Tanzania - Ligi kuu BaraIsamuhyo StadiumData current as of 15 October 2026

JKT Tanzania vs Mbeya City: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

JKT Tanzania vs Mbeya City: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

JKT Tanzania play Mbeya City in Ligi kuu Bara (Tanzania). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: Isamuhyo Stadium.

Current form

JKT Tanzania: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Mbeya City: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

JKT Tanzania scores 1.29 and concedes 1.57 goals per match. Mbeya City scores 1.00 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.56 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: JKT Tanzania 57%, Mbeya City 29%. Over 2.5: JKT Tanzania 71%, Mbeya City 29%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 44%.

xG, shots and style

Mbeya City has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.34. JKT Tanzania: 6.4 shots per match, Mbeya City: 7.6.

Match halves

JKT Tanzania: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.71. Mbeya City: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.71.

Goals by minute

JKT Tanzania: 46-60 (3 goals). Mbeya City: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ligi kuu Bara: 2.56 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 44%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

JKT TanzaniaMbeya City
1.29Goals scored / match1
JKT TanzaniaMbeya City
1.57Goals conceded / match1
JKT TanzaniaMbeya City
44%Average possession50%
JKT TanzaniaMbeya City
2.71Shots on target / match2.14
JKT TanzaniaMbeya City

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

6.43Shots per match7.57
JKT TanzaniaMbeya City
2.71Shots on target2.14
JKT TanzaniaMbeya City
20%Shot conversion13.2%
JKT TanzaniaMbeya City
44%Possession50%
JKT TanzaniaMbeya City
1.34xG for1.35
JKT TanzaniaMbeya City
1.64xG against1.35
JKT TanzaniaMbeya City

Shooting quality

JKT Tanzania: Counter-attackingMbeya City: Efficient finishing
JKT TanzaniaMbeya City
Accuracy (shots on target)42%28%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.210.18
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.480.47

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

JKT Tanzania is 29% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - JKT Tanzania · 1.4 pts / match - Mbeya City

JKT Tanzania
LWWLW
Season result split
43% W14% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-3
1.43 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Last 5 at home
2-1-0
DWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.30Opponent xG: 1.61BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 100%
Mbeya City
WWDLL
Season result split
43% W14% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-3
1.43 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Last 5 away
1-1-1
WDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.45Opponent xG: 1.53BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

JKT Tanzania is 29% better for: goals scored per match.

1.29 goals / match - JKT Tanzania · 1 goals / match - Mbeya City

Mbeya City is 57% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.57 goals / match - JKT Tanzania · 1 goals / match - Mbeya City

JKT Tanzania scoring profile: strong

JKT Tanzania scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Mbeya City keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).

Mbeya City scoring profile: strong

Mbeya City scores in 57% of matches (4 of 7 matches), while JKT Tanzania keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).

9Goals scored (season)7
JKT TanzaniaMbeya City
11Goals conceded (season)7
JKT TanzaniaMbeya City
2.86Average goals in match2
JKT TanzaniaMbeya City
8Goals scored (last 5)5
JKT TanzaniaMbeya City
8Goals conceded (last 5)6
JKT TanzaniaMbeya City

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal57%
JKT TanzaniaMbeya City
43%2 goals43%
JKT TanzaniaMbeya City
14%3 goals0%
JKT TanzaniaMbeya City
0%4 goals0%
JKT TanzaniaMbeya City

How often they concede at least...

86%1 goal57%
JKT TanzaniaMbeya City
43%2 goals29%
JKT TanzaniaMbeya City
14%3 goals14%
JKT TanzaniaMbeya City
14%4 goals0%
JKT TanzaniaMbeya City

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

49%
League average

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time14%
JKT TanzaniaMbeya City
0%BTTS in both halves0%
JKT TanzaniaMbeya City
0%Scored in both halves14%
JKT TanzaniaMbeya City

BTTS and goal count

43%Min. 3 goals and BTTS29%
JKT TanzaniaMbeya City
29%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
JKT TanzaniaMbeya City
60%BTTS - last 540%
JKT TanzaniaMbeya City

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time57%
JKT TanzaniaMbeya City
43%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
JKT TanzaniaMbeya City
29%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
JKT TanzaniaMbeya City

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time57%
JKT TanzaniaMbeya City
29%Min. 2 goals after half-time43%
JKT TanzaniaMbeya City
29%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
JKT TanzaniaMbeya City

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Mbeya City is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.86 pts / match - JKT Tanzania · 1 pts / match - Mbeya City

JKT Tanzania - half-time state
14% leading43% draw43% trailing
Mbeya City - half-time state
14% leading57% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.86Points per match (1st half)1
JKT TanzaniaMbeya City
0.57Goals scored (1st half)0.29
JKT TanzaniaMbeya City
0.86Goals conceded (1st half)0.57
JKT TanzaniaMbeya City
1.43Average goals (1st half)0.86
JKT TanzaniaMbeya City
43%Clean sheet before half-time57%
JKT TanzaniaMbeya City
71%No goal before half-time71%
JKT TanzaniaMbeya City

After half-time (2nd half)

1.43Points per match (2nd half)1.71
JKT TanzaniaMbeya City
0.71Goals scored (2nd half)0.71
JKT TanzaniaMbeya City
0.71Goals conceded (2nd half)0.43
JKT TanzaniaMbeya City
1.43Average goals (2nd half)1.14
JKT TanzaniaMbeya City
29%Clean sheet after half-time71%
JKT TanzaniaMbeya City
57%No goal after half-time57%
JKT TanzaniaMbeya City

JKT Tanzania - second-half results

43% W14% D43% L
6
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.86
PPG before half-time
Lead holding307%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Mbeya City - second-half results

43% W43% D14% L
7
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding307%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

JKT Tanzania - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.40
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.61.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Mbeya City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.60
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match0.81.4
1 goal40%60%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

JKT Tanzania
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
0
1
16-30
2
4
31-45
3
1
46-60
0
2
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Mbeya City
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
0
1
16-30
1
3
31-45
0
2
46-60
2
1
61-75
3
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.43
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
95%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
43%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+3%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
40%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

JKT Tanzania

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
83%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
157%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.37
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 22% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Mbeya City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
0.00
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
0.00
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.35
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.35
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
100%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
64%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.03
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
43% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
43%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligi kuu Bara).

Teams vs league

JKT TanzaniaLigaMbeya City
Average goals in match▲ 2.862.56▼ 2.00
Both teams scored▲ 57%49%▼ 29%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 71%44%▼ 29%
Clean sheets▼ 14%26%▲ 43%
Goal before half-time▼ 71%76%▼ 57%
Goal after half-time▲ 86%71%▼ 57%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.56
Average goals per match
49%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.56
Home goals / match
1.00
Away goals / match
+56%
Home attack advantage
+36%
Home defence advantage
+27%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): JKT Tanzania 1 - 1 - 0 Mbeya City. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

JKT Tanzania
1 : 0
Mbeya City
Mbeya City
2 : 2
JKT Tanzania

FAQ

When do JKT Tanzania and Mbeya City play?

JKT Tanzania face Mbeya City on 18 October 2026 in Ligi kuu Bara at Isamuhyo Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between JKT Tanzania and Mbeya City?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches JKT Tanzania won 1, Mbeya City won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before JKT Tanzania vs Mbeya City?

JKT Tanzania score 1.29 goals per game on average and Mbeya City 1.00. The Ligi kuu Bara average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 57% of JKT Tanzania's matches and 29% of Mbeya City's.

What form are JKT Tanzania and Mbeya City in?

Over the last 5 games JKT Tanzania have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Mbeya City 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for JKT Tanzania vs Mbeya City?

The statistical background for JKT Tanzania vs Mbeya City — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.