KAA Gent vs RSC Anderlecht: match statistics
The match promises to be very evenly matched, suggesting a draw as the most likely outcome. KAA Gent displays solid home form with a 50% win rate and a positive goal difference (+7) at their own stadium, scoring an average of 1.7 goals with 55% ball possession. RSC Anderlecht holds a higher position in the table (4th place), but their away form is significantly weaker – only 33% wins, a negative goal difference (-2), and as many as 33% of matches without a scored goal away from home. The recent form of both teams is unstable (Gent: 0.8 PPG, Anderlecht: 1.4 PPG in the last 5 matches), which further supports a draw outcome. The xG statistics are similar for both teams, confirming the even quality of play and indicating a difficult-to-predict result.
KAA Gent vs RSC Anderlecht: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
KAA Gent played RSC Anderlecht in Pro League (Belgium). The match was played on 18 January 2026. Final score: 4:2.
Current form
KAA Gent: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. RSC Anderlecht: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
KAA Gent scores 1.40 and concedes 1.45 goals per match. RSC Anderlecht scores 1.40 and concedes 1.10. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: KAA Gent 60%, RSC Anderlecht 45%. Over 2.5: KAA Gent 55%, RSC Anderlecht 40%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
RSC Anderlecht has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.48. KAA Gent: 13.3 shots per match, RSC Anderlecht: 15.1.
Match halves
KAA Gent: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.80. RSC Anderlecht: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.90.
Goals by minute
KAA Gent: 76-90+ (9 goals). RSC Anderlecht: 61-75 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Pro League: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be very evenly matched, suggesting a draw as the most likely outcome. KAA Gent displays solid home form with a 50% win rate and a positive goal difference (+7) at their own stadium, scoring an average of 1.7 goals with 55% ball possession. RSC Anderlecht holds a higher position in the table (4th place), but their away form is significantly weaker – only 33% wins, a negative goal difference (-2), and as many as 33% of matches without a scored goal away from home. The recent form of both teams is unstable (Gent: 0.8 PPG, Anderlecht: 1.4 PPG in the last 5 matches), which further supports a draw outcome. The xG statistics are similar for both teams, confirming the even quality of play and indicating a difficult-to-predict result.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| KAA Gent | RSC Anderlecht | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
RSC Anderlecht is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - KAA Gent · 1.4 pts / match - RSC Anderlecht
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
RSC Anderlecht is 32% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.45 goals / match - KAA Gent · 1.1 goals / match - RSC Anderlecht
KAA Gent scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while RSC Anderlecht keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 matches).
RSC Anderlecht scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while KAA Gent keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - KAA Gent
Over / Under - RSC Anderlecht
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
RSC Anderlecht is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / match - KAA Gent · 1.35 pts / match - RSC Anderlecht
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
KAA Gent - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
RSC Anderlecht - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
KAA Gent
RSC Anderlecht
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Pro League).
Teams vs league
| KAA Gent | Liga | RSC Anderlecht | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.85 | 2.53 | • 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 55% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 55% | 45% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 26% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 71% | ▼ 55% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 73% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: KAA Gent 0 - 0 - 1 RSC Anderlecht. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of KAA Gent vs RSC Anderlecht?
The Pro League match finished KAA Gent 4:2 RSC Anderlecht. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before KAA Gent vs RSC Anderlecht?
KAA Gent score 1.40 goals per game on average and RSC Anderlecht 1.40. The Pro League average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 60% of KAA Gent's matches and 45% of RSC Anderlecht's.
What form are KAA Gent and RSC Anderlecht in?
Over the last 5 games KAA Gent have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and RSC Anderlecht 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for KAA Gent vs RSC Anderlecht?
The statistical background for KAA Gent vs RSC Anderlecht — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.