Jwaya vs Al Ahed: match statistics
Al Ahed presents decidedly better away form with an impressive rate of 86% wins on the road and a streak of 7 matches without defeat (wwwwlww). The hosts, Jwaya, are in a clear crisis, winning only 1 of their last 5 matches (lwldd) and dropping points in home games. Al Ahed dominates offensive statistics, scoring an average of 2.29 goals away with 21% efficiency, while Jwaya has scored just 2 goals in the last 5 matches. A key factor is also possession – the visitors maintain an average of 60% possession on away trips compared to 45% for the hosts at home. The difference in expected goals (xG For: 1.46 vs 1.27) and Al Ahed's solid defense (0.57 goals conceded on average away) additionally argue for a victory for the guests. Taking all parameters into account, Al Ahed has a clear advantage and should secure three points in this clash.
Jwaya vs Al Ahed: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Jwaya played Al Ahed in Lebanese Premier League (Lebanon). The match was played on 6 February 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Jwaya: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Al Ahed: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Jwaya scores 1.50 and concedes 0.42 goals per match. Al Ahed scores 1.77 and concedes 1.08. League average: 2.21 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Jwaya 8%, Al Ahed 31%. Over 2.5: Jwaya 25%, Al Ahed 54%. League level: BTTS 30%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
Al Ahed has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.27. Jwaya: 5.1 shots per match, Al Ahed: 10.5.
Match halves
Jwaya: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.83. Al Ahed: half-time lead 46%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Jwaya: 76-90+ (6 goals). Al Ahed: 46-60 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Lebanese Premier League: 2.21 goals per match, BTTS 30%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Ahed presents decidedly better away form with an impressive rate of 86% wins on the road and a streak of 7 matches without defeat (wwwwlww). The hosts, Jwaya, are in a clear crisis, winning only 1 of their last 5 matches (lwldd) and dropping points in home games. Al Ahed dominates offensive statistics, scoring an average of 2.29 goals away with 21% efficiency, while Jwaya has scored just 2 goals in the last 5 matches. A key factor is also possession – the visitors maintain an average of 60% possession on away trips compared to 45% for the hosts at home. The difference in expected goals (xG For: 1.46 vs 1.27) and Al Ahed's solid defense (0.57 goals conceded on average away) additionally argue for a victory for the guests. Taking all parameters into account, Al Ahed has a clear advantage and should secure three points in this clash.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Jwaya | Al Ahed | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 25% | 47% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.25 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 1.20 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Al Ahed is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Jwaya · 1.8 pts / match - Al Ahed
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Ahed is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Jwaya · 1.77 goals / match - Al Ahed
Jwaya is 157% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.42 goals / match - Jwaya · 1.08 goals / match - Al Ahed
Jwaya scores in 58% of matches (7 of 12 matches), while Al Ahed keeps a clean sheet in 54% (7 of 13 matches).
Al Ahed scores in 85% of matches (11 of 13 matches), while Jwaya keeps a clean sheet in 67% (8 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Jwaya
Over / Under - Al Ahed
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Ahed is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.67 pts / match - Jwaya · 1.77 pts / match - Al Ahed
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Jwaya - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Al Ahed - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 46% of matches and wins 69%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Jwaya
Al Ahed
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Lebanese Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Jwaya | Liga | Al Ahed | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.92 | 2.21 | ▲ 2.85 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 8% | 30% | • 31% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 39% | ▲ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 67% | 42% | ▲ 54% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 33% | 56% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 58% | 74% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Jwaya 0 - 0 - 1 Al Ahed. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Jwaya vs Al Ahed?
The Lebanese Premier League match finished Jwaya 0:1 Al Ahed. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Jwaya vs Al Ahed?
Jwaya score 1.50 goals per game on average and Al Ahed 1.77. The Lebanese Premier League average is 2.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 8% of Jwaya's matches and 31% of Al Ahed's.
What form are Jwaya and Al Ahed in?
Over the last 5 games Jwaya have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Al Ahed 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Jwaya vs Al Ahed?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Jwaya vs Al Ahed: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.


