Jeunesse Sportive Omrane vs Marsa: match statistics
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane vs Marsa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane played Marsa in Ligue 1 (Tunisia). The match was played on 12 May 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Marsa: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane scores 0.76 and concedes 1.03 goals per match. Marsa scores 0.83 and concedes 1.07. League average: 1.71 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 31%, Marsa 17%. Over 2.5: Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 38%, Marsa 31%. League level: BTTS 26%, Over 2.5 26%.
xG, shots and style
Marsa has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.08. Jeunesse Sportive Omrane: 8.2 shots per match, Marsa: 9.8.
Match halves
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.38. Marsa: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.45.
Goals by minute
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane: 31-45+ (7 goals). Marsa: 0-15 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 1.71 goals per match, BTTS 26%, Over 2.5 26%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane holds a clear home advantage and I predict a home victory. At home they win 57% of matches and have 10 wins this season, conceding an average of 0.79 goals per home game, while Marsa records only a 29% away win rate and concedes 1.00 goal on average. The hosts generate more and higher-quality chances — on average 11.07 shots and 4.93 on target at home with xG 1.41, versus 8.92 shots and 4.0 on target and xG 1.13 for Marsa. Over the last 5 matches both teams average 1.2 points per game, but Omrane have scored 5 and conceded 5, while Marsa have 3 scored and 6 conceded, giving the hosts an edge in form and defence. Additionally, the hosts keep a clean sheet in 36% of home matches compared to Marsa’s 21% on the road, so I give a higher probability to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I recommend backing 'No' (BTTS - No) with a 75% probability versus 25% for 'Yes'. Seasonal BTTS rates for both teams are low: Jeunesse has only 13% BTTS matches, Marsa 21%, and the league average is 26%, indicating infrequent both-teams-to-score outcomes. Jeunesse has as many as 47% clean sheets and scores only 0.67 goals per game with a very low conversion rate of 6%, despite the home xG being 1.49—so they create chances but often fail to convert. Marsa records 1.0 goals per game with xG 1.13 and has a seasonal clean sheet rate of 21%; in their last 5 away matches BTTS is only 20%, further reducing the likelihood of both teams scoring. In summary: a dominant defensive signal (47% clean sheets) and low finishing efficiency (6% conversion, 13% BTTS for the home side) make 'No' clearly more likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Seasonal goal averages are 0.67 for Jeunesse and 1.00 for Marsa (total 1.67), but xG shows 1.49 xG for the home side and 1.13 xG for the away side (xG sum = 2.62). After adjusting for opponent defensive xG (1.58 for Marsa and 1.35 for Jeunesse) we get projected ~1.54 goals for the home team and ~1.24 for the away team, totaling ~2.78 goals. Seasonal shares of Over 2.5 goals matches are only 33% for the home team and 29% for the away team (avg ~31%), while Over 3.5 occurs in just 7% of matches for both teams (Under 3.5 = 93%). The home side averages 11.93 shots and 4.67 on target with a conversion rate of 6%, while Marsa averages 8.92 shots and 4.0 on target with an 11% conversion; additionally the percentage of matches in which both teams scored is only 13% and 21%. Considering the expected 2.78 goals, the low rates of both teams scoring and the very strong seasonal signal for Under 3.5 (93%), I recommend backing Under 3.5 as the best option.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
At half-time the indicators point to a draw: Jeunesse were level at the break in 40% of matches, Marsa in 38%, and the average first-half goals are only 0.27 for the home side and 0.38 for the visitors, which increases the probability of a half-time draw. In the second half the home team is stronger — in the last five fixtures they averaged 1.2 points after the break versus 0.4 points for Marsa, and the season xG for the hosts is 1.49 against 1.13 for the visitors with 11.93 vs 8.92 average shots, demonstrating a creative advantage. Jeunesse have 60% clean sheets at half-time and 47% clean sheets for the season, while the visitors have higher conceded xG (1.58), so Marsa less often seize the decisive initiative after the break. The visitors lost 71% of matches and average 0.86 points per game versus 1.47 for the hosts, therefore the scenario of a half-time draw turned into a home win (X/1) appears strongest; I assign this scenario 26%, with alternatives X/X 18% and 1/1 16% (a combined 47% chance of a home victory).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Jeunesse Sportive Omrane | Marsa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Marsa is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Jeunesse Sportive Omrane · 1.2 pts / match - Marsa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Marsa is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
0.76 goals / match - Jeunesse Sportive Omrane · 0.83 goals / match - Marsa
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane scores in 45% of matches (13 of 29 matches), while Marsa keeps a clean sheet in 34% (10 of 29 matches).
Marsa scores in 48% of matches (14 of 29 matches), while Jeunesse Sportive Omrane keeps a clean sheet in 31% (9 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
Over / Under - Marsa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / match - Jeunesse Sportive Omrane · 1.03 pts / match - Marsa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Marsa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
Marsa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Jeunesse Sportive Omrane | Liga | Marsa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.79 | 1.71 | ▲ 1.90 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 31% | 26% | ▼ 17% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 38% | 26% | ▲ 31% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 31% | 45% | ▼ 34% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 62% | 60% | ▲ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | • 59% | 59% | ▲ 66% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Jeunesse Sportive OmraneGoalFiras Mahdouani
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 0 - 0 - 1 Marsa. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Jeunesse Sportive Omrane vs Marsa?
The Ligue 1 match finished Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 2:2 Marsa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Jeunesse Sportive Omrane vs Marsa?
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane score 0.76 goals per game on average and Marsa 0.83. The Ligue 1 average is 1.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 26% of games. Both teams score in 31% of Jeunesse Sportive Omrane's matches and 17% of Marsa's.
What form are Jeunesse Sportive Omrane and Marsa in?
Over the last 5 games Jeunesse Sportive Omrane have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Marsa 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Jeunesse Sportive Omrane vs Marsa?
The statistical background for Jeunesse Sportive Omrane vs Marsa — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.