Kairat vs Yelimay Semey: match statistics
Kairat vs Yelimay Semey: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kairat played Yelimay Semey in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The match was played on 26 April 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Kairat: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Yelimay Semey: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kairat scores 1.50 and concedes 0.17 goals per match. Yelimay Semey scores 1.67 and concedes 0.83. League average: 2.13 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kairat 17%, Yelimay Semey 67%. Over 2.5: Kairat 17%, Yelimay Semey 33%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 35%.
xG, shots and style
Kairat has higher xG: 1.73 vs 1.59. Kairat: 15.8 shots per match, Yelimay Semey: 13.8.
Match halves
Kairat: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.67. Yelimay Semey: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Kairat: 16-30 (2 goals). Yelimay Semey: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.13 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 35%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back Kairat to win given their perfect home record: 100% wins, an average of 2.33 goals scored and 0 conceded per home match, and 100% clean sheets. Offensively the hosts generate more chances: 19 average shots and 5.67 shots on target per game with home xG 1.93, whereas Yelimay record 13.67 shots, 5.33 on target and xG 1.61 away. Kairat’s defense is decisive — average xG against of 0.92 and formally no goals conceded at home, while Yelimay have 1.24 xG against on the road, only 33% clean sheets and 0.67 goals conceded per away match. However, the visitors are in very good form: 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches, 12 goals scored in that period and an average of 2.6 points per game across those five fixtures. Considering Kairat’s superiority in chance creation (19 vs 13.67 shots) and their perfect home defense (0 conceded, 100% CS), I estimate the probabilities as: Kairat win 60%, draw 20%, Yelimay win 20%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have a high seasonal BTTS rate: Kairat 67% and Yelimay 67%, clearly above the league average of 52%. Both sides generate similar xG (Kairat 1.57, Yelimay 1.61), and their opponents concede 1.44 and 1.24 xG respectively, indicating a realistic chance of goals from both teams. Shot metrics corroborate this picture: on-target shots 4.67 (Kairat) and 5.33 (Yelimay) with conversion rates of 10% and 15% support seasonal goals averages of 1.33 (Kairat) and 2.0 (Yelimay), while the teams concede 1.0 and 0.67 goals per match on average. In the last 5 matches Kairat had BTTS in 40% of games, Yelimay in 60%, and the 5-match averages (Kairat 2.0 scored/0.4 conceded, Yelimay 2.4 scored/0.8 conceded) together with Yelimay form (wwwwd) suggest continuation of goal exchange. Overall the stronger weight of the seasonal 67%/67% and offensive stats leans to BTTS - Yes, therefore I assign 70% probability to Yes and 30% to No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The best pick is Over 1.5 (estimated probability 79%), because total expected goals are around 2.94 — Kairat 1.41 and Yelimay 1.53. These values stem from xG: Kairat has xG_for 1.57 versus opponents' xG_against 1.24, and Yelimay xG_for 1.61 versus hosts' xG_against 1.44, yielding average expected goals above 1 per team. This season both teams have 67% of matches with both teams scoring, and each has 67% of matches Over 1.5 goals, which supports an edge on Over 1.5. In the last 5 matches Kairat scored on average 2.0 goals and conceded 0.4, while Yelimay scored 2.4 and conceded 0.8; visitors average 5.33 shots on target with 15% conversion, hosts 4.67 SOT with 10% conversion, which increases the likelihood of goals. Over 1.5 (79%) is therefore a significantly stronger signal than Over 2.5 (56%) or Over 3.5 (34%), so I recommend backing the Over at the 1.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Kairat led at the break in 67% of their home matches, averaging 1.0 goal by half-time while conceding 0.33, whereas Yelimay Semey averages only 0.33 goals by half-time. The visitors are significantly more dangerous after the break: Yelimay scores an average of 1.67 goals in the second half and have won 4 of their last 5 matches (80% wins). On the season Yelimay score 2.0 goals per match versus Kairat’s 1.33 and average 2.33 points per match compared to the hosts’ 1.67, suggesting an advantage for the visitors at full-time. xG is similar (1.61 for Yelimay vs 1.57 for Kairat), but the visitors’ higher shot conversion (15% vs 10%) and their second-half dominance increase the likelihood of a turnaround. Therefore the most likely scenario is Kairat leading at half-time with Yelimay winning after 90 minutes (HT/FT 1/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kairat | Yelimay Semey | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Yelimay Semey is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Kairat · 1.67 goals / match - Yelimay Semey
Kairat is 388% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.17 goals / match - Kairat · 0.83 goals / match - Yelimay Semey
Kairat scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Yelimay Semey keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
Yelimay Semey scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Kairat keeps a clean sheet in 83% (5 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kairat
Over / Under - Yelimay Semey
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Yelimay Semey is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - Kairat · 1.83 pts / match - Yelimay Semey
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kairat - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Yelimay Semey - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kairat
Yelimay Semey
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Kairat | Liga | Yelimay Semey | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.67 | 2.13 | ▲ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 17% | 52% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 17% | 35% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 83% | 31% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 33% | 59% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 69% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Kairat 0 - 0 - 2 Yelimay Semey. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kairat vs Yelimay Semey?
The Kazakhstan Premier League match finished Kairat 2:2 Yelimay Semey. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Kairat and Yelimay Semey?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Kairat won 0, Yelimay Semey won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Kairat vs Yelimay Semey?
Kairat score 1.50 goals per game on average and Yelimay Semey 1.67. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.13 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 17% of Kairat's matches and 67% of Yelimay Semey's.
What form are Kairat and Yelimay Semey in?
Over the last 5 games Kairat have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Yelimay Semey 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kairat vs Yelimay Semey?
The statistical background for Kairat vs Yelimay Semey — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.