Jesenice vs Beltinci: match statistics
Jesenice vs Beltinci: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Jesenice played Beltinci in 2. SNL (Slovenia). The match was played on 18 April 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Jesenice: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Beltinci: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Jesenice scores 0.91 and concedes 2.13 goals per match. Beltinci scores 1.78 and concedes 0.83. League average: 2.77 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Jesenice 43%, Beltinci 48%. Over 2.5: Jesenice 57%, Beltinci 52%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Beltinci has higher xG: 1.80 vs 1.21. Jesenice: 9.0 shots per match, Beltinci: 14.0.
Match halves
Jesenice: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.57. Beltinci: half-time lead 52%, second-half goals 0.87.
Goals by minute
Jesenice: 76-90+ (8 goals). Beltinci: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
2. SNL: 2.77 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict an away win (2). Beltinci win 73% of their away matches, average 1.55 goals scored and concede only 0.55 per game, and keep a clean sheet in 64% of away fixtures. Jesenice sit 15th with just 3 wins this season, average 2.09 goals conceded at home while scoring only 1.00, and have a home goal difference of -12. The quality gap is supported by xG (1.64 for Beltinci vs 1.34 for Jesenice) and superior shot efficiency (12% vs 9%); in the last 5 matches the visitors have scored 7 goals and are averaging 1.8 points per game versus the hosts' 0.4. Considering the defenses (0.55 vs 2.09 conceded), the clear goal difference (+11 vs -12) and the advantage in efficiency, I assess the probabilities as: home 12%, draw 18%, away 70%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I predict a BTTS - Yes scenario because both teams generate significant expected goals: Jesenice has home xG 1.94 while Beltinci concedes 1.11 xG; conversely Beltinci posts away xG 1.64 and Jesenice concedes 1.12 xG. Jesenice record 67% BTTS this season and average 2.0 goals scored at home with 1.08 conceded, which supports a Goal/Goal outcome; by contrast Beltinci show only 27% BTTS seasonally and 64% matches with a clean sheet expected, which argues against BTTS. However, the last 5 matches indicate a form shift: Beltinci have 80% BTTS in the last 5, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded in that period, while Jesenice in their last 5 averaged 0.6 scored and 2.0 conceded, increasing the likelihood of goals from both sides. Additionally, chance metrics (Jesenice ~15.33 shots and 5.58 on target vs Beltinci ~12.45 and 5.18) and conversion rates of ~13% and 12% suggest scoring opportunities will be created. In summary, based on strong xG signals and recent form I assign BTTS 65% (Yes) vs 35% (No).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG: the home side has an attacking xG of 1.94 while the away defense concedes 1.11 xG on average, yielding the home team ≈1.53 expected goals; the visitors have attacking xG of 1.64 against a home defense conceding 1.12, expected goals for the away team ≈1.38, total ≈2.91. A Poisson model for a total of 2.91 gives probability Over 1.5 ≈78.7% (rounded to 79%), Over 2.5 ≈55.6% (56%) and Over 3.5 ≈33.3% (33%). Season metrics reinforce this picture: homes exceeded 1.5 in 83% of matches versus 55% for away teams; for 2.5 homes 67% vs away 36%, which particularly supports Over 1.5 and moderately supports Over 2.5. Additionally, homes average 15.33 shots with 5.58 on target and a 13% conversion, while visitors average 12.45 shots with 5.18 on target and a 12% conversion; the share of matches with both teams scoring is 67% for homes and 27% for away. In summary, the strongest signal from the data is the Over 1.5 line (recommendation: over 1.5), as the model and the season 83% for homes indicate a high probability of at least 2 goals (~79%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Seasonal statistics favor the visitors: Beltinci have a 73% win rate this season versus Jesenice’s 42% and average 2.36 points per game compared to the home side’s 1.58. Beltinci lead at the break in 64% of their matches, and their average goals conceded before half-time is only 0.09 versus 0.67 for Jesenice, which strongly supports the visitors leading after 45 minutes. Over the full-time period the visitors also dominate statistically (73% wins and form in the last 5: W D D W D), while the hosts have 0% wins in their last 5 (L D D L L), so a Beltinci victory is more likely. Although the home side have a higher home xG (xG 1.94 versus the visitors’ 1.64) and score on average 1.0 goal after the break, their high share of home matches with both teams scoring (67%) only gives a limited chance of a turnaround. Therefore the strongest signal from the data is the visitors leading at half-time and winning the match (2/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Jesenice | Beltinci | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Beltinci is 350% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Jesenice · 1.8 pts / match - Beltinci
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Beltinci is 96% better for: goals scored per match.
0.91 goals / match - Jesenice · 1.78 goals / match - Beltinci
Beltinci is 157% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.13 goals / match - Jesenice · 0.83 goals / match - Beltinci
Jesenice scores in 57% of matches (13 of 23 matches), while Beltinci keeps a clean sheet in 48% (11 of 23 matches).
Beltinci scores in 83% of matches (19 of 23 matches), while Jesenice keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Jesenice
Over / Under - Beltinci
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Beltinci is 120% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.83 pts / match - Jesenice · 1.83 pts / match - Beltinci
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Jesenice - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 13%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Beltinci - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 52% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Jesenice
Beltinci
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. SNL).
Teams vs league
| Jesenice | Liga | Beltinci | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.04 | 2.77 | ▼ 2.61 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 49% | • 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 53% | • 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 29% | ▲ 48% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 73% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 80% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- BeltinciGoalHristijan Georgievski
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Jesenice 0 - 0 - 1 Beltinci. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Jesenice vs Beltinci?
The 2. SNL match finished Jesenice 0:2 Beltinci. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Jesenice vs Beltinci?
Jesenice score 0.91 goals per game on average and Beltinci 1.78. The 2. SNL average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Jesenice's matches and 48% of Beltinci's.
What form are Jesenice and Beltinci in?
Over the last 5 games Jesenice have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Beltinci 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Jesenice vs Beltinci?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.