Juventus II vs Athletic Carpi: match statistics
The match shapes up to be an extremely tight contest, underscored by an identical goal difference (-1) for both sides and highly similar offensive and defensive metrics. Juventus II holds the home advantage and slightly superior form over the last 5 matches (1.4 points per game compared to 1.0 for the visitors); however, their home record is mixed, showing a 44% win rate and 44% loss rate. Athletic Carpi displays better efficiency on the road with a 56% away win rate, effectively counterbalancing the hosts' edge. Both teams register comparable average xG figures (Juventus 1.27 vs Carpi 1.38) and similar possession stats, pointing towards tactical equilibrium. Given Juventus's recent run of draws (4 in the last 5 games) and the evenly matched quality of the squads, a draw seems the most likely scenario, though the hosts' slight form advantage gives them a marginally better chance of securing a win.
Juventus II vs Athletic Carpi: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Juventus II played Athletic Carpi in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match was played on 3 January 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Juventus II: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match. Athletic Carpi: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Juventus II scores 1.06 and concedes 1.28 goals per match. Athletic Carpi scores 1.17 and concedes 1.22. League average: 2.23 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Juventus II 56%, Athletic Carpi 50%. Over 2.5: Juventus II 33%, Athletic Carpi 33%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 36%.
xG, shots and style
Athletic Carpi has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.28. Juventus II: 9.1 shots per match, Athletic Carpi: 12.5.
Match halves
Juventus II: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.78. Athletic Carpi: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.61.
Goals by minute
Juventus II: 76-90+ (8 goals). Athletic Carpi: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group B: 2.23 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 36%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match shapes up to be an extremely tight contest, underscored by an identical goal difference (-1) for both sides and highly similar offensive and defensive metrics. Juventus II holds the home advantage and slightly superior form over the last 5 matches (1.4 points per game compared to 1.0 for the visitors); however, their home record is mixed, showing a 44% win rate and 44% loss rate. Athletic Carpi displays better efficiency on the road with a 56% away win rate, effectively counterbalancing the hosts' edge. Both teams register comparable average xG figures (Juventus 1.27 vs Carpi 1.38) and similar possession stats, pointing towards tactical equilibrium. Given Juventus's recent run of draws (4 in the last 5 games) and the evenly matched quality of the squads, a draw seems the most likely scenario, though the hosts' slight form advantage gives them a marginally better chance of securing a win.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Juventus II | Athletic Carpi | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Juventus II is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Juventus II · 1 pts / match - Athletic Carpi
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Athletic Carpi is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.06 goals / match - Juventus II · 1.17 goals / match - Athletic Carpi
Athletic Carpi is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.28 goals / match - Juventus II · 1.22 goals / match - Athletic Carpi
Juventus II scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while Athletic Carpi keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 matches).
Athletic Carpi scores in 83% of matches (15 of 18 matches), while Juventus II keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Juventus II
Over / Under - Athletic Carpi
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Athletic Carpi is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.89 pts / match - Juventus II · 1.28 pts / match - Athletic Carpi
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Juventus II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Athletic Carpi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Juventus II
Athletic Carpi
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Juventus II | Liga | Athletic Carpi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.33 | 2.23 | ▲ 2.39 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 47% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 36% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 32% | • 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 44% | 58% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 73% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Juventus II 0 - 1 - 0 Athletic Carpi. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Juventus II vs Athletic Carpi?
The Serie C Group B match finished Juventus II 2:0 Athletic Carpi. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Juventus II vs Athletic Carpi?
Juventus II score 1.06 goals per game on average and Athletic Carpi 1.17. The Serie C Group B average is 2.23 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 36% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Juventus II's matches and 50% of Athletic Carpi's.
What form are Juventus II and Athletic Carpi in?
Over the last 5 games Juventus II have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and Athletic Carpi 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Juventus II vs Athletic Carpi?
The statistical background for Juventus II vs Athletic Carpi — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.