Kalisz vs Noteć Czarnków: match statistics
Kalisz vs Noteć Czarnków: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kalisz played Noteć Czarnków in 3 Liga Group 2 (Poland). The match was played on 19 August 2026. Venue: Stadion OSRiR. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Kalisz: 2-1-0, 2.33 points/match. Noteć Czarnków: 1-0-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kalisz scores 1.33 and concedes 0.67 goals per match. Noteć Czarnków scores 2.00 and concedes 2.33. League average: 3.50 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kalisz 33%, Noteć Czarnków 33%. Over 2.5: Kalisz 33%, Noteć Czarnków 67%. League level: BTTS 71%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Noteć Czarnków has higher xG: 2.17 vs 0.74. Kalisz: 1.0 shots per match, Noteć Czarnków: 13.3.
Match halves
Kalisz: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.00. Noteć Czarnków: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.33.
Goals by minute
Kalisz: 16-30 (1 goals). Noteć Czarnków: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 2: 3.50 goals per match, BTTS 71%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Noteć Czarnków has a clearly greater attacking potential away from home: they average 3 goals scored, 20.5 shots and 9 shots on target per match, with an xG of 2.16. Kalisz have won every home game so far and have not conceded a goal, but they create just 0.74 xG per match, while their opponents generate as much as 1.83 xG against them. The hosts are clinical, scoring on average once from 5 shots per game, but their results-based advantage appears less stable than the quality of chances created by their opponents. In their last five matches, the visitors have scored 12 goals while conceding 8, so an open game with chances for Kalisz as well can be expected. Noteć’s defence concedes an average of 2.5 goals away from home, but the greater volume of chances created gives them a slight edge in the prediction.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument against BTTS - Yes is not Kalisz’s poor finishing alone: in their last 5 matches, they averaged just 0.8 goals, with an xG of only 0.87, and both teams scored in just 20% of those games. Across the full-season data, Kalisz are yet to score and have finished without finding the net in 100% of their matches, which significantly increases the likelihood of Noteć keeping a clean sheet. Noteć are highly dangerous going forward, averaging 2.4 goals and an xG of 2.04 across their last five appearances, so their goals are the most likely outcome. Their defence is not flawless, however, as they concede an average of 1.6 goals per match, but Kalisz’s poor chance creation limits the significance of this signal. Although the league-wide BTTS average stands at 67%, the hosts’ profile and their low recent rate of matches in which both teams scored support a scenario where at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Noteć Czarnków have averaged 2.4 goals scored over their last 5 matches, with a high average xG of 2.04, while Kalisz allowed opponents 1.53 xG. Kalisz scored only 0.8 goals per game during this period and recorded an xG of 0.87, but Noteć’s defence conceded an average of 1.6 goals, still giving the hosts a realistic route to finding the net. At least 3 goals were scored in 80% of Noteć’s last five matches, while the league-wide average is as high as 3.52 goals per game. In addition, both teams recorded a minimum of 2 goals in 100% of the available matches this season, although the small sample size calls for caution with higher lines. The strongest signal is Over 1.5 goals, as the visitors’ attacking potential alone should bring the match clearly closer to this threshold.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Noteć Czarnków have significantly stronger attacking numbers: they have averaged 2.4 goals over their last five matches, compared with just 0.8 for Kalisz. The visitors were leading at the break in three of their last five matches and averaged 1.4 goals before half-time, compared with 0.6 for the hosts. Kalisz failed to score in three of their last five first halves and lost two of those matches overall, increasing the likelihood that they will be unable to complete a turnaround if they fall behind. Noteć average 20.5 shots and 9 on target per match, with an xG of 2.16, so the most likely HT/FT outcome is a Noteć lead at half-time followed by a win at the final whistle.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kalisz | Noteć Czarnków | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.74 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 4.03 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kalisz is 133% better for: last-5 form.
2.33 pts / match - Kalisz · 1 pts / match - Noteć Czarnków
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Noteć Czarnków is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - Kalisz · 2 goals / match - Noteć Czarnków
Kalisz is 248% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.67 goals / match - Kalisz · 2.33 goals / match - Noteć Czarnków
Kalisz scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Noteć Czarnków keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).
Noteć Czarnków scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while Kalisz keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kalisz
Over / Under - Noteć Czarnków
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kalisz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Noteć Czarnków - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.33 | 2.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Average goals in match | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 67% |
| No goal | 67% | 33% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.7 | 1.7 |
| Average goals in match | 1.3 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 33% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 33% |
| No goal | 33% | 33% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kalisz
Noteć Czarnków
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 2).
Teams vs league
| Kalisz | Liga | Noteć Czarnków | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 3.50 | ▲ 4.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 71% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 61% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 67% | 14% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 86% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 75% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Kalisz vs Noteć Czarnków?
The 3 Liga Group 2 match finished Kalisz 0:1 Noteć Czarnków. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Kalisz vs Noteć Czarnków?
Kalisz score 1.33 goals per game on average and Noteć Czarnków 2.00. The 3 Liga Group 2 average is 3.50 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Kalisz's matches and 33% of Noteć Czarnków's.
What form are Kalisz and Noteć Czarnków in?
Over the last 5 games Kalisz have a 2-1-0 record (2.33 points per game) and Noteć Czarnków 1-0-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kalisz vs Noteć Czarnków?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Kalisz vs Noteć Czarnków: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.