KA vs ÍBV: match statistics
KA vs ÍBV: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
KA played ÍBV in Úrvalsdeild (Iceland). The match was played on 10 May 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
KA: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. ÍBV: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
KA scores 1.00 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. ÍBV scores 1.20 and concedes 3.20. League average: 4.06 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: KA 60%, ÍBV 100%. Over 2.5: KA 40%, ÍBV 80%. League level: BTTS 74%, Over 2.5 77%.
xG, shots and style
KA has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.43. KA: 13.8 shots per match, ÍBV: 12.2.
Match halves
KA: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.60. ÍBV: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
KA: 31-45+ (2 goals). ÍBV: 61-75 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Úrvalsdeild: 4.06 goals per match, BTTS 74%, Over 2.5 77%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-0. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win (1): KA shows a clear defensive edge and superior recent metrics — conceding an average of 2.33 goals per home game versus ÍBV’s 3.5 conceded on the road. Form difference is evident over the last 5 matches: KA conceded 8 and scored 5, while ÍBV conceded 16 and scored 6; KA averages 0.8 points per game in the last 5 fixtures compared to 0.2 for ÍBV. Quality-of-chances analysis shows nearly equal xG (1.43 for KA vs 1.42 for ÍBV), but KA attempts more shots (13.67 vs 12) and more shots on target (4 vs 3), with conversion rates of 7% vs 8%. Although ÍBV has greater possession (55% vs 45%), that advantage does not translate into better defensive outcomes or goal difference (home/away goal difference: KA -4 vs ÍBV -5); neither team has kept a clean sheet yet (0). Considering KA’s lower susceptibility to conceding and stronger recent indicators, the home side appears the favorite in this matchup.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The Both Teams To Score scenario is highly likely — both teams have a seasonal BTTS rate of 100% and 0% clean sheets this season. Average xG are virtually identical: 1.43 for KA versus 1.42 for ÍBV, and the league average goals is 4.06, indicating open matches with many opportunities. Defensively both sides underperform: KA concedes 3.0 goals per match on average, ÍBV 3.5, with ÍBV conceding 3.2 on average over the last 5 matches. KA averages about 4.67 shots on target per game versus ÍBV’s 3.0 and has a higher conversion rate (11% vs 8%), so both sides have a real scoring capability; additionally the league BTTS is 74% and over 2.5 frequently occurs. Considering these figures (both season BTTS 100%, 0% CS, xG ~1.43/1.42, average concessions 3.0/3.5), I tip BTTS - Yes with an estimated probability of ~90%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG and defensive analysis yield approximately 1.64 expected goals for KA (xG for KA attack 1.43 vs xG conceded by opponent 1.85) and 1.57 for ÍBV (xG for ÍBV attack 1.42 vs xG conceded to KA 1.71), totaling ~3.21 goals. Seasonally both teams have 100% of matches with over 1.5 goals and 100% BTTS, while the league averages 4.06 goals per game — a strong signal for Over. A Poisson model with lambda=3.21 indicates ~62% probability of at least 3 goals (Over 2.5) and ~40% for at least 4 goals (Over 3.5), consistent with historical Over 2.5 rates: 67% for KA and 100% for ÍBV. Additionally, KA averages 4.67 SOT with an 11% conversion rate, ÍBV averages 3.0 SOT with an 8% conversion, and ÍBV has conceded 16 goals versus 8 conceded by KA, pointing to an open match with many chances. The strongest and safest signal is Over 1.5 (seasonally 100% for both teams and expected 3.21 goals), hence the recommendation to play over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The home team are moderate favorites to win: season average goals for KA is 1.33 versus 1.00 for ÍBV, and the visitors have a 0% win rate and 100% losses in current statistics, which increases the chances of a home victory. The HT advantage for KA stems from the fact that the home side led at the break in 33% of matches, while ÍBV have never led at the break (0%); KA average 0.67 goals in the first half compared to 0.50 for the visitors, and first-half points average 1.33 vs 0.5. Both teams’ xG are practically equal (1.43 vs 1.42), but both have high xG against (1.71 vs 1.85) and over the season both sides have scored and conceded in 100% of matches, so I expect goals from both teams. In the last 5 matches KA have a 20% win rate versus 0% for ÍBV, and although ÍBV scored more first-half goals in their last 5 games (11 vs 6), this has not translated into wins. The sum of these signals — better HT stats for KA (33% vs 0%), higher season goals average (1.33 vs 1.00) and weaker form of the visitors — indicates the most likely scenario is KA leading at half-time and KA winning at full-time (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| KA | ÍBV | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
KA is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - KA · 0.2 pts / match - ÍBV
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
ÍBV is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - KA · 1.2 goals / match - ÍBV
KA is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.6 goals / match - KA · 3.2 goals / match - ÍBV
KA scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while ÍBV keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).
ÍBV scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while KA keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - KA
Over / Under - ÍBV
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
ÍBV is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.6 pts / match - KA · 1 pts / match - ÍBV
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
KA - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
ÍBV - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
KA
ÍBV
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Úrvalsdeild).
Teams vs league
| KA | Liga | ÍBV | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.60 | 4.06 | ▲ 4.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 60% | 74% | ▲ 100% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 77% | ▲ 80% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 20% | 14% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 83% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 89% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): KA 2 - 1 - 0 ÍBV. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of KA vs ÍBV?
The Úrvalsdeild match finished KA 2:0 ÍBV. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between KA and ÍBV?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches KA won 2, ÍBV won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before KA vs ÍBV?
KA score 1.00 goals per game on average and ÍBV 1.20. The Úrvalsdeild average is 4.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 77% of games. Both teams score in 60% of KA's matches and 100% of ÍBV's.
What form are KA and ÍBV in?
Over the last 5 games KA have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and ÍBV 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for KA vs ÍBV?
The statistical background for KA vs ÍBV — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.