Kairouan vs Etoile du Sahel: match statistics
Etoile du Sahel appears to be the favorite for this encounter despite playing away. Kairouan presents very poor home form with 60% losses and only 40% wins at home, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match with a goal difference of -10. The visitors possess significantly better statistics in away matches, with 44% draws and 44% clean sheets, indicating a solid defense (averaging 1.0 goal conceded). Etoile du Sahel also boasts better xG metrics (1.26 vs 0.97) and a higher average of shots on target (3.11 vs 2.1). Recent form also favors the guests (1.6 PPG vs 1.4 PPG), although their difficulties in scoring away could lead to a stalemate. Considering all factors, we are backing a favorable result for Etoile du Sahel, with a draw as a realistic alternative.
Kairouan vs Etoile du Sahel: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kairouan played Etoile du Sahel in Ligue 1 (Tunisia). The match was played on 13 February 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Kairouan: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Etoile du Sahel: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kairouan scores 0.65 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Etoile du Sahel scores 0.95 and concedes 0.85. League average: 1.71 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kairouan 30%, Etoile du Sahel 30%. Over 2.5: Kairouan 40%, Etoile du Sahel 25%. League level: BTTS 27%, Over 2.5 27%.
xG, shots and style
Kairouan has higher xG: 1.14 vs 1.12. Kairouan: 8.3 shots per match, Etoile du Sahel: 7.3.
Match halves
Kairouan: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.35. Etoile du Sahel: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.55.
Goals by minute
Kairouan: 76-90+ (5 goals). Etoile du Sahel: 61-75 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 1.71 goals per match, BTTS 27%, Over 2.5 27%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Etoile du Sahel appears to be the favorite for this encounter despite playing away. Kairouan presents very poor home form with 60% losses and only 40% wins at home, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match with a goal difference of -10. The visitors possess significantly better statistics in away matches, with 44% draws and 44% clean sheets, indicating a solid defense (averaging 1.0 goal conceded). Etoile du Sahel also boasts better xG metrics (1.26 vs 0.97) and a higher average of shots on target (3.11 vs 2.1). Recent form also favors the guests (1.6 PPG vs 1.4 PPG), although their difficulties in scoring away could lead to a stalemate. Considering all factors, we are backing a favorable result for Etoile du Sahel, with a draw as a realistic alternative.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kairouan | Etoile du Sahel | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Etoile du Sahel is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Kairouan · 1.6 pts / match - Etoile du Sahel
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Etoile du Sahel is 46% better for: goals scored per match.
0.65 goals / match - Kairouan · 0.95 goals / match - Etoile du Sahel
Etoile du Sahel is 76% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Kairouan · 0.85 goals / match - Etoile du Sahel
Kairouan scores in 40% of matches (8 of 20 matches), while Etoile du Sahel keeps a clean sheet in 50% (10 of 20 matches).
Etoile du Sahel scores in 65% of matches (13 of 20 matches), while Kairouan keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kairouan
Over / Under - Etoile du Sahel
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Etoile du Sahel is 80% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.75 pts / match - Kairouan · 1.35 pts / match - Etoile du Sahel
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kairouan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Etoile du Sahel - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kairouan
Etoile du Sahel
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Kairouan | Liga | Etoile du Sahel | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.15 | 1.71 | • 1.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 30% | 27% | ▲ 30% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 40% | 27% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 46% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 62% | ▲ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 60% | 58% | ▼ 55% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Kairouan 1 - 0 - 0 Etoile du Sahel. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kairouan vs Etoile du Sahel?
The Ligue 1 match finished Kairouan 1:2 Etoile du Sahel. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Kairouan vs Etoile du Sahel?
Kairouan score 0.65 goals per game on average and Etoile du Sahel 0.95. The Ligue 1 average is 1.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 30% of Kairouan's matches and 30% of Etoile du Sahel's.
What form are Kairouan and Etoile du Sahel in?
Over the last 5 games Kairouan have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Etoile du Sahel 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kairouan vs Etoile du Sahel?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Kairouan vs Etoile du Sahel: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.