at both ends: the hosts create an average of 1.14, while the visitors allow 1.41; for Yongin, these figures are 1.30 and 1.56, respectively. Over 2.5 goals is less certain, having landed in 46% of Jeonnam’s matches, compared with 67% of Yongin’s. Therefore, the best pick is Over 1.5 goals, with an estimated probability of 79%.

The strongest HT/FT signal is a draw at half-time: Jeonnam went into the break level in 46% of their matches, compared with 58% for Yongin. Both teams score relatively few first-half goals, averaging 0.54 and 0.50 respectively, so neither has a clear advantage at this stage. A draw at full-time is also well supported: the hosts have drawn 54% of their matches, while the visitors have drawn 42%. Although their matches produce more goals in the second half than in the first on average—1.38 versus 1.08 and 1.92 versus 0.92 respectively—neither side has a sufficiently clear edge to rule out the draw being maintained. Jeonnam have averaged 1.6 points across their last five matches, compared with Yongin's 1.0, but both teams have drawn two of those five games, making X/X the most likely single HT/FT outcome.