Jesenice vs Brežice: match statistics
Jesenice vs Brežice: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Jesenice played Brežice in 2. SNL (Slovenia). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Jesenice: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Brežice: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Jesenice scores 1.78 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Brežice scores 0.89 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.93 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Jesenice 33%, Brežice 67%. Over 2.5: Jesenice 56%, Brežice 56%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Jesenice has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.44. Jesenice: 13.4 shots per match, Brežice: 11.2.
Match halves
Jesenice: half-time lead 56%, second-half goals 1.11. Brežice: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.44.
Goals by minute
Jesenice: 76-90+ (5 goals). Brežice: 46-60 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
2. SNL: 2.93 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Jesenice sit 4th and have won 3 of their last 5 matches, while Brežice, 16th in the table, have recorded 4 defeats and a draw over the same period. The hosts have won 3 of their last 5 home matches, while the visitors have lost all 5 of their most recent away games. At home, Jesenice average 2.4 goals and 5.8 shots on target per match; Brežice score just 0.4 goals away from home, with 2 shots on target. The difference in finishing is underlined by shot conversion rates of 17% for the hosts compared with 3% for the visitors, who have failed to score in 60% of their away matches. Although Brežice’s away xG stands at 1.69, their poor finishing and an average of 2 goals conceded per away game clearly point to a Jesenice win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument against BTTS is Brežice’s lack of scoring efficiency: away from home, they average just 0.4 goals and have failed to score in 60% of those matches. They average 13 shots away, but only 2 on target, with a shooting accuracy of 3%, so their xG of 1.69 has yet to translate into goals. Jesenice are more likely to score, as Brežice concede an average of 2.0 goals away from home and have let in 12 goals in their last 5 matches. However, the case for both teams scoring is supported by Jesenice conceding an average of 2.0 goals at home, with BTTS landing in 100% of their home matches. Despite this risk, Brežice’s frequent away matches without scoring give a slight edge to BTTS - No, meaning at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Jesenice score an average of 1.5 goals per game this season, while Brežice concede 2.0; over their last five matches, the figures were 2.0 and 2.4 goals, respectively. The hosts have gone Over 1.5 goals in every match, compared with 60% of the visitors’ games. Although Brežice average only 0.4 goals and have failed to score in 60% of their matches, their xG stands at 1.69, while Jesenice concede an average of 2.0 goals, so an away goal cannot be ruled out. With 2.95 goals forecast, Over 1.5 is the most convincing pick; higher lines are less strongly supported, as Over 3.5 goals has landed in only 25% of the hosts’ matches and 20% of the visitors’ matches.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal is Jesenice leading at the break: the hosts achieved this in 2 of their 4 home matches, while Brežice were trailing at half-time in 4 of their 5 away games. Jesenice concede an average of 0.25 goals at home before the break, while the visitors score just 0.2 goals away from home and concede 1.2. Recent form also supports Jesenice holding their lead: they have won 3 of their last 5 matches, while Brežice have not won any and have lost 4. However, the 1/1 HT/FT pick is not certain, as Jesenice have yet to win at home and concede an average of 1.75 goals after the break; the risk of a turnaround is limited by Brežice’s away average of just 0.2 goals in the second half.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Jesenice | Brežice | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Jesenice is 800% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Jesenice · 0.2 pts / match - Brežice
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Jesenice is 100% better for: goals scored per match.
1.78 goals / match - Jesenice · 0.89 goals / match - Brežice
Jesenice is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Jesenice · 2 goals / match - Brežice
Jesenice scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while Brežice keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 9 matches).
Brežice scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while Jesenice keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Jesenice
Over / Under - Brežice
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Jesenice is 46% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.78 pts / match - Jesenice · 1.22 pts / match - Brežice
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Jesenice - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 56% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Brežice - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Jesenice
Brežice
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. SNL).
Teams vs league
| Jesenice | Liga | Brežice | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.11 | 2.93 | • 2.89 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 45% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 56% | 56% | • 56% |
| Clean sheets | • 33% | 32% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 89% | 74% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 78% | • 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Jesenice vs Brežice?
The 2. SNL match finished Jesenice 3:1 Brežice. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Jesenice vs Brežice?
Jesenice score 1.78 goals per game on average and Brežice 0.89. The 2. SNL average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Jesenice's matches and 67% of Brežice's.
What form are Jesenice and Brežice in?
Over the last 5 games Jesenice have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Brežice 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Jesenice vs Brežice?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.