JFK Ventspils vs Tukums II: match statistics
JFK Ventspils vs Tukums II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
JFK Ventspils played Tukums II in 1. Liga (Latvia). The match was played on 4 April 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
JFK Ventspils: 0-1-1, 0.50 points/match. Tukums II: 0-0-1, 0.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
JFK Ventspils scores 1.50 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Tukums II scores 1.00 and concedes 3.00. League average: 3.91 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: JFK Ventspils 50%, Tukums II 100%. Over 2.5: JFK Ventspils 50%, Tukums II 100%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 82%.
xG, shots and style
JFK Ventspils has higher xG: 1.58 vs 0.57. JFK Ventspils: 9.0 shots per match, Tukums II: 3.0.
Match halves
JFK Ventspils: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.00. Tukums II: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.00.
Goals by minute
JFK Ventspils: 0-15 (1 goals). Tukums II: 16-30 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Liga: 3.91 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 82%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 4.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win for JFK Ventspils. JFK Ventspils sits 8th in the table versus Tukums II in 13th and has scored 3 and conceded 4 this season, while the visitors have 1 scored and 3 conceded. In the last 5 matches the hosts have scored 6 and conceded 7 (record 1-2-2, average 1.0 point per match), whereas Tukums II have scored 10 and conceded 16 (record 1-1-3, average 0.8 points per match), which indicates the visitors can score (2.0 per match) but are highly unstable defensively (3.2 conceded per match). Home metrics favor Ventspils: on average 4 shots on target per match and average xG 1.20 with 1.0 goals conceded per home match, while Tukums’ away statistics are incomplete (many fields = 0), increasing uncertainty around their road performances. Note the risk of missed chances — the percentage of home matches without a goal for the hosts in the provided home data is 100% and the average home goals is 0, therefore I forecast a narrow home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The dominant signal for BTTS is league and recent form: the league produces BTTS in 70% of matches, and Tukums II have recorded BTTS in 100% of their last 5 games, while JFK Ventspils have 40% BTTS in their last 5. Goal stats over the last 5 matches show the home side scored 6 and conceded 7 (avg 1.2 scored, 1.4 conceded), while the visitors scored 10 and conceded 16 (avg 2.0 scored, 3.2 conceded), which increases the likelihood of both teams scoring. This is supported by xG values: 1.53 xG for the home team versus 1.33 for the visitors, and xG against 1.43 (home) vs 2.19 (away), signaling a weaker away defense and chances being created. Season-long data is mixed (seasonBTTS 100% for the home side vs 0% for the away), but I place greater weight on the last 5 matches and the 70% league average, which together favor BTTS. On this basis I recommend a BTTS = Yes bet with an estimated probability of 80% vs 20%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate 1.86 expected goals for the home team and 1.38 for the away team (total 3.24), calculated as an average from xG: home last5 xG_for 1.53 and opponents xG_against 2.19 → 1.86; away last5 xG_for 1.33 and opponents xG_against 1.43 → 1.38. The home side concedes on average 3.0 goals per match this season, while the away team have conceded 3.2 goals per match in their last 5 (16 conceded in 5 appearances), which increases the likelihood of a high-scoring game. Additionally, the league averages 3.9 goals per match with 80% of fixtures over 2.5; the home team have 100% of season matches over 2.5, and the away team also have 100% of their last 5 matches over 2.5, strengthening the over signal. As a result, the best line to play is Over 2.5 (I choose "over" on 2.5) with an estimated probability of around 74%; Over 1.5 is rated at ~92%, while Over 3.5 has lower chances (~44%) given the expected 3.24 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
JFK Ventspils averages 1.0 goal scored and concedes 3.0 goals per game this season, yielding a negative goal difference of -2.0 and indicating clear defensive issues. The hosts have been trailing at half-time in 100% of matches and have lost 100% of games, and they concede on average 1.0 goal in minutes 0–15, so an away lead at the break is highly probable. Tukums II have averaged 2.0 goals in their last five matches and 1.2 goals by half-time, totaling 15 first-half goals across those five games, which suggests first-half efficiency. Additionally, the hosts’ own xG is 0.57 versus 2.58 xG conceded, confirming the visitors’ advantage in goal-scoring opportunities. For these reasons I tip Tukums II to lead at half-time and win the match (HT/FT 2/2) and assign this scenario the highest probability at 58%, with an alternative HT/FT X/2 at 20% and 2/X at 6%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| JFK Ventspils | Tukums II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 61% | 100% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
JFK Ventspils is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - JFK Ventspils · 1 goals / match - Tukums II
JFK Ventspils is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - JFK Ventspils · 3 goals / match - Tukums II
JFK Ventspils scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while Tukums II keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 1 matches).
Tukums II scores in 100% of matches (1 of 1 matches), while JFK Ventspils keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - JFK Ventspils
Over / Under - Tukums II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
JFK Ventspils - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Tukums II - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.5 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 50% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 3.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 100% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 0% |
| No goal | 0% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
JFK Ventspils
Tukums II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| JFK Ventspils | Liga | Tukums II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.50 | 3.91 | • 4.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 64% | ▲ 100% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 82% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 18% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 91% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 91% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Tukums IIGoalYushin Koki
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): JFK Ventspils 2 - 0 - 0 Tukums II. Average goals 4.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of JFK Ventspils vs Tukums II?
The 1. Liga match finished JFK Ventspils 2:2 Tukums II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between JFK Ventspils and Tukums II?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches JFK Ventspils won 2, Tukums II won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before JFK Ventspils vs Tukums II?
JFK Ventspils score 1.50 goals per game on average and Tukums II 1.00. The 1. Liga average is 3.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 82% of games. Both teams score in 50% of JFK Ventspils's matches and 100% of Tukums II's.
What form are JFK Ventspils and Tukums II in?
Over the last 5 games JFK Ventspils have a 0-1-1 record (0.50 points per game) and Tukums II 0-0-1 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for JFK Ventspils vs Tukums II?
The statistical background for JFK Ventspils vs Tukums II — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.