Kano Pillars vs Katsina United: match statistics
Kano Pillars shows a decided advantage as the host with a 55% win rate in home matches and an impressive goal difference of +5 at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.18 goals per match at home with only 0.73 conceded, and their xG (2.25) indicates the creation of significantly better chances than the actual number of goals suggests. Katsina United presents very poor away form with only 20% won matches away, an average of only 0.5 goals scored per match, and an alarming rate of 60% of matches without scoring a goal. The negative goal difference of the guests away (-6) and significantly lower xG (1.01) compared to the hosts further weaken their chances. The recent form of both teams (Kano Pillars: 1.8 PPG, Katsina United: 1.6 PPG) and the hosts' possession advantage (59% vs 41%) point to a probable victory for Kano Pillars, although the guests' solid defense in the last five matches (only 3 conceded goals) may make this a difficult encounter.
Kano Pillars vs Katsina United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Kano Pillars played Katsina United in NPFL (Nigeria). The match was played on 28 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Kano Pillars: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Katsina United: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Kano Pillars scores 0.82 and concedes 1.05 goals per match. Katsina United scores 0.82 and concedes 0.86. League average: 1.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Kano Pillars 36%, Katsina United 32%. Over 2.5: Kano Pillars 32%, Katsina United 14%. League level: BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 27%.
xG, shots and style
Kano Pillars has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.12. Kano Pillars: 3.4 shots per match, Katsina United: 4.4.
Match halves
Kano Pillars: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.27. Katsina United: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.36.
Goals by minute
Kano Pillars: 31-45+ (6 goals). Katsina United: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NPFL: 1.85 goals per match, BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 27%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Kano Pillars shows a decided advantage as the host with a 55% win rate in home matches and an impressive goal difference of +5 at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.18 goals per match at home with only 0.73 conceded, and their xG (2.25) indicates the creation of significantly better chances than the actual number of goals suggests. Katsina United presents very poor away form with only 20% won matches away, an average of only 0.5 goals scored per match, and an alarming rate of 60% of matches without scoring a goal. The negative goal difference of the guests away (-6) and significantly lower xG (1.01) compared to the hosts further weaken their chances. The recent form of both teams (Kano Pillars: 1.8 PPG, Katsina United: 1.6 PPG) and the hosts' possession advantage (59% vs 41%) point to a probable victory for Kano Pillars, although the guests' solid defense in the last five matches (only 3 conceded goals) may make this a difficult encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Kano Pillars | Katsina United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 18% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.46 | 0.26 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 1.39 | 0.60 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kano Pillars is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Kano Pillars · 1.6 pts / match - Katsina United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Katsina United is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.05 goals / match - Kano Pillars · 0.86 goals / match - Katsina United
Kano Pillars scores in 55% of matches (12 of 22 matches), while Katsina United keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 matches).
Katsina United scores in 55% of matches (12 of 22 matches), while Kano Pillars keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Kano Pillars
Over / Under - Katsina United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Katsina United is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.45 pts / match - Kano Pillars · 1.55 pts / match - Katsina United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Kano Pillars - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Katsina United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Kano Pillars
Katsina United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Kano Pillars | Liga | Katsina United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.86 | 1.85 | ▼ 1.68 |
| Both teams scored | • 36% | 36% | ▼ 32% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 32% | 27% | ▼ 14% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 38% | ▼ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 62% | ▼ 55% |
| Goal after half-time | • 59% | 59% | ▲ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Kano Pillars 0 - 0 - 1 Katsina United. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Kano Pillars vs Katsina United?
The NPFL match finished Kano Pillars 1:0 Katsina United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Kano Pillars vs Katsina United?
Kano Pillars score 0.82 goals per game on average and Katsina United 0.82. The NPFL average is 1.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Kano Pillars's matches and 32% of Katsina United's.
What form are Kano Pillars and Katsina United in?
Over the last 5 games Kano Pillars have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Katsina United 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Kano Pillars vs Katsina United?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.