Juventude vs América Mineiro: match statistics
Juventude vs América Mineiro: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Juventude played América Mineiro in Serie B (Brazil). The match was played on 30 May 2026. Venue: Estádio Alfredo Jaconi. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Juventude: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. América Mineiro: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Juventude scores 0.60 and concedes 0.60 goals per match. América Mineiro scores 0.60 and concedes 1.90. League average: 2.27 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Juventude 20%, América Mineiro 60%. Over 2.5: Juventude 10%, América Mineiro 60%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
América Mineiro has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.24. Juventude: 11.2 shots per match, América Mineiro: 13.4.
Match halves
Juventude: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.30. América Mineiro: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.20.
Goals by minute
Juventude: 31-45+ (3 goals). América Mineiro: 0-15 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.27 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back a Juventude win (1): the hosts have a clear defensive edge — at home they concede only 0.2 goals per game on average and keep clean sheets in 80% of matches, while América concedes 2.0 goals on average away and has recorded no clean sheets (0%). Juventude has averaged 1.2 points per game over the last 5 matches overall and at home holds a formline of dwwdl (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss), whereas América has not won any of their last five matches, averages 0.2 points per game and conceded 10 goals in those fixtures. Offensively both teams produce a similar goals output — 0.6 goals per game — but Juventude’s home xG is 1.41 with 12.4 shots and 4.6 shots on target, indicating they create chances though conversion is 5%; América has xG 1.62 and 14.2 shots per game but converts at 4% and is prone to conceding. The key difference is the hosts’ defensive concentration (80% clean sheets vs 0% for the visitors) and América’s lack of away wins (0% away wins), which points to a low-scoring game and an edge for Juventude. I estimate probabilities: 70% Juventude win, 20% draw, 10% América win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have a seasonal BTTS rate of 60% (Juventude 60% and América Mineiro 60%), providing a strong baseline for a Goal/Goal scenario. América has not kept a clean sheet yet (0% clean sheets) and conceded 19 goals this season versus 6 conceded by Juventude; in the last 5 matches América conceded 10 goals (2.0 per match) while Juventude conceded 3 goals (0.6 per match), highlighting the visitors' defensive vulnerability. xG supports this outcome: América’s attacking xG is 1.62 against xG allowed by Juventude of 1.45, and Juventude’s attacking xG is 1.36 against xG allowed by América of 1.36, indicating realistic scoring chances for both sides. Additionally, América averages 4.8 shots on target versus Juventude’s 3.8, increasing the visitors’ likelihood of scoring, although the league has a high clean sheet rate (63%) and an overall league BTTS of 50%, which slightly reduces confidence. Considering both teams’ 60% BTTS, the visitors’ 0% clean sheets and recent xG and shots averages, I pick BTTS = Yes and estimate probability at about 67% for Yes versus 33% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate 1.36 goals for Juventude and 1.54 for América Mineiro (total 2.90), calculating the average of attack xG and opponent’s defensive xG: 1.36 = (1.36+1.36)/2, 1.54 = (1.62+1.45)/2. Both teams generate a significant number of shots (12.6 and 14.2) and have 3.8 and 4.8 shots on target with conversion rates of 5.0% and 4.0%, which increases the likelihood of xG converting into goals. Seasonally both sides have 80% of matches over 1.5 goals (Juventude 80%, América 80%) and in 60% of games both teams score, providing a strong signal for Over 1.5. The signal for Over 2.5 is mixed: Juventude has 80% of season matches >2.5, América 40%, and in the last 5 matches it's 20% (Juventude) and 60% (América), so Over 2.5 is likely but less certain than Over 1.5. Over 3.5 appears unlikely — seasonally Juventude 0% and América 40% of matches >3.5, and the combined xG of 2.90 is below 3.5; therefore I recommend playing the Over at the 1.5 line as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a Half-Time/Full-Time draw at the break and an away win (X/2): the home team draws at the break in 80% of their matches, which increases the likelihood of a draw after 45 minutes. The visitors, however, are stronger after the break — they average 1.0 point in second halves and win 20% of second halves, while the hosts have only 0.2 points and 0% second-half wins. Creation data also favors the away side: the visitors’ xG is 1.62 versus the hosts’ 1.36, and the average number of shots on target is 4.8 for the visitors versus 3.8 for the hosts, giving the visitors greater potential to score after the break. The hosts concede an average of 1.4 goals in second halves, and the visitors score an average of 0.4 goals after the break, so statistically the visitors are more likely to complete a turnaround. Based on this I assigned the highest probability to X/2 (35%), with X/X (20%) as the second option and 1/X (12%) as further realistic alternatives.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Juventude | América Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Juventude is 500% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Juventude · 0.2 pts / match - América Mineiro
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Juventude is 217% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.6 goals / match - Juventude · 1.9 goals / match - América Mineiro
Juventude scores in 50% of matches (5 of 10 matches), while América Mineiro keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 matches).
América Mineiro scores in 60% of matches (6 of 10 matches), while Juventude keeps a clean sheet in 60% (6 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Juventude
Over / Under - América Mineiro
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Juventude is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.3 pts / match - Juventude · 1 pts / match - América Mineiro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Juventude - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
América Mineiro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Juventude
América Mineiro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Juventude | Liga | América Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.20 | 2.27 | ▲ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 20% | 50% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 10% | 43% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 60% | 32% | ▼ 10% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 60% | 58% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 77% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Juventude vs América Mineiro?
The Serie B match finished Juventude 3:0 América Mineiro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Juventude vs América Mineiro?
Juventude score 0.60 goals per game on average and América Mineiro 0.60. The Serie B average is 2.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 20% of Juventude's matches and 60% of América Mineiro's.
What form are Juventude and América Mineiro in?
Over the last 5 games Juventude have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and América Mineiro 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Juventude vs América Mineiro?
The statistical background for Juventude vs América Mineiro — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.