Kazakhstan - Kazakhstan Premier LeagueAstana ArenaData current as of 23 July 2026

Kairat vs Ordabasy: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Kairat vs Ordabasy: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Kairat play Ordabasy in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The match date is 26 July 2026 at 16:00. Venue: Astana Arena.

Current form

Kairat: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Ordabasy: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Kairat scores 1.95 and concedes 0.68 goals per match. Ordabasy scores 1.83 and concedes 0.72. League average: 2.31 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Kairat 53%, Ordabasy 56%. Over 2.5: Kairat 53%, Ordabasy 50%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 42%.

xG, shots and style

Ordabasy has higher xG: 1.88 vs 1.82. Kairat: 16.3 shots per match, Ordabasy: 16.7.

Match halves

Kairat: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.95. Ordabasy: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 1.11.

Goals by minute

Kairat: 76-90+ (10 goals). Ordabasy: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.31 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 42%.

Head-to-head

3 H2H matches: 2-0-1. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 33%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.56)
(3.01)
(2.91)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.95Goals scored / match1.83
KairatOrdabasy
0.68Goals conceded / match0.72
KairatOrdabasy
58%Average possession55%
KairatOrdabasy
6.32Shots on target / match6.22
KairatOrdabasy

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

16.32Shots per match16.67
KairatOrdabasy
6.32Shots on target6.22
KairatOrdabasy
11.9%Shot conversion11%
KairatOrdabasy
58%Possession55%
KairatOrdabasy
1.82xG for1.88
KairatOrdabasy
1.03xG against1.01
KairatOrdabasy

Shooting quality

Kairat: DominantOrdabasy: Dominant
KairatOrdabasy
Accuracy (shots on target)39%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Kairat is 25% better for: last-5 form.

3 pts / match - Kairat · 2.4 pts / match - Ordabasy

Kairat
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
63% W32% R5% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-6-1
2.21 pts / match · goal difference +24
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-3-0
Last 5 at home
2-3-0
DDDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 3.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 2.19Opponent xG: 1.08BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 100%
Ordabasy
WWWLW
Season result split
72% W22% R6% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-4-1
2.39 pts / match · goal difference +20
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-2-1
Last 5 away
3-1-1
DWWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 2.01Opponent xG: 1.04BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Kairat is 7% better for: goals scored per match.

1.95 goals / match - Kairat · 1.83 goals / match - Ordabasy

Kairat is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.68 goals / match - Kairat · 0.72 goals / match - Ordabasy

Kairat scoring profile: very strong

Kairat scores in 89% of matches (17 of 19 matches), while Ordabasy keeps a clean sheet in 44% (8 of 18 matches).

Ordabasy scoring profile: very strong

Ordabasy scores in 94% of matches (17 of 18 matches), while Kairat keeps a clean sheet in 47% (9 of 19 matches).

37Goals scored (season)33
KairatOrdabasy
13Goals conceded (season)13
KairatOrdabasy
2.63Average goals in match2.56
KairatOrdabasy
18Goals scored (last 5)9
KairatOrdabasy
4Goals conceded (last 5)4
KairatOrdabasy

How often they score at least...

89%1 goal94%
KairatOrdabasy
53%2 goals72%
KairatOrdabasy
32%3 goals17%
KairatOrdabasy
16%4 goals0%
KairatOrdabasy

How often they concede at least...

53%1 goal56%
KairatOrdabasy
16%2 goals11%
KairatOrdabasy
0%3 goals6%
KairatOrdabasy
0%4 goals0%
KairatOrdabasy

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

21%BTTS at half-time22%
KairatOrdabasy
0%BTTS in both halves11%
KairatOrdabasy
21%Scored in both halves39%
KairatOrdabasy

BTTS and goal count

37%Min. 3 goals and BTTS44%
KairatOrdabasy
16%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
KairatOrdabasy
60%BTTS - last 540%
KairatOrdabasy

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
KairatOrdabasy
37%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
KairatOrdabasy
21%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
KairatOrdabasy

2nd half

74%Min. 1 goal after half-time78%
KairatOrdabasy
42%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
KairatOrdabasy
16%Min. 3 goals after half-time22%
KairatOrdabasy

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Kairat - half-time state
37% leading58% draw5% trailing
Ordabasy - half-time state
39% leading50% draw11% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.68Points per match (1st half)1.67
KairatOrdabasy
1Goals scored (1st half)0.72
KairatOrdabasy
0.32Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
KairatOrdabasy
1.32Average goals (1st half)1.06
KairatOrdabasy
74%Clean sheet before half-time67%
KairatOrdabasy
42%No goal before half-time44%
KairatOrdabasy

After half-time (2nd half)

1.74Points per match (2nd half)2.06
KairatOrdabasy
0.95Goals scored (2nd half)1.11
KairatOrdabasy
0.37Goals conceded (2nd half)0.39
KairatOrdabasy
1.32Average goals (2nd half)1.5
KairatOrdabasy
63%Clean sheet after half-time67%
KairatOrdabasy
47%No goal after half-time22%
KairatOrdabasy

Kairat - second-half results

47% W32% R21% P
32
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
+13
Goal difference (1st half)
33
Second-half points
+11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.68
PPG before half-time
Lead holding170%

Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Ordabasy - second-half results

56% W39% R6% P
30
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
+13
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding185%

Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 72%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Kairat - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.802.40
Goals scored / match1.81.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match2.42.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals80%80%
3 goals60%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+6+8
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 9
Ordabasy - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.60
Goals scored / match1.20.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match1.61.0
1 goal80%60%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+4+1
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Kairat
ScoredConceded
9
2
0-15
5
3
16-30
5
1
31-45
4
0
46-60
4
4
61-75
10
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.

Ordabasy
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
3
2
16-30
7
1
31-45
2
2
46-60
7
1
61-75
11
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.59
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
112%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
55%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+3%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
84%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Kairat

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.79
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.48
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.35
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
144%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
71%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.79
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 24% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Ordabasy

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.87
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
191%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
53%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.01
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).

Teams vs league

KairatLigaOrdabasy
Average goals in match 2.632.31 2.56
Both teams scored 53%52% 56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 53%42% 50%
Clean sheets 47%29% 44%
Goal before half-time 63%62% 67%
Goal after half-time 74%70% 78%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.31
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
42%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.35
Home goals / match
0.96
Away goals / match
+41%
Home attack advantage
+29%
Home defence advantage
+21%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
62%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Kairat 2 - 0 - 1 Ordabasy. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.

Ordabasy
2 : 1
Kairat
FK Ordabasy Shymkent
0 : 1
FK Kairat Almaty
FK Kairat Almaty
4 : 0
FK Ordabasy Shymkent

FAQ

When do Kairat and Ordabasy play?

Kairat face Ordabasy on 26 July 2026 in Kazakhstan Premier League at Astana Arena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Kairat and Ordabasy?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Kairat won 2, Ordabasy won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Kairat vs Ordabasy?

Kairat score 1.95 goals per game on average and Ordabasy 1.83. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Kairat's matches and 56% of Ordabasy's.

What form are Kairat and Ordabasy in?

Over the last 5 games Kairat have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Ordabasy 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kairat vs Ordabasy?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Kairat vs Ordabasy: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.