Jesenice vs Rudar: match statistics
Jesenice vs Rudar: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Jesenice played Rudar in 2. SNL (Slovenia). The match was played on 10 May 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Jesenice: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. Rudar: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Jesenice scores 0.81 and concedes 2.33 goals per match. Rudar scores 1.59 and concedes 1.22. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Jesenice 41%, Rudar 52%. Over 2.5: Jesenice 56%, Rudar 59%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Rudar has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.18. Jesenice: 8.7 shots per match, Rudar: 10.0.
Match halves
Jesenice: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.48. Rudar: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.74.
Goals by minute
Jesenice: 76-90+ (8 goals). Rudar: 61-75 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
2. SNL: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Jesenice sit 16th, with only 3 wins this season and 63 goals conceded; in the last 5 matches they have 0 points, scored 1 goal and conceded 16 (avg 3.2 goals per game). Rudar are 7th, have 9 wins and 43 goals scored this season; in their last 5 fixtures they average 1.8 points (2 wins and 3 draws), scoring 7 and conceding 3. In the away attack Rudar show a clear efficiency advantage: Rudar away average 1.38 goals, conversion 14% and xG 1.40, whereas Jesenice at home have 0.85 goals, conversion 8% and xG 1.28; average shots on target are similar (3.92 vs 3.85). Defensively the hosts are worse — Jesenice concede 2.15 goals at home with xG against 1.77, while Rudar concede 1.54 away with xG against 1.62; home goal difference is -17 versus -2 for the visitors. Considering form (0 points vs 1.8 points per game), the efficiency gap (14% vs 8%) and the hosts’ significant defensive issues, I predict a Rudar win and assess their probability of victory at 65%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Season data shows Rudar scores frequently (43 goals this season and 62% of matches with BTTS with average xG_for 1.40), and Jesenice score 1.79 goals at home seasonally (xG 1.59), indicating away side has scoring potential. However, Jesenice’s last 5 home matches are an offensive disaster: Jesenice have scored just 1 goal total (avg 0.2 per match) and conceded 16 (avg 3.2), with only 20% BTTS in that period. Visitors in their last 5 scored 7 (avg 1.4) and conceded only 3 (avg 0.6), so Rudar have a strong chance to score but can also keep a clean sheet. Seasonally hosts have 43% clean sheets at home vs 23% clean sheets for away teams, and the league average BTTS is 49% with 2.79 goals per match, which gives mixed signals; considering Jesenice’s very poor scoring form (0.2 in L5) and Rudar’s defensive stability (0.6 conceded in L5), the more likely scenario is “No” (No BTTS).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG model and recent form indicate an open game: expected goals are 1.61 for the home side (attacking xG 1.59 vs opponent xG conceded 1.62) and 1.40 for the away side (attacking xG 1.40 and home defense 1.40), totaling 3.01 goals. This season the home team has 57% of matches over 2.5 goals, the away team 62%, and the league average is 54%, giving a combined average around 59% for Over 2.5. Additionally, in their last 5 matches the home side conceded an average of 3.2 goals (16 in 5 matches), while the away side scored 7 goals in their last 5 (1.4 per match), which increases the likelihood of more goals. The home team averages 5.08 shots on target with a 17% shot conversion rate, the away team 3.92 shots on target with a 14% conversion rate, supporting a forecast of more chances and goals. Therefore I recommend Over 2.5 as the strongest signal (probability 66%), with Over 1.5 very likely (88%) and Over 3.5 remaining more risky (36%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Jesenice have lost 5 of their last 5 matches (100% defeats), conceding an average of 3.2 goals and scoring 0.2 per game, indicating a clear defensive and offensive crisis. Rudar are unbeaten in their last 5 (0% defeats), with 40% wins and 60% draws in that period, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per match, so the visitors’ form is markedly better. At half-time a draw looks realistic — hosts were level at the break in 43% of their season matches, averaging 0.86 goals by HT versus 0.75 for the visitors, and the visitors were level at HT in 60% of their last 5 games. In the second half Rudar’s superiority grows: 83% of the visitors’ matches have at least one goal after the break, and their average second-half points in the last 5 is 1.8 versus 0.2 for the hosts, which favors a visitor victory following a draw at the break. Despite similar season xG (1.59 vs 1.40), current form (Jesenice 0 pts in last 5 vs Rudar 1.8 ppg) and second-half statistics justify selecting X/2 as the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Jesenice | Rudar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rudar is 96% better for: goals scored per match.
0.81 goals / match - Jesenice · 1.59 goals / match - Rudar
Rudar is 91% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.33 goals / match - Jesenice · 1.22 goals / match - Rudar
Jesenice scores in 52% of matches (14 of 27 matches), while Rudar keeps a clean sheet in 33% (9 of 27 matches).
Rudar scores in 70% of matches (19 of 27 matches), while Jesenice keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Jesenice
Over / Under - Rudar
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rudar is 105% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.74 pts / match - Jesenice · 1.52 pts / match - Rudar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Jesenice - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 11%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Rudar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 33%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -10 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Jesenice
Rudar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. SNL).
Teams vs league
| Jesenice | Liga | Rudar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.15 | 2.79 | • 2.81 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 49% | ▲ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 54% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 29% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 74% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | • 81% | 80% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Jesenice 0 - 1 - 0 Rudar. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Jesenice vs Rudar?
The 2. SNL match finished Jesenice 2:1 Rudar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Jesenice vs Rudar?
Jesenice score 0.81 goals per game on average and Rudar 1.59. The 2. SNL average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Jesenice's matches and 52% of Rudar's.
What form are Jesenice and Rudar in?
Over the last 5 games Jesenice have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Rudar 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Jesenice vs Rudar?
The statistical background for Jesenice vs Rudar — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.