Junior vs Fortaleza CEIF: match statistics
Junior has the home-field advantage, winning 40% of their home matches and maintaining a solid xG (1.69) that exceeds their opponents' xG (1.13). Fortaleza CEIF presents a very poor away form - they have not won a single away match this season (0% win rate), and 60% of their games end in a draw. The visitors' last five away matches feature a streak of four draws and one defeat, confirming their defensive approach and difficulties in scoring goals on the road (averaging 1 goal per match). Junior scores more (averaging 1.2 goals at home) and has a better shot conversion (7% vs 8%), which, backed by their own fans, gives them a realistic chance for three points. Considering Fortaleza's tendency to draw and the hosts' fluctuating form, I expect Junior to win, although a draw is also possible.
Junior vs Fortaleza CEIF: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Junior played Fortaleza CEIF in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match was played on 16 March 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Junior: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Fortaleza CEIF: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Junior scores 1.50 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Fortaleza CEIF scores 1.20 and concedes 1.40. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Junior 60%, Fortaleza CEIF 80%. Over 2.5: Junior 70%, Fortaleza CEIF 40%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Junior has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.40. Junior: 14.1 shots per match, Fortaleza CEIF: 13.4.
Match halves
Junior: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.60. Fortaleza CEIF: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Junior: 31-45+ (4 goals). Fortaleza CEIF: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Junior has the home-field advantage, winning 40% of their home matches and maintaining a solid xG (1.69) that exceeds their opponents' xG (1.13). Fortaleza CEIF presents a very poor away form - they have not won a single away match this season (0% win rate), and 60% of their games end in a draw. The visitors' last five away matches feature a streak of four draws and one defeat, confirming their defensive approach and difficulties in scoring goals on the road (averaging 1 goal per match). Junior scores more (averaging 1.2 goals at home) and has a better shot conversion (7% vs 8%), which, backed by their own fans, gives them a realistic chance for three points. Considering Fortaleza's tendency to draw and the hosts' fluctuating form, I expect Junior to win, although a draw is also possible.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Junior | Fortaleza CEIF | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Junior is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Junior · 1.2 goals / match - Fortaleza CEIF
Fortaleza CEIF is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Junior · 1.4 goals / match - Fortaleza CEIF
Junior scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Fortaleza CEIF keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).
Fortaleza CEIF scores in 90% of matches (9 of 10 matches), while Junior keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Junior
Over / Under - Fortaleza CEIF
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Junior is 183% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.7 pts / match - Junior · 0.6 pts / match - Fortaleza CEIF
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Junior - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Fortaleza CEIF - second-half results
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Junior
Fortaleza CEIF
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Junior | Liga | Fortaleza CEIF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.57 | • 2.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 57% | ▲ 80% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 70% | 50% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 26% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 67% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 80% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Junior 1 - 1 - 0 Fortaleza CEIF. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Junior vs Fortaleza CEIF?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Junior 2:1 Fortaleza CEIF. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Junior and Fortaleza CEIF?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Junior won 1, Fortaleza CEIF won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Junior vs Fortaleza CEIF?
Junior score 1.50 goals per game on average and Fortaleza CEIF 1.20. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Junior's matches and 80% of Fortaleza CEIF's.
What form are Junior and Fortaleza CEIF in?
Over the last 5 games Junior have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Fortaleza CEIF 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Junior vs Fortaleza CEIF?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.