KAA Gent vs KV Mechelen: match statistics
The match promises to be very evenly contested. KAA Gent have home advantage and a better goal difference at home (+6), however, their recent form is concerning - only 1 win in the last 5 matches and just 0.8 points per game. KV Mechelen are in much better form with 3 wins in their last 5 matches and 2 points per game, giving them a psychological edge. Both teams have an identical win percentage at home (46%) and the same clean sheet rate (31%). xG statistics show a slight advantage for the hosts (1.63 vs 1.24), but the visitors' higher shooting accuracy (14% vs 11%) and their solid defense in away matches (averaging 1.08 goals conceded) suggest they are capable of competing for points. Taking all factors into account, a draw seems the most likely outcome of this evenly matched encounter.
KAA Gent vs KV Mechelen: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
KAA Gent played KV Mechelen in Pro League (Belgium). The match was played on 8 March 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
KAA Gent: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. KV Mechelen: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
KAA Gent scores 1.52 and concedes 1.52 goals per match. KV Mechelen scores 1.33 and concedes 1.11. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: KAA Gent 59%, KV Mechelen 63%. Over 2.5: KAA Gent 59%, KV Mechelen 37%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
KAA Gent has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.25. KAA Gent: 13.4 shots per match, KV Mechelen: 10.2.
Match halves
KAA Gent: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.93. KV Mechelen: half-time lead 52%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
KAA Gent: 76-90+ (14 goals). KV Mechelen: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Pro League: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be very evenly contested. KAA Gent have home advantage and a better goal difference at home (+6), however, their recent form is concerning - only 1 win in the last 5 matches and just 0.8 points per game. KV Mechelen are in much better form with 3 wins in their last 5 matches and 2 points per game, giving them a psychological edge. Both teams have an identical win percentage at home (46%) and the same clean sheet rate (31%). xG statistics show a slight advantage for the hosts (1.63 vs 1.24), but the visitors' higher shooting accuracy (14% vs 11%) and their solid defense in away matches (averaging 1.08 goals conceded) suggest they are capable of competing for points. Taking all factors into account, a draw seems the most likely outcome of this evenly matched encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| KAA Gent | KV Mechelen | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
KV Mechelen is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - KAA Gent · 2 pts / match - KV Mechelen
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
KAA Gent is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.52 goals / match - KAA Gent · 1.33 goals / match - KV Mechelen
KV Mechelen is 37% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.52 goals / match - KAA Gent · 1.11 goals / match - KV Mechelen
KAA Gent scores in 78% of matches (21 of 27 matches), while KV Mechelen keeps a clean sheet in 26% (7 of 27 matches).
KV Mechelen scores in 85% of matches (23 of 27 matches), while KAA Gent keeps a clean sheet in 22% (6 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - KAA Gent
Over / Under - KV Mechelen
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
KV Mechelen is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / match - KAA Gent · 1.85 pts / match - KV Mechelen
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
KAA Gent - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
KV Mechelen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 52% of matches and wins 41%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
KAA Gent
KV Mechelen
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Pro League).
Teams vs league
| KAA Gent | Liga | KV Mechelen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.04 | 2.59 | ▼ 2.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 54% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 47% | ▼ 37% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 27% | • 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 72% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 73% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: KAA Gent 0 - 1 - 0 KV Mechelen. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of KAA Gent vs KV Mechelen?
The Pro League match finished KAA Gent 3:1 KV Mechelen. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before KAA Gent vs KV Mechelen?
KAA Gent score 1.52 goals per game on average and KV Mechelen 1.33. The Pro League average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 59% of KAA Gent's matches and 63% of KV Mechelen's.
What form are KAA Gent and KV Mechelen in?
Over the last 5 games KAA Gent have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and KV Mechelen 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for KAA Gent vs KV Mechelen?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for KAA Gent vs KV Mechelen: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.