Brazil - Serie BEstádio Alfredo JaconiData current as of 22 October 2026

Juventude vs Náutico: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Juventude vs Náutico: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Juventude play Náutico in Serie B (Brazil). The match date is 26 October 2026. Venue: Estádio Alfredo Jaconi.

Current form

Juventude: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Náutico: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Juventude scores 1.21 and concedes 0.68 goals per match. Náutico scores 1.15 and concedes 1.24. League average: 2.33 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Juventude 26%, Náutico 44%. Over 2.5: Juventude 32%, Náutico 38%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 43%.

xG, shots and style

Náutico has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.39. Juventude: 12.9 shots per match, Náutico: 16.3.

Match halves

Juventude: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.71. Náutico: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.79.

Goals by minute

Juventude: 31-45+ (11 goals). Náutico: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie B: 2.33 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 43%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.62)
(3.75)
(5.12)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.21Goals scored / match1.15
JuventudeNáutico
0.68Goals conceded / match1.24
JuventudeNáutico
51%Average possession57%
JuventudeNáutico
4.26Shots on target / match4.41
JuventudeNáutico

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.91Shots per match16.29
JuventudeNáutico
4.26Shots on target4.41
JuventudeNáutico
9.3%Shot conversion7%
JuventudeNáutico
51%Possession57%
JuventudeNáutico
1.39xG for1.75
JuventudeNáutico
1.31xG against1.45
JuventudeNáutico

Shooting quality

Juventude: BalancedNáutico: Dominant
JuventudeNáutico
Accuracy (shots on target)33%27%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Juventude is 120% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / match - Juventude · 1 pts / match - Náutico

Juventude
WWWDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
50% W29% D21% L
Season (W-D-L)
17-10-7
1.79 pts / match · goal difference +18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
10-5-2
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
WDLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.63Opponent xG: 1.34BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Náutico
WDLLD
Season result split
32% W29% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-10-13
1.26 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-7-7
Last 5 away
0-3-2
DLLDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.35Opponent xG: 1.78BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Juventude is 5% better for: goals scored per match.

1.21 goals / match - Juventude · 1.15 goals / match - Náutico

Juventude is 82% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.68 goals / match - Juventude · 1.24 goals / match - Náutico

Juventude scoring profile: very strong

Juventude scores in 74% of matches (25 of 34 matches), while Náutico keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 matches).

Náutico scoring profile: more difficult

Náutico scores in 62% of matches (21 of 34 matches), while Juventude keeps a clean sheet in 65% (22 of 34 matches).

41Goals scored (season)39
JuventudeNáutico
23Goals conceded (season)42
JuventudeNáutico
1.88Average goals in match2.38
JuventudeNáutico
10Goals scored (last 5)4
JuventudeNáutico
4Goals conceded (last 5)6
JuventudeNáutico

How often they score at least...

74%1 goal62%
JuventudeNáutico
38%2 goals26%
JuventudeNáutico
9%3 goals15%
JuventudeNáutico
0%4 goals6%
JuventudeNáutico

How often they concede at least...

35%1 goal74%
JuventudeNáutico
26%2 goals35%
JuventudeNáutico
3%3 goals12%
JuventudeNáutico
3%4 goals3%
JuventudeNáutico

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

47%
League average

Goal patterns

9%BTTS at half-time12%
JuventudeNáutico
3%BTTS in both halves6%
JuventudeNáutico
21%Scored in both halves21%
JuventudeNáutico

BTTS and goal count

24%Min. 3 goals and BTTS29%
JuventudeNáutico
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
JuventudeNáutico
40%BTTS - last 540%
JuventudeNáutico

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

56%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
JuventudeNáutico
24%Min. 2 goals before half-time24%
JuventudeNáutico
3%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
JuventudeNáutico

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
JuventudeNáutico
24%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
JuventudeNáutico
6%Min. 3 goals after half-time15%
JuventudeNáutico

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Juventude is 52% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.47 pts / match - Juventude · 0.97 pts / match - Náutico

Juventude - half-time state
32% leading50% draw18% trailing
Náutico - half-time state
21% leading35% draw44% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.47Points per match (1st half)0.97
JuventudeNáutico
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.35
JuventudeNáutico
0.32Goals conceded (1st half)0.71
JuventudeNáutico
0.82Average goals (1st half)1.06
JuventudeNáutico
74%Clean sheet before half-time47%
JuventudeNáutico
62%No goal before half-time71%
JuventudeNáutico

After half-time (2nd half)

1.74Points per match (2nd half)1.56
JuventudeNáutico
0.71Goals scored (2nd half)0.79
JuventudeNáutico
0.35Goals conceded (2nd half)0.53
JuventudeNáutico
1.06Average goals (2nd half)1.32
JuventudeNáutico
74%Clean sheet after half-time62%
JuventudeNáutico
44%No goal after half-time47%
JuventudeNáutico

Juventude - second-half results

44% W41% D15% L
50
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
59
Second-half points
+12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.47
PPG before half-time
Lead holding156%

Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Náutico - second-half results

38% W41% D21% L
33
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
-12
Goal difference (1st half)
53
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.97
PPG before half-time
Lead holding152%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Juventude - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.802.20
Goals scored / match0.81.2
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match1.01.8
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal40%0%
Goal difference+3+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Náutico - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.40
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match1.00.2
Average goals in match1.40.6
1 goal80%20%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-3+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Juventude
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
4
4
16-30
11
7
31-45
7
3
46-60
9
3
61-75
8
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Náutico
ScoredConceded
3
8
0-15
2
6
16-30
7
10
31-45
4
4
46-60
9
4
61-75
14
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.14
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
35%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
46%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Juventude

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.45
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-16.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.63
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
92%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
68%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.41
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Náutico

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.39
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.60
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
115%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
94%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.26
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
36% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
36%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

JuventudeLigaNáutico
Average goals in match▼ 1.882.33• 2.38
Both teams scored▼ 26%47%▼ 44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 32%43%▼ 38%
Clean sheets▲ 65%31%▼ 26%
Goal before half-time▼ 56%67%▲ 71%
Goal after half-time▼ 71%74%▼ 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.33
Average goals per match
47%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.32
Home goals / match
1.00
Away goals / match
+32%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+15%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Juventude 0 - 1 - 0 Náutico. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do Juventude and Náutico play?

Juventude face Náutico on 26 October 2026 in Serie B at Estádio Alfredo Jaconi. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Juventude vs Náutico?

Juventude score 1.21 goals per game on average and Náutico 1.15. The Serie B average is 2.33 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 26% of Juventude's matches and 44% of Náutico's.

What form are Juventude and Náutico in?

Over the last 5 games Juventude have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Náutico 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Juventude vs Náutico?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Juventude vs Náutico: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.