KAA Gent II vs RFC Liege: match statistics
KAA Gent II vs RFC Liege: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
KAA Gent II played RFC Liege in First Division B (Belgium). The match was played on 12 April 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
KAA Gent II: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. RFC Liege: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
KAA Gent II scores 1.37 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. RFC Liege scores 1.33 and concedes 1.27. League average: 2.81 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: KAA Gent II 53%, RFC Liege 40%. Over 2.5: KAA Gent II 60%, RFC Liege 43%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
KAA Gent II has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.31. KAA Gent II: 12.6 shots per match, RFC Liege: 11.2.
Match halves
KAA Gent II: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.73. RFC Liege: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.43.
Goals by minute
KAA Gent II: 61-75 (11 goals). RFC Liege: 31-45+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division B: 2.81 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win (1), despite RFC Liège being higher in the table (7 vs 9 for KAA Gent II). KAA Gent II creates more chances at home: on average 13.13 shots and 5.0 on target per match, with home xG 1.62 and an average of 1.33 goals scored, while RFC Liège away averages 8.8 shots, 2.6 on target, xG 1.04 and 0.93 goals. The hosts generally control possession (57% vs 43% for the visitors), and the visitors often fail to score on the road — 40% of away matches without a goal versus 27% of home matches without conceding. Gent II’s issue is recent defending: 14 goals conceded in the last 5 matches (2.8 per match), while RFC Liège conceded 10 (2.0 per match), which limits the home advantage. Considering the clear superiority in quality of chances (xG 1.62 vs 1.04 and 5.0 shots on target vs 2.6), but also the defensive risk, I estimate probabilities at 50% for the home win, 28% for a draw and 22% for the away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistical analysis favors BTTS - Yes: in the last 5 matches both teams registered BTTS in 60% of games each. Gent II averages 1.73 goals scored this season with xG 1.58, while RFC Liège concedes 1.40 goals seasonally and has an xG against of 1.91, indicating the hosts will create scoring opportunities. RFC Liège scores 0.93 goals per season and has 0.8 goals in the last 5 matches, but Gent II concedes 2.8 goals per match across those 5 games, so Liège also has a realistic chance to score. Additionally Gent II averages 4.8 shots on target versus 2.6 for Liège and has a conversion rate of 13% vs 11%, and the league BTTS level is 54%, therefore I estimate BTTS at 66% vs 34% and I pick Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have a high percentage of matches over 1.5 goals: KAA Gent II has 80% of matches over 1.5, and RFC Liège also 80%, meaning historically 80% of their games have had at least 2 goals. An xG-based model (home xG_for = 1.58 vs away xG_against = 1.91) projects 1.75 goals for the home side, while (away xG_for = 1.04 vs home xG_against = 1.52) projects 1.28 for the visitors, totaling 3.03 goals. With a mean of 3.03, a Poisson distribution indicates probability of over 1.5 at ~81%, over 2.5 at ~58% and over 3.5 at ~36%, clearly favoring over 1.5. Additionally, in the last 5 matches the home team had 80% of games over 2.5 and the visitors 60%, which strengthens the signal for a higher goal count. For these reasons I recommend betting on Over 1.5 as the strongest and most justified choice.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I choose 1/1 – home side leading at the break and winning ultimately. KAA Gent II led at the break in 9 of 15 matches (60%) and average 1.13 goals by half-time versus RFC Liege’s 0.67, which favors the home side having the lead after 45 minutes. Over the season the home team scores 1.73 goals per game versus the visitors’ 0.93, with an xG of 1.58 compared to 1.04 for the opponents; they also average 4.8 shots on target vs 2.6 for the visitors, confirming superiority in chance creation. In the second half the home side average 0.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded (in the last five matches 1.0 scored vs 0.4 for the visitors), so they are more likely to maintain the lead than surrender it, and the season home win rate of 60% versus the guests’ 33% away win rate reinforces the 1/1 scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| KAA Gent II | RFC Liege | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
RFC Liege is 26% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.6 goals / match - KAA Gent II · 1.27 goals / match - RFC Liege
KAA Gent II scores in 67% of matches (20 of 30 matches), while RFC Liege keeps a clean sheet in 30% (9 of 30 matches).
RFC Liege scores in 67% of matches (20 of 30 matches), while KAA Gent II keeps a clean sheet in 20% (6 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - KAA Gent II
Over / Under - RFC Liege
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
RFC Liege is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - KAA Gent II · 1.7 pts / match - RFC Liege
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
KAA Gent II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
RFC Liege - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 47%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
KAA Gent II
RFC Liege
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division B).
Teams vs league
| KAA Gent II | Liga | RFC Liege | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.97 | 2.81 | ▼ 2.60 |
| Both teams scored | • 53% | 54% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 52% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 26% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 71% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 78% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: KAA Gent II 1 - 0 - 0 RFC Liege. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of KAA Gent II vs RFC Liege?
The First Division B match finished KAA Gent II 0:2 RFC Liege. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before KAA Gent II vs RFC Liege?
KAA Gent II score 1.37 goals per game on average and RFC Liege 1.33. The First Division B average is 2.81 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 53% of KAA Gent II's matches and 40% of RFC Liege's.
What form are KAA Gent II and RFC Liege in?
Over the last 5 games KAA Gent II have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and RFC Liege 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for KAA Gent II vs RFC Liege?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.