Kairat vs Zhetysu: match statistics
Kairat vs Zhetysu: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kairat played Zhetysu in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Kairat: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Zhetysu: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kairat scores 1.96 and concedes 0.77 goals per match. Zhetysu scores 1.00 and concedes 1.69. League average: 2.50 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kairat 50%, Zhetysu 54%. Over 2.5: Kairat 58%, Zhetysu 54%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Kairat has higher xG: 1.73 vs 1.13. Kairat: 15.6 shots per match, Zhetysu: 9.1.
Match halves
Kairat: half-time lead 46%, second-half goals 0.92. Zhetysu: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.58.
Goals by minute
Kairat: 76-90+ (12 goals). Zhetysu: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.50 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Kairat sit 2nd and have won 17 of their 26 league matches, while 16th-placed Zhetysu have managed just 5 wins and suffered 14 defeats. Home advantage is clear: the hosts win 67% of their home games and score an average of 2.25 goals, while the visitors lose 57% of their away matches and concede an average of 2.14 goals. Kairat also create more chances, posting a home xG of 1.86 and averaging 6.75 shots on target, compared with Zhetysu’s away figures of 1.21 xG and 4.15 shots on target. The hosts’ defence concedes an average of 0.75 goals at home and keeps a clean sheet in 58% of matches, whereas the visitors shut out their opponents in just 7% of away games. The last five matches also favour Kairat: they have scored 9 goals and won 3 times, while Zhetysu have scored 3 goals and suffered 4 defeats.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal points to Zhetysu failing to score: they have averaged 0.6 goals in their last 5 matches, while Kairat have kept a clean sheet in 42% of their games. Kairat concede an average of 1.17 goals, but their last 5 appearances have brought an average of just 1.0 goals conceded per match. The hosts have a strong chance of scoring, as Zhetysu concede an average of 2.14 goals and keep a clean sheet in only 7% of matches. Although Zhetysu’s matches have seen both teams score in 79% of cases, the figure for Kairat is only 25%; over their last 5 matches, the respective rates were 40% and 20%. Therefore, BTTS - No—meaning at least one team fails to score—is marginally more likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals, although Zhetysu’s defence, which concedes an average of 2.14 goals, gives Kairat an opportunity to score several times. However, Kairat averages just 0.75 goals at home, and 75% of its matches have finished Under 3.5 goals. The 3.5-goal line has not been exceeded in 64% of Zhetysu’s matches, despite the team conceding in 93% of its away games. Kairat’s last five appearances show an improved attack, averaging 1.8 goals per match, while Zhetysu scored just 0.6 goals per game over the same period. A forecast of around 2.55 goals in total accounts for both the visitors’ defensive weakness and the limited scoring potential of both teams, making the 3.5 line a safer margin than the 2.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal is Kairat leading at the break and winning after 90 minutes: the hosts were ahead at half-time in 3 of their last 5 matches, while Zhetysu were trailing at that stage in 3 of 5 as well. Kairat won 3 of their last 5 games, scoring an average of 1.8 goals, whereas Zhetysu lost 4 of 5 and scored just 0.6 goals on average. Over the season, the visitors have conceded an average of 2.14 goals per match and 0.93 before half-time, increasing the likelihood that the hosts will take an early lead. Kairat are also well placed to hold on to their advantage, as Zhetysu concede an average of 1.21 goals after the break, although a half-time draw remains a significant alternative, having occurred in 67% of Kairat's matches.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kairat | Zhetysu | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kairat is 200% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Kairat · 0.6 pts / match - Zhetysu
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kairat is 96% better for: goals scored per match.
1.96 goals / match - Kairat · 1 goals / match - Zhetysu
Kairat is 119% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.77 goals / match - Kairat · 1.69 goals / match - Zhetysu
Kairat scores in 88% of matches (23 of 26 matches), while Zhetysu keeps a clean sheet in 23% (6 of 26 matches).
Zhetysu scores in 69% of matches (18 of 26 matches), while Kairat keeps a clean sheet in 46% (12 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kairat
Over / Under - Zhetysu
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kairat is 68% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.81 pts / match - Kairat · 1.08 pts / match - Zhetysu
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kairat - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 46% of matches and wins 65%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Zhetysu - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 19%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kairat
Zhetysu
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Kairat | Liga | Zhetysu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.73 | 2.50 | ▲ 2.69 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 54% | • 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 48% | ▲ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 46% | 27% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 67% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 75% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Kairat 1 - 2 - 0 Zhetysu. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kairat vs Zhetysu?
The Kazakhstan Premier League match finished Kairat 1:0 Zhetysu. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Kairat and Zhetysu?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Kairat won 1, Zhetysu won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Kairat vs Zhetysu?
Kairat score 1.96 goals per game on average and Zhetysu 1.00. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.50 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Kairat's matches and 54% of Zhetysu's.
What form are Kairat and Zhetysu in?
Over the last 5 games Kairat have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Zhetysu 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kairat vs Zhetysu?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Kairat vs Zhetysu: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.