Kalisz vs Wda Świecie: match statistics

Wda Świecie remain unbeaten after 7 matches this season, taking 13 points from their last five fixtures with 4 wins and 1 draw; over the same period, Kalisz collected just 6 points. The visitors are more effective at creating danger away from home, averaging 5.67 shots on target compared with Kalisz’s 3.5, while their shooting efficiency stands at 11% versus 5% for the hosts. Kalisz score an average of 2 goals at home, but their xG is only 1.21, while their defence allows opponents an xG of 1.67, which could favour a well-performing visiting side. Wda have not lost any away match and have scored in every one, although 50% of their away fixtures have ended in draws. The advantage in current form, the visitors’ defensive stability—conceding an average of 0.75 goals away from home—and their greater number of scoring opportunities point to a narrow victory for Wda.

The signal for both teams to score is strong, as Kalisz have recorded BTTS in 100% of their league matches, while Wda Świecie have done so in 75%. In their last five games, both teams had an 80% BTTS rate, with Kalisz averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, while Wda averaged 2.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. The home side have yet to keep a single clean sheet, while the visitors have not finished any match without scoring. Their attacking potential is also supported by their average xG figures from the last five matches: 1.45 for Kalisz and 1.67 for Wda, meaning both sides regularly create high-quality chances. A BTTS rate of 75% across the league further supports the scenario in which both teams find the net.

Kalisz averages 2.67 goals at home, although its xG of 1.49 suggests that part of this scoring efficiency may be difficult to sustain. Wda generates an average of 1.44 xG, while Kalisz’s defense allows opponents 1.15 xG and has yet to keep a clean sheet. Both teams have scored in every match so far, and in their last five fixtures, each recorded an average total of at least 3.0 goals per game. Over 1.5 goals landed in 100% of Kalisz’s matches and 75% of Wda’s, providing a clearer signal than the more volatile Over 2.5 line. Further support comes from the league average of 3.81 goals and the fact that 68% of matches featured at least three goals.

A half-time draw is the most likely outcome, as Kalisz were level at the break in 60% of their last five matches, compared with 40% for Wda Świecie; both teams averaged 0.8 and 0.4 goals respectively by half-time. After the break, however, the visitors’ form is more convincing: they won 80% of their last five matches and averaged 1.6 goals in the second half, conceding only 0.4. Kalisz do have a perfect record in the current home data and average 2.67 goals, but Wda have conceded just 0.75 goals per match on average, while their latest points average stands at 2.6 compared with the hosts’ 1.2. Similar attacking xG figures—1.49 for Kalisz and 1.44 for Wda—suggest an even start, whereas the visitors’ greater efficiency in the closing stages increases the likelihood of an away win following a draw at half-time.