Juventud vs Torque: match statistics

Torque have a clearly stronger current run of form: they have won 3 of their last 5 matches and scored 8 goals in that stretch, while Juventud have scored only 4, recording 1 win and 3 draws. Away from home, the visitors average 1.45 goals per match, while the hosts concede 1.45 goals at home, creating a favorable matchup for Torque’s attack. Torque’s defense away from home is considerably more solid, averaging 0.91 goals conceded and 1.01 xG against, compared with the 1.45 goals and 1.28 xG conceded by Juventud at home. The visitors have lost only 18% of their away matches, whereas Juventud have suffered defeat in 55% of their home fixtures. However, Juventud could keep the match balanced thanks to 54% average possession and 1.48 xG at home, so a draw remains a realistic alternative, but the stronger case is for Torque.

Both teams have recorded BTTS in 64% of their matches this season, well above the league average of 51%, while the figure stands at 60% for each side across their last five matches. Torque are in good offensive form, averaging 1.6 goals recently with an xG of 1.34, while Juventud have allowed opponents an average xG of 1.56 per match. The hosts are currently scoring only 0.8 goals per game, but Torque have conceded an average of 1.6 goals in their last five appearances, giving Juventud a realistic chance to find the net. Over the season, Juventud average 1.55 goals, and each team fails to score in only 18% of matches, making a goal for both sides more likely than a scenario in which at least one team fails to score — BTTS - No.

A forecast of 2.35 goals points to a match with a realistic chance of 2–3 goals, but without strong grounds for a very high-scoring game. Only 36% of Juventud matches and 27% of Torque matches finished with Over 3.5 goals, while Under this line occurred in 64% and 73% of cases, respectively. Torque concedes just 0.91 goals per match on average, while its average xG against stands at 1.01, limiting the hosts’ attacking potential despite their seasonal average of 1.55 goals scored. Juventud have scored only 4 goals in their last five matches, averaging 0.8 per game, while their xG during this period has fallen to 1.15. Both teams frequently surpass 1.5 total goals per match, at 73% each, but Torque’s defensive data and the moderate combined expected goal tally favor Under 3.5 goals.

A draw at half-time is the most logical starting point, as Torque were level at the break in 45% of their matches, while Juventud have been level in 3 of their last 5 games, or 60%. The hosts have scored only 0.8 goals per match over their last five fixtures and won just 20% of them, whereas Torque have averaged 1.6 goals and won 60% of their matches. The visitors’ advantage should become particularly evident after the break: Torque average 0.91 goals in the second half, have a 55% second-half win rate, and have not lost a single match after half-time. Their defence concedes just 0.09 goals per game after the interval and keeps a clean sheet in 91% of such halves, limiting Juventud’s chances of maintaining a favourable result. Torque also have a higher season points average, 1.73 compared with 1.45, which is why the HT/FT scenario of a draw at half-time followed by an away win at the final whistle is the strongest outcome.