KA vs Fram: match statistics
KA vs Fram: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
KA played Fram in Úrvalsdeild (Iceland). The match was played on 15 June 2026. Venue: Akureyrarvöllur. Final score: 3:4.
Current form
KA: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Fram: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
KA scores 1.33 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. Fram scores 2.78 and concedes 1.78. League average: 4.02 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: KA 56%, Fram 78%. Over 2.5: KA 44%, Fram 78%. League level: BTTS 72%, Over 2.5 74%.
xG, shots and style
Fram has higher xG: 2.12 vs 1.68. KA: 15.0 shots per match, Fram: 17.8.
Match halves
KA: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 1.00. Fram: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.67.
Goals by minute
KA: 76-90+ (5 goals). Fram: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Úrvalsdeild: 4.02 goals per match, BTTS 72%, Over 2.5 74%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Fram is the favorite for this fixture: the visitors have scored 25 goals this season versus KA’s 12 and have netted 14 goals in the last 5 matches compared to KA’s 8 in the same period. Average xG indicates Fram’s advantage — 2.04 per match (away) versus KA’s 1.53 at home, and shot conversion rates are 10% for Fram and 7% for KA, with an average of 5.5 shots on target per match against 4. Defensively the gap is narrower — KA concedes 1.6 goals at home, Fram concedes 1.5 away, but xG against is 1.54 for KA versus 1.26 for Fram, suggesting Fram allows fewer high-quality chances. Fram also holds a significantly better recent points form: 2.6 points per match in the last 5 fixtures versus 1.2 for KA, while the hosts win only 20% of home games and lose 80%; therefore I predict an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
KA has a seasonal goals average of 3.6 and concedes 2.0 per match, while Fram scores 1.75 and concedes 1.5, indicating both teams have goal-scoring potential. Seasonal BTTS rate is 100% for KA and 50% for Fram, with a league BTTS level of 71%, so the overall league context and especially KA’s home matches strongly favor a Goal/Goal outcome. In the last 5 matches KA had BTTS in 60% of games and Fram in 80%, with last-5 averages: KA 1.6 vs Fram 2.8 goals scored and average goals conceded 1.8 vs 2.0, showing both sides have regularly traded goals in recent form. Additionally xG is similar (KA 2.19 vs Fram 2.04), KA registers more shots on target (7.4 vs 5.5) and has a higher conversion rate (20% vs 10%), while KA has no clean sheets this season (0%), which increases the likelihood of goals from both sides. Considering these figures and the league goals average of 4.02, I assess BTTS - Yes probability at 78% vs 22% and recommend the bet: yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG: KA has xG_for 2.19 and xG_against vs Fram of 1.26, yielding expected home goals of about (2.19+1.26)/2 ≈ 1.73; Fram has xG_for 2.04 and xG_against vs KA 1.45, giving expected away goals ≈ 1.75, total ≈ 3.48. This aligns with seasonal averages: KA scores at home on average 3.6 goals, Fram away 1.75 (combined 5.35), and the league averages 4.02 goals per match, all favoring an elevated goal count. Additionally KA has 100% of home matches over 2.5 goals, and in the last 5 matches the over 2.5 rate is 60% for KA and 80% for Fram; KA’s BTTS is 100%, which strengthens the over signal. Consequently the strongest and most justified pick is Over on the 2.5 line (I assess over2.5 ≈78% vs under2.5 22%), while Over1.5 is nearly certain (96%), and Over3.5 remains moderate (60%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The primary scenario is 1/1: KA led at the break in 3 of 5 home matches (60%) and scores an average of 1.6 goals by half-time versus 0.5 for Fram, which strongly favors the home side leading after 45 minutes. KA wins at home in 80% of matches and has a seasonal goals-per-game average of 3.6 and xG of 2.19 compared to 2.04 for Fram; with a shot conversion rate of 20% (vs 10% for Fram) the hosts convert chances into goals more effectively. If KA leads at half-time the data suggest they hold the lead — the hosts average 2.2 points when leading at the break versus 0.75 for Fram and have a +5 goal difference at half-time, so I assumed that an HT lead translates into a win in roughly 75% of cases (hence 1/1 = 45% in the distribution). A turnaround risk exists because Fram are in form (guests' last 5: W W D W W, 80% wins), so with a draw at half-time I assigned a 20% chance that KA wins after the break, 14% for a Full-Time draw and 6% for a Fram victory from a draw. In summary: a strong HT signal toward KA (60% leads) and higher conversion efficiency make 1/1 the most reasonable pick with the highest weight of 45%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| KA | Fram | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fram is 44% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - KA · 2.6 pts / match - Fram
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fram is 109% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - KA · 2.78 goals / match - Fram
KA is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.67 goals / match - KA · 1.78 goals / match - Fram
KA scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while Fram keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 matches).
Fram scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while KA keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - KA
Over / Under - Fram
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fram is 133% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.67 pts / match - KA · 1.56 pts / match - Fram
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
KA - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Fram - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
KA
Fram
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Úrvalsdeild).
Teams vs league
| KA | Liga | Fram | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.00 | 4.02 | ▲ 4.56 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 56% | 72% | ▲ 78% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 74% | ▲ 78% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 22% | 15% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 78% | 83% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | • 89% | 90% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): KA 2 - 0 - 0 Fram. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of KA vs Fram?
The Úrvalsdeild match finished KA 3:4 Fram. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between KA and Fram?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches KA won 2, Fram won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before KA vs Fram?
KA score 1.33 goals per game on average and Fram 2.78. The Úrvalsdeild average is 4.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 74% of games. Both teams score in 56% of KA's matches and 78% of Fram's.
What form are KA and Fram in?
Over the last 5 games KA have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Fram 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for KA vs Fram?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for KA vs Fram: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.