Juventud vs Wanderers: match statistics
Juventud vs Wanderers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Juventud played Wanderers in Primera División (Uruguay). The match was played on 2 May 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Juventud: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Wanderers: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Juventud scores 1.00 and concedes 1.54 goals per match. Wanderers scores 1.08 and concedes 1.46. League average: 2.48 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Juventud 62%, Wanderers 54%. Over 2.5: Juventud 54%, Wanderers 62%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. Juventud: 11.5 shots per match, Wanderers: 11.8.
Match halves
Juventud: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.38. Wanderers: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
Juventud: 31-45+ (6 goals). Wanderers: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.48 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back Juventud to win (1): the hosts create better offensive opportunities — average xG at home is 1.68 versus Wanderers’ 1.51 xG on the road, and the hosts’ average shots on target is 5.86 compared to 3.5 for the visitors. Defensively Juventud also have the edge at home: they concede 1.00 goal on average at home, while Wanderers concede 1.83 away, with xG against of 1.27 versus 1.51. Recent form over the last five matches moderately favors the hosts — Juventud scored 9 goals in their last five and average 1.6 points per game in that period, while Wanderers scored 7 goals and average 1.2 points per game. The risk is real, however: Juventud failed to score in 43% of home matches, whereas Wanderers finished scoreless away in only 17% of cases, increasing the likelihood of a draw or a low-scoring game. Considering the superior xG (1.68 vs 1.51), advantage in shots on target (5.86 vs 3.5) and lower average goals conceded at home (1.00 vs 1.83), I give Juventud a slight edge and assign them a 52% chance to win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I select the 'BTTS - Yes' scenario because Wanderers has a season BTTS rate of 67% and 60% in the last 5 matches, while Juventud shows 60% BTTS in the last 5 despite a 43% season rate. Wanderers' defense concedes on average 1.83 goals per game this season and 1.6 in the last 5, whereas Juventud concedes 1.14 seasonally and only 1.0 in the last 5, indicating Wanderers in particular is prone to conceding. Offensively both teams produce similar xG: Juventud 1.43 seasonally and 1.52 in the last 5, Wanderers 1.51 seasonally and 1.47 in the last 5, so both sides generate around 1.4–1.5 xG per game and have realistic chances to score. Additionally, Wanderers have only 17% clean sheets this season versus 43% for Juventud, and the league average BTTS is 53%, which increases the likelihood of goals from both sides. Based on this I assess the probability of BTTS at 65% versus 35% for No Goal — the 'Yes' signal is strongest due to Wanderers' 67% season BTTS, both teams' 60% BTTS in the last 5, and the similar xG figures.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a strong signal for Over: Juventud have 71% of matches with over 1.5 goals this season and Wanderers 83%, giving a simple average of ~77% and strong support for Over 1.5. Both teams show high xG: Juventud xG_for = 1.43 and Wanderers xG_for = 1.51, with opponents' xG_against at 1.50 and 1.51 respectively, which before adjustments suggests a potential of ~1.4–1.5 goals per team. Actual goals are lower (averages 1.14 for Juventud and 1.00 for Wanderers), but form over the last 5 matches is improving (last 5: home side scoring 1.8 on average, visitors 1.4), so I compromise and estimate expected goals at 1.35 (Juventud) and 1.05 (Wanderers), totaling 2.40 goals. Considering seasonal over2.5 rates of 57%/67% (avg ~62%) and last 5 matches over2.5 at 60% (home) and 80% (away), I assess over2.5 at ~65%, while seasonally over3.5 is low at 14–17% (I average ~16%). Therefore I recommend playing Over 1.5 (probability ~82%) as the strongest signal due to the high share of Over 1.5 this season, high xG (1.43/1.51) and improved home form.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely HT/FT scenario is 1/1 (the home team leads at the break and wins the match). In the last 5 meetings Juventud led at half-time in 4 of 5 (80%) and during that period averaged 1.4 goals by the break versus 0.4 for Wanderers. The home side averages 4.71 shots on target with a conversion rate of 10%, compared to 3.5 shots on target and 8% conversion for the opponents, giving them an advantage in creating and converting chances into goals. The visitors concede an average of 1.83 goals per match and 1.0 goal after the break, and are behind at half-time in 67% of cases, which makes comebacks more difficult. Additionally, Juventud scored 3 goals in minutes 31–45 versus 0 for Wanderers, so the scenario of leading at the break and ultimately winning for the hosts is the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Juventud | Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Wanderers is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Juventud · 1.2 pts / match - Wanderers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Wanderers is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Juventud · 1.08 goals / match - Wanderers
Wanderers is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.54 goals / match - Juventud · 1.46 goals / match - Wanderers
Juventud scores in 69% of matches (9 of 13 matches), while Wanderers keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 matches).
Wanderers scores in 77% of matches (10 of 13 matches), while Juventud keeps a clean sheet in 8% (1 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Juventud
Over / Under - Wanderers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Juventud is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / match - Juventud · 1.08 pts / match - Wanderers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Juventud - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 15%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Wanderers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Juventud
Wanderers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Juventud | Liga | Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.54 | 2.48 | • 2.54 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 53% | • 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 54% | 46% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 8% | 26% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 71% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 62% | 78% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Juventud 2 - 0 - 0 Wanderers. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Juventud vs Wanderers?
The Primera División match finished Juventud 2:1 Wanderers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Juventud and Wanderers?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Juventud won 2, Wanderers won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Juventud vs Wanderers?
Juventud score 1.00 goals per game on average and Wanderers 1.08. The Primera División average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Juventud's matches and 54% of Wanderers's.
What form are Juventud and Wanderers in?
Over the last 5 games Juventud have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Wanderers 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Juventud vs Wanderers?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.