Jesenice vs Dravinja: match statistics
Jesenice vs Dravinja: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Jesenice played Dravinja in 2. SNL (Slovenia). The match was played on 23 May 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Jesenice: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Dravinja: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Jesenice scores 0.90 and concedes 2.31 goals per match. Dravinja scores 1.07 and concedes 1.52. League average: 2.82 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Jesenice 45%, Dravinja 55%. Over 2.5: Jesenice 59%, Dravinja 45%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Dravinja has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.21. Jesenice: 8.9 shots per match, Dravinja: 9.4.
Match halves
Jesenice: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.48. Dravinja: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
Jesenice: 76-90+ (8 goals). Dravinja: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
2. SNL: 2.82 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Dravinja is in a stronger league position (8th) than Jesenice (16th) and has 9 wins and 31 goals scored versus the hosts’ 4 wins and 26 goals. In the last 5 matches the visitors have scored 7 goals and remained unbeaten (3 wins, 2 draws), averaging 2.2 points per game, while Jesenice have 1 win, 4 defeats, 5 scored and 16 conceded in that period (0.6 points per game). Stats show similar quality of chances (xG 1.32 for the hosts vs 1.29 for the visitors), but Jesenice at home score only 0.93 goals per game and concede 2.07, whereas Dravinja away score 1.00 and concede 1.71. The hosts’ defense is a major problem — Jesenice have conceded 67 goals this season and 16 in the last 5 matches (3.2 per game), while Dravinja have conceded 44 goals this season and only 4 in the last 5 (0.8 per game). Considering the higher points-per-game form (2.2 vs 0.6), fewer goals conceded and slightly better conversion (10% vs 9%), I give Dravinja a 60% chance to win, 25% for a draw and 15% for a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams register season BTTS rates of 53% (Jesenice) and 57% (Dravinja), rising in the last 5 matches to 60% and 80% respectively, which is a strong signal for Goal/Goal. Jesenice conceded an average of 3.2 goals in the last 5 matches (16 conceded), while Dravinja conceded 0.8 in the last 5 (4 conceded), so it is realistic that both sides will find the net. Season clean sheet rates are low: 20% for Jesenice and only 7% for Dravinja, further reducing the likelihood of a No Goal outcome. xG and shots data confirm this: Jesenice has xG_for 1.39 and Dravinja xG_against 1.64; Dravinja has xG_for 1.29 and Jesenice xG_against 1.53; average shots are 9.53 (Jesenice) vs 9.85 (Dravinja) and shots on target 3.33 vs 3.46, therefore I recommend BTTS - Yes (75%) over No Goal (25%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Season statistics strongly favor Over 1.5 goals: Jesenice have 73% of matches over 1.5, Dravinja 93%, giving an average 83% probability for Over 1.5. The xG model estimates about 1.52 expected goals for the home side (xG_for 1.39 and opponents’ xG_against 1.64 → (1.39+1.64)/2=1.52) and 1.41 for the visitors ((1.29+1.53)/2=1.41), totaling 2.93 expected goals. Additionally, Jesenice have conceded 67 goals this season and have been shipping an average of 3.2 goals in the last 5 matches (16 goals in 5), while Dravinja have scored 7 goals in their last 5 (avg 1.4), which increases the likelihood of goals at both ends. The 2.5 line is less clear — season Over 2.5 rates are 47% for the home team and 43% for the away (hence I assign Over 2.5 a 48% chance vs Under 52%) — whereas Over 3.5 is rare (13% and 14%), so Under 3.5 is the safer option. In practice the strongest signal from the data is Over 1.5 (pick: Over 1.5) based on an 83% historical rate and ~2.93 expected goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a home win at full-time (X/1). Jesenice were level at the break in 7 of 15 matches (47%), while leading at half-time in only 3 of 15 (20%), which increases the probability of a draw at the break. After half-time the hosts score on average 0.73 goals, and Dravinja concedes on average 0.93 goals in the second half, giving Jesenice the edge in the second half. Additionally, Jesenice earn 1.6 points per match and have a 47% win rate this season compared to Dravinja’s 0.71 points and 14% win rate, so a higher chance of a home victory at full-time is justified. On this basis I assign X/1 the highest rating (24%), while 1/1 is my second option (16%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Jesenice | Dravinja | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Dravinja is 267% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Jesenice · 2.2 pts / match - Dravinja
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dravinja is 19% better for: goals scored per match.
0.9 goals / match - Jesenice · 1.07 goals / match - Dravinja
Dravinja is 52% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.31 goals / match - Jesenice · 1.52 goals / match - Dravinja
Jesenice scores in 55% of matches (16 of 29 matches), while Dravinja keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 29 matches).
Dravinja scores in 69% of matches (20 of 29 matches), while Jesenice keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Jesenice
Over / Under - Dravinja
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Dravinja is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.9 pts / match - Jesenice · 1 pts / match - Dravinja
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Jesenice - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 14%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Dravinja - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -11 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Jesenice
Dravinja
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. SNL).
Teams vs league
| Jesenice | Liga | Dravinja | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.21 | 2.82 | ▼ 2.59 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 50% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 55% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 28% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 72% | 74% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 81% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Jesenice 1 - 0 - 0 Dravinja. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Jesenice vs Dravinja?
The 2. SNL match finished Jesenice 0:1 Dravinja. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Jesenice vs Dravinja?
Jesenice score 0.90 goals per game on average and Dravinja 1.07. The 2. SNL average is 2.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Jesenice's matches and 55% of Dravinja's.
What form are Jesenice and Dravinja in?
Over the last 5 games Jesenice have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Dravinja 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Jesenice vs Dravinja?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Jesenice vs Dravinja: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.