Tanzania - Ligi kuu BaraIsamuhyo StadiumData current as of 22 October 2026

JKT Tanzania vs Kagera Sugar: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

JKT Tanzania vs Kagera Sugar: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

JKT Tanzania play Kagera Sugar in Ligi kuu Bara (Tanzania). The match date is 24 October 2026. Venue: Isamuhyo Stadium.

Current form

JKT Tanzania: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Kagera Sugar: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

JKT Tanzania scores 1.38 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Kagera Sugar scores 1.13 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.56 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: JKT Tanzania 63%, Kagera Sugar 75%. Over 2.5: JKT Tanzania 75%, Kagera Sugar 38%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 44%.

xG, shots and style

JKT Tanzania has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.29. JKT Tanzania: 7.6 shots per match, Kagera Sugar: 7.0.

Match halves

JKT Tanzania: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.75. Kagera Sugar: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.50.

Goals by minute

JKT Tanzania: 31-45+ (3 goals). Kagera Sugar: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ligi kuu Bara: 2.56 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 44%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

JKT TanzaniaKagera Sugar
1.38Goals scored / match1.13
JKT TanzaniaKagera Sugar
1.5Goals conceded / match2
JKT TanzaniaKagera Sugar
46%Average possession49%
JKT TanzaniaKagera Sugar
3.13Shots on target / match3.38
JKT TanzaniaKagera Sugar

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

7.63Shots per match7
JKT TanzaniaKagera Sugar
3.13Shots on target3.38
JKT TanzaniaKagera Sugar
18%Shot conversion16.1%
JKT TanzaniaKagera Sugar
46%Possession49%
JKT TanzaniaKagera Sugar
1.44xG for1.29
JKT TanzaniaKagera Sugar
1.54xG against1.41
JKT TanzaniaKagera Sugar

Shooting quality

JKT Tanzania: Counter-attackingKagera Sugar: Efficient finishing
JKT TanzaniaKagera Sugar
Accuracy (shots on target)41%48%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.190.18
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.440.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

JKT Tanzania is 140% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / match - JKT Tanzania · 1 pts / match - Kagera Sugar

JKT Tanzania
WWLWW
Season result split
50% W13% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-1-3
1.63 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-1-0
Last 5 at home
3-1-0
DWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.75Opponent xG: 1.23BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%
Kagera Sugar
LLDWD
Season result split
13% W38% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-3-4
0.75 pts / match · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-2
Last 5 away
1-0-2
LLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 0.93Opponent xG: 1.16BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

JKT Tanzania is 22% better for: goals scored per match.

1.38 goals / match - JKT Tanzania · 1.13 goals / match - Kagera Sugar

JKT Tanzania is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.5 goals / match - JKT Tanzania · 2 goals / match - Kagera Sugar

JKT Tanzania scoring profile: very strong

JKT Tanzania scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Kagera Sugar keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 8 matches).

Kagera Sugar scoring profile: very strong

Kagera Sugar scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while JKT Tanzania keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).

11Goals scored (season)9
JKT TanzaniaKagera Sugar
12Goals conceded (season)16
JKT TanzaniaKagera Sugar
2.88Average goals in match3.13
JKT TanzaniaKagera Sugar
10Goals scored (last 5)6
JKT TanzaniaKagera Sugar
5Goals conceded (last 5)7
JKT TanzaniaKagera Sugar

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal75%
JKT TanzaniaKagera Sugar
50%2 goals25%
JKT TanzaniaKagera Sugar
13%3 goals13%
JKT TanzaniaKagera Sugar
0%4 goals0%
JKT TanzaniaKagera Sugar

How often they concede at least...

88%1 goal100%
JKT TanzaniaKagera Sugar
38%2 goals50%
JKT TanzaniaKagera Sugar
13%3 goals13%
JKT TanzaniaKagera Sugar
13%4 goals13%
JKT TanzaniaKagera Sugar

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

51%
League average

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time38%
JKT TanzaniaKagera Sugar
0%BTTS in both halves13%
JKT TanzaniaKagera Sugar
13%Scored in both halves25%
JKT TanzaniaKagera Sugar

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
JKT TanzaniaKagera Sugar
25%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
JKT TanzaniaKagera Sugar
80%BTTS - last 580%
JKT TanzaniaKagera Sugar

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time88%
JKT TanzaniaKagera Sugar
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
JKT TanzaniaKagera Sugar
25%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
JKT TanzaniaKagera Sugar

2nd half

88%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
JKT TanzaniaKagera Sugar
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
JKT TanzaniaKagera Sugar
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
JKT TanzaniaKagera Sugar

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

JKT Tanzania - half-time state
25% leading38% draw38% trailing
Kagera Sugar - half-time state
25% leading38% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.13Points per match (1st half)1.13
JKT TanzaniaKagera Sugar
0.63Goals scored (1st half)0.63
JKT TanzaniaKagera Sugar
0.75Goals conceded (1st half)1
JKT TanzaniaKagera Sugar
1.38Average goals (1st half)1.63
JKT TanzaniaKagera Sugar
50%Clean sheet before half-time38%
JKT TanzaniaKagera Sugar
63%No goal before half-time38%
JKT TanzaniaKagera Sugar

After half-time (2nd half)

1.38Points per match (2nd half)0.75
JKT TanzaniaKagera Sugar
0.75Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
JKT TanzaniaKagera Sugar
0.75Goals conceded (2nd half)1
JKT TanzaniaKagera Sugar
1.5Average goals (2nd half)1.5
JKT TanzaniaKagera Sugar
25%Clean sheet after half-time38%
JKT TanzaniaKagera Sugar
50%No goal after half-time63%
JKT TanzaniaKagera Sugar

JKT Tanzania - second-half results

38% W25% D38% L
9
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.13
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Kagera Sugar - second-half results

13% W38% D50% L
9
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.13
PPG before half-time
Lead holding52%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

JKT Tanzania - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.60
Goals scored / match1.01.0
Goals conceded / match0.20.8
Average goals in match1.21.8
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+4+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
Kagera Sugar - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.20
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.80.6
Average goals in match1.41.2
1 goal80%60%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

JKT Tanzania
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
0
1
16-30
3
4
31-45
3
1
46-60
0
2
61-75
3
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Kagera Sugar
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
1
3
16-30
3
4
31-45
1
2
46-60
2
5
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.00
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
117%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
69%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

JKT Tanzania

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
91%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
146%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.77
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Kagera Sugar

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.12
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.75
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.59
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
110%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
132%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.25
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
11% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
11%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligi kuu Bara).

Teams vs league

JKT TanzaniaLigaKagera Sugar
Average goals in match▲ 2.882.56▲ 3.13
Both teams scored▲ 63%51%▲ 75%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 75%44%▼ 38%
Clean sheets▼ 13%25%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time• 75%76%▲ 88%
Goal after half-time▲ 88%71%▲ 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.56
Average goals per match
51%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.52
Home goals / match
1.03
Away goals / match
+48%
Home attack advantage
+32%
Home defence advantage
+25%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

FAQ

When do JKT Tanzania and Kagera Sugar play?

JKT Tanzania face Kagera Sugar on 24 October 2026 in Ligi kuu Bara at Isamuhyo Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before JKT Tanzania vs Kagera Sugar?

JKT Tanzania score 1.38 goals per game on average and Kagera Sugar 1.13. The Ligi kuu Bara average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 63% of JKT Tanzania's matches and 75% of Kagera Sugar's.

What form are JKT Tanzania and Kagera Sugar in?

Over the last 5 games JKT Tanzania have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Kagera Sugar 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for JKT Tanzania vs Kagera Sugar?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.